MARKET PROFILE

Western Premium Correction

California, Pacific Northwest, and Mountain West premium markets correcting from prior highs.

COUNTIES 78
MEAN BTI 25/100
Western Premium Correction

[01] What This Profile Means

Counties with off-the-charts amenity scores and the highest housing costs in the country (income-to-home ratio near 0.19). Concentrated in California (~40%), the Pacific Northwest (Oregon + Washington, ~33%), and the Mountain West (Colorado, Utah, Nevada, ~21%). These markets saw substantial pandemic-era price growth and are now correcting, though housing remains profoundly unaffordable relative to local incomes.

DATA SIGNATURE

Amenity score above +4 (well above 95th percentile), income-to-home ratio below 0.25, current ZHVI in correction.

[02] Typical Profile

Average values across the 78 counties in this profile.

1YR HOME PRICE
-0.8%
3YR CAGR
+1.4%
PANDEMIC SURGE
+43%
DRAWDOWN FROM PEAK
-3.5%
POP GROWTH
+0.44%
EDUCATION (BA+)
35%

[03] Largest Counties in This Profile

  1. 1 Los Angeles County, CA
    POP 9,936,690 BTI 15
  2. 2 San Diego County, CA
    POP 3,289,701 BTI 7
  3. 3 Orange County, CA
    POP 3,175,227 BTI 15
  4. 4 Riverside County, CA
    POP 2,429,487 BTI 26
  5. 5 King County, WA
    POP 2,254,371 BTI 3

[04] All 78 Counties in This Profile

Sorted by BoomTown Index score. Click any county for its full profile.

Cowlitz County, WA 71
Tulare County, CA 68
Columbia County, OR 66
San Bernardino County, CA 63
Utah County, UT 62
Kern County, CA 59
Fresno County, CA 56
Jackson County, OR 56
Lane County, OR 56
Skagit County, WA 55
Merced County, CA 55
San Benito County, CA 53
Island County, WA 53
Josephine County, OR 50
Polk County, OR 50
Whatcom County, WA 49
Yamhill County, OR 49
Multnomah County, OR 48
Pierce County, WA 48
Snohomish County, WA 48
Yavapai County, AZ 47
Marion County, OR 47
Larimer County, CO 47
El Dorado County, CA 46
Washoe County, NV 43
La Plata County, CO 41
Butte County, CA 41
Thurston County, WA 40
Clackamas County, OR 39
Douglas County, OR 37
Riverside County, CA 36
Clark County, WA 36
San Joaquin County, CA 36
Clallam County, WA 35
Kitsap County, WA 35
Placer County, CA 35
Sacramento County, CA 35
Walla Walla County, WA 33
Bernalillo County, NM 33
Yolo County, CA 31
Coos County, OR 30
Salt Lake County, UT 26
Spokane County, WA 25
Shasta County, CA 24
Honolulu County, HI 24
Alameda County, CA 23
Marin County, CA 22
Santa Fe County, NM 20
Santa Cruz County, CA 19
Orange County, CA 19
Solano County, CA 18
Deschutes County, OR 17
Stanislaus County, CA 17
Sutter County, CA 16
San Luis Obispo County, CA 14
Ada County, ID 14
Los Angeles County, CA 13
San Diego County, CA 13
San Francisco County, CA 13
Jefferson County, CO 12
Monterey County, CA 11
Carson City, NV 11
Chelan County, WA 10
Arapahoe County, CO 9
Kauai County, HI 8
Washington County, OR 8
Contra Costa County, CA 7
Sonoma County, CA 7
King County, WA 7
Denver County, CO 6
Santa Clara County, CA 5
Boulder County, CO 3
Napa County, CA 2
Ventura County, CA 2
Adams County, CO 2
San Mateo County, CA 2
Santa Barbara County, CA 2
Broomfield County, CO 1

[05] Other Market Profiles

Idiosyncratic Markets
414 COUNTIES · MEAN BTI 51
Heartland Steady Growth
145 COUNTIES · MEAN BTI 83
Educated Suburban Growth
110 COUNTIES · MEAN BTI 44
Sun Belt Post-Surge Correction
76 COUNTIES · MEAN BTI 14
Affordable Slow Markets
75 COUNTIES · MEAN BTI 68
Sun Belt Exurban Boom
43 COUNTIES · MEAN BTI 24
Secondary Market Surge
35 COUNTIES · MEAN BTI 56
Persistent Housing Weakness
11 COUNTIES · MEAN BTI 55

Market profiles describe each county's housing-market character, derived empirically from 24 housing, labor, and demographic features across 987 U.S. counties using hierarchical clustering. Counties whose BoomTown Score diverges sharply from a profile's typical range are moved to Idiosyncratic Markets and get a custom narrative instead. Read the methodology →