MARKET PROFILE

Western Premium Correction

California, Pacific Northwest, and Mountain West premium markets correcting from prior highs.

COUNTIES 78
MEAN BTI 25/100
Western Premium Correction

[01] What This Profile Means

Counties with off-the-charts amenity scores and the highest housing costs in the country (income-to-home ratio near 0.19). Concentrated in California (~40%), the Pacific Northwest (Oregon + Washington, ~33%), and the Mountain West (Colorado, Utah, Nevada, ~21%). These markets saw substantial pandemic-era price growth and are now correcting, though housing remains profoundly unaffordable relative to local incomes.

DATA SIGNATURE

Amenity score above +4 (well above 95th percentile), income-to-home ratio below 0.25, current ZHVI in correction.

[02] Typical Profile

Average values across the 78 counties in this profile.

1YR HOME PRICE
-0.8%
3YR CAGR
+1.4%
PANDEMIC SURGE
+43%
DRAWDOWN FROM PEAK
-3.5%
POP GROWTH
+0.44%
EDUCATION (BA+)
35%

[03] Largest Counties in This Profile

  1. 1 Los Angeles County, CA
    POP 9,936,690 BTI 15
  2. 2 San Diego County, CA
    POP 3,289,701 BTI 7
  3. 3 Orange County, CA
    POP 3,175,227 BTI 15
  4. 4 Riverside County, CA
    POP 2,429,487 BTI 26
  5. 5 King County, WA
    POP 2,254,371 BTI 3

[04] All 78 Counties in This Profile

Sorted by BoomTown Index score. Click any county for its full profile.

Santa Fe County, NM 90
Ada County, ID 87
La Plata County, CO 84
Kauai County, HI 79
Tulare County, CA 77
Jackson County, OR 71
Honolulu County, HI 71
El Dorado County, CA 69
Shasta County, CA 66
Columbia County, OR 62
Merced County, CA 60
San Bernardino County, CA 58
Clackamas County, OR 54
Washoe County, NV 54
Marin County, CA 52
San Benito County, CA 51
Salt Lake County, UT 48
Utah County, UT 47
Bernalillo County, NM 46
Yavapai County, AZ 45
Placer County, CA 45
Larimer County, CO 42
Skagit County, WA 41
Douglas County, OR 41
Kitsap County, WA 41
Josephine County, OR 40
Marion County, OR 38
Cowlitz County, WA 37
Fresno County, CA 37
Sacramento County, CA 36
Sutter County, CA 33
Yolo County, CA 32
Monterey County, CA 31
Chelan County, WA 30
San Joaquin County, CA 29
Island County, WA 28
Orange County, CA 28
Coos County, OR 26
Lane County, OR 26
Sonoma County, CA 25
Solano County, CA 24
San Luis Obispo County, CA 23
Alameda County, CA 21
San Diego County, CA 20
Contra Costa County, CA 19
Clark County, WA 18
Walla Walla County, WA 17
Multnomah County, OR 16
Kern County, CA 15
Yamhill County, OR 15
Spokane County, WA 14
Carson City, NV 14
Stanislaus County, CA 14
Riverside County, CA 13
Deschutes County, OR 13
Snohomish County, WA 12
Pierce County, WA 11
Santa Cruz County, CA 11
Boulder County, CO 11
Whatcom County, WA 10
Butte County, CA 10
Polk County, OR 10
Thurston County, WA 8
King County, WA 8
Napa County, CA 8
Clallam County, WA 7
Jefferson County, CO 6
Santa Clara County, CA 5
Los Angeles County, CA 5
Arapahoe County, CO 5
Ventura County, CA 4
Adams County, CO 3
Denver County, CO 3
Washington County, OR 2
San Mateo County, CA 2
Santa Barbara County, CA 1
San Francisco County, CA 0
Broomfield County, CO 0

[05] Other Market Profiles

Idiosyncratic Markets
414 COUNTIES · MEAN BTI 51
Heartland Steady Growth
145 COUNTIES · MEAN BTI 83
Educated Suburban Growth
110 COUNTIES · MEAN BTI 44
Sun Belt Post-Surge Correction
76 COUNTIES · MEAN BTI 14
Affordable Slow Markets
75 COUNTIES · MEAN BTI 68
Sun Belt Exurban Boom
43 COUNTIES · MEAN BTI 24
Secondary Market Surge
35 COUNTIES · MEAN BTI 56
Persistent Housing Weakness
11 COUNTIES · MEAN BTI 55

Market profiles describe each county's housing-market character, derived empirically from 24 housing, labor, and demographic features across 987 U.S. counties using hierarchical clustering. Counties whose BoomTown Score diverges sharply from a profile's typical range are moved to Idiosyncratic Markets and get a custom narrative instead. Read the methodology →