25 / 100

Utah County, UT

RANK #740 / 1001 NAT  ·  POP 705,400

1YR FORECAST: -0.1%

5YR OUTLOOK: +25%

Our model projects Utah County's housing market at -0.1% over the next year, underperforming most U.S. counties.

[01] Why Utah County?

Utah County, Utah, is often defined by its dramatic natural scenery, with the towering Wasatch Mountains to the east and Utah Lake, the state's largest freshwater lake, to the west. Provo, the county seat, is approximately 35 miles south of Salt Lake City. Commuting to Salt Lake City is possible via I-15 or the FrontRunner commuter rail. The community offers extensive outdoor recreation, including hiking the Y Trail in Provo, mountain biking at Corner Canyon, fishing at Utah Lake State Park, and skiing at Sundance Mountain Resort. Bridal Veil Falls in Provo Canyon is another notable natural landmark.

Life in Utah County is characterized by a family-oriented atmosphere and a strong sense of community. The public school system is above average, with institutions like Utah County Academy of Science and Karl G. Maeser Preparatory Academy ranking highly. The economy is expanding, driven by growth in technology, often referred to as "Silicon Slopes," and ongoing development in commercial and residential sectors. This growth attracts both young professionals and families, contributing to a consistent demand for housing.

MARKET PROFILE

Western Premium Correction

Utah County is one of 78 U.S. counties in this market profile — near the profile average on the BoomTown Index. Within this cohort, its recent home-price change of +2.0% runs above the profile's typical -0.8%.

See all 78 Western Premium Correction counties →

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
19.6x

Overvalued relative to economy

Home Prices
+2.0%

Above national median

Climate & Terrain
4.9

Favorable climate & terrain

Price/Rent
25x

Prices detached from rents

Housing looks overvalued at 19.6x — home prices are high relative to local economic output. Climate and geography support a structural premium. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    Intermountain Health Healthcare
    50,000+
  2. 2
    University of Utah Education
    25,000+
  3. 3
    State of Utah Government
    10,000+
  4. 4
    Brigham Young University Education
  5. 5
    Utah Valley University Education
    5,000+
  6. 6
    Alpine School District Education
    1,000+
  7. 7
    Nebo School District Education
  8. 8
    NuSkin Enterprises Other

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Utah County U.S. National

Bars show trailing 12-month growth. The dashed Forecast bars are the model's next-12-month projection; the whisker marks the ±1% range (cooling–accelerating).

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
705,400
+3.19% YoY
Median Household Income
$100,671
Median Home Value
$538,700
+2.0% 12mo
Median Rent
$1,541
Average Annual Pay
$64,494
+2.9% YoY
Employment
300,796
+1.9% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.1869
Near national average
Migration Inflow
2.78%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
44.4%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$549,945
Days on Market
41
Moderate pace
Months of Supply
3.7
Balanced market
Sale-to-List Ratio
99.4%
Near asking price
Sold Above List
23.9%
Listings w/ Price Drops
34.9%
Building Permits (2025)
7,202
Single-Family Permits
5,324

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

A
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
1.2
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
9.1
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
48.5
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Well below national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Air Quality

B-
AIR QUALITY
GRADE
Median AQI (3yr)
48.7
Good
Good Air Days
55%
599 of 1,095 days
Unhealthy+ Days (3yr)
23
Sensitive groups affected
Primary Pollutant
Ozone
Ground-level ozone
Yearly Trend
2021
49
2022
49
2023
48
Median AQI · lower is better

Source: EPA Air Quality System (2021–2023). Grade based on 3-year average median AQI. Learn about AQI →

[07] Capital Investment

$1,200M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
QTS Data Center Campus
QTS
$500M Under Construction
Various New Residential Communities
Multiple Builders (e.g., David Weekley Homes, Meritage Homes, Richmond American Homes, EDGEhomes)
$500M Under Construction
Meta Data Center
Meta
$100M Operating
Provo Power Plant Upgrade
Utah Municipal Power Agency (UMPA)
$50M Completed
Buc-ee's Travel Center
Buc-ee's
$50M Planned

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[08] Score Breakdown

Population Growth +3.2% 95 percentile
Income Growth +3.9% 77 percentile
Vacancy Rate 0.6% 82 percentile
Home Price Change +2.0% 55 percentile
Rent Growth +2.2% 38 percentile
Price/Rent 25x 4 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 1001 counties.

[09] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Utah County, UT a good place to move to?

At 25/100, Utah County faces headwinds that place it in the lower third of the 1001 counties we track. Median income of $100,671 combined with job growth of +1.9% suggests the local economy is struggling to keep pace with national trends.

Is Utah County affordable?

Utah County leans toward the expensive side. A median home value of $538,700 against an income-to-home-value ratio of 0.19 means housing eats a bigger share of local earnings than the national norm. Renters face $1,541/month on average.

Is Utah County growing or shrinking?

Utah County is growing on multiple fronts. Population is up +3.2% year-over-year while employers added jobs at a +1.9% clip. Home values shifted +2.0% in the past year.

Are people moving to Utah County?

There's a moderate stream of newcomers. About 2.78% of residents moved from another state, which is above average and suggests Utah County has appeal as a relocation destination — though it's not among the highest-inflow counties nationally.

[10] Similar Counties by Size & Score

Weber County, UT 23 Tooele County, UT 21 Davis County, UT 18 Salt Lake County, UT 8 Washington County, UT 51 Box Elder County, UT 61 Norfolk County, MA 25 Essex County, MA 25