MARKET PROFILE

Western Premium Correction

California, Pacific Northwest, and Mountain West premium markets correcting from prior highs.

COUNTIES 78
MEAN BTI 25/100
Western Premium Correction

[01] What This Profile Means

Counties with off-the-charts amenity scores and the highest housing costs in the country (income-to-home ratio near 0.19). Concentrated in California (~40%), the Pacific Northwest (Oregon + Washington, ~33%), and the Mountain West (Colorado, Utah, Nevada, ~21%). These markets saw substantial pandemic-era price growth and are now correcting, though housing remains profoundly unaffordable relative to local incomes.

DATA SIGNATURE

Amenity score above +4 (well above 95th percentile), income-to-home ratio below 0.25, current ZHVI in correction.

[02] Typical Profile

Average values across the 78 counties in this profile.

1YR HOME PRICE
-0.8%
3YR CAGR
+1.4%
PANDEMIC SURGE
+43%
DRAWDOWN FROM PEAK
-3.5%
POP GROWTH
+0.44%
EDUCATION (BA+)
35%

[03] Largest Counties in This Profile

  1. 1 Los Angeles County, CA
    POP 9,936,690 BTI 15
  2. 2 San Diego County, CA
    POP 3,289,701 BTI 7
  3. 3 Orange County, CA
    POP 3,175,227 BTI 15
  4. 4 Riverside County, CA
    POP 2,429,487 BTI 26
  5. 5 King County, WA
    POP 2,254,371 BTI 3

[04] All 78 Counties in This Profile

Sorted by BoomTown Index score. Click any county for its full profile.

Sutter County, CA 80
Kauai County, HI 69
Honolulu County, HI 62
Tulare County, CA 56
San Benito County, CA 56
Columbia County, OR 54
Bernalillo County, NM 49
San Bernardino County, CA 49
Josephine County, OR 48
Shasta County, CA 46
Jackson County, OR 45
Yavapai County, AZ 40
Cowlitz County, WA 39
Kitsap County, WA 39
Butte County, CA 35
Marin County, CA 35
Merced County, CA 31
Kern County, CA 30
Fresno County, CA 28
Coos County, OR 26
Marion County, OR 26
Orange County, CA 26
Utah County, UT 25
Walla Walla County, WA 23
Chelan County, WA 21
Skagit County, WA 19
Solano County, CA 19
Island County, WA 18
San Joaquin County, CA 17
Washoe County, NV 17
Pierce County, WA 17
Thurston County, WA 17
Clackamas County, OR 16
Spokane County, WA 16
San Francisco County, CA 16
Sacramento County, CA 16
Ada County, ID 16
Douglas County, OR 15
Polk County, OR 15
Lane County, OR 14
Placer County, CA 14
Clark County, WA 14
Santa Fe County, NM 13
La Plata County, CO 12
Whatcom County, WA 12
Contra Costa County, CA 11
Riverside County, CA 11
El Dorado County, CA 11
Napa County, CA 10
Yamhill County, OR 10
Monterey County, CA 10
San Luis Obispo County, CA 10
Santa Cruz County, CA 10
Stanislaus County, CA 9
Alameda County, CA 9
Multnomah County, OR 9
Salt Lake County, UT 8
San Diego County, CA 7
Deschutes County, OR 7
Clallam County, WA 6
Snohomish County, WA 5
Yolo County, CA 5
Sonoma County, CA 4
Los Angeles County, CA 4
Jefferson County, CO 3
Carson City, NV 3
Arapahoe County, CO 3
Larimer County, CO 2
Adams County, CO 2
Ventura County, CA 2
Boulder County, CO 2
San Mateo County, CA 1
Santa Barbara County, CA 1
Washington County, OR 1
King County, WA 1
Santa Clara County, CA 0
Denver County, CO 0
Broomfield County, CO 0

[05] Other Market Profiles

Idiosyncratic Markets
414 COUNTIES · MEAN BTI 51
Heartland Steady Growth
145 COUNTIES · MEAN BTI 83
Educated Suburban Growth
110 COUNTIES · MEAN BTI 44
Sun Belt Post-Surge Correction
76 COUNTIES · MEAN BTI 14
Affordable Slow Markets
75 COUNTIES · MEAN BTI 68
Sun Belt Exurban Boom
43 COUNTIES · MEAN BTI 24
Secondary Market Surge
35 COUNTIES · MEAN BTI 56
Persistent Housing Weakness
11 COUNTIES · MEAN BTI 55

Market profiles describe each county's housing-market character, derived empirically from 24 housing, labor, and demographic features across 987 U.S. counties using hierarchical clustering. Counties whose BoomTown Score diverges sharply from a profile's typical range are moved to Idiosyncratic Markets and get a custom narrative instead. Read the methodology →