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Tooele County, UT

RANK #783 / 1001 NAT  ·  POP 79,347

1YR FORECAST: -0.8%

5YR OUTLOOK: +24%

#16 Most Overvalued #35 Fastest Growing
Our model projects Tooele County's housing market at -0.8% over the next year, underperforming most U.S. counties.

[01] Why Tooele County?

Tooele County, Utah, is often recognized for the Bonneville Salt Flats, a vast expanse of white salt known for land speed records. Located west of Salt Lake City, with the city of Tooele as its county seat, the area offers a blend of small-town atmosphere and access to urban amenities. Commuting to Salt Lake City is common for many residents, with I-80 serving as a primary route, though public transit options like UTA bus routes and on-demand services are available. The county's landscape features mountains, valleys, and the Great Salt Lake, providing opportunities for hiking, biking, camping, and water activities. Deseret Peak, the highest point in the Stansbury Mountains, is a notable hiking destination.

Life in Tooele County often appeals to families and individuals seeking a quieter lifestyle with more spacious properties than found in denser urban areas. The Tooele County School District serves the area with numerous schools. The local economy, historically rooted in mining and agriculture, has diversified to include manufacturing, logistics, and defense, with the Tooele Army Depot being a significant employer. There is also emerging growth in technology-driven industries, healthcare, and renewable energy sectors. Recent proposals include a bid for a nuclear energy hub, which could further impact the economic landscape.

MARKET PROFILE

Sun Belt Exurban Boom

Tooele County is one of 43 U.S. counties in this market profile — near the profile average on the BoomTown Index. Within this cohort, its recent home-price change of +0.2% matches the profile's typical -0.0%.

See all 43 Sun Belt Exurban Boom counties →

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
31.1x

Overvalued relative to economy

Home Prices
+0.2%

Well below national median

Climate & Terrain
2.8

Moderate climate & terrain

Price/Rent
19x

Above national median (15x)

Housing looks overvalued at 31.1x — home prices are high relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    Tooele County School District Education
  2. 2
    Tooele Army Depot Military
  3. 3
    Tooele City Government
  4. 4
    Kennecott Utah Copper Other
  5. 5
    Clean Harbors Other
  6. 6
    EnergySolutions (formerly Envirocare) Energy
  7. 7
    Walmart Retail
  8. 8
    McDonald's Hospitality
  9. 9
    UPS Logistics
  10. 10
    United States Postal Service Government

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Tooele County U.S. National

Bars show trailing 12-month growth. The dashed Forecast bars are the model's next-12-month projection; the whisker marks the ±1% range (cooling–accelerating).

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
79,347
+3.52% YoY
Median Household Income
$106,587
Median Home Value
$431,600
+0.23% 12mo
Median Rent
$1,189
Average Annual Pay
$53,680
-0.1% YoY
Employment
20,540
-0.4% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.247
Near national average
Migration Inflow
3.59%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
22.9%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$466,000
Days on Market
48
Moderate pace
Months of Supply
2.8
Seller's market
Sale-to-List Ratio
99.0%
Near asking price
Sold Above List
24.0%
Listings w/ Price Drops
29.2%
Building Permits (2025)
523
Single-Family Permits
439

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

B-
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
4.5
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
18.5
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
72.1
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Below national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Air Quality

B
AIR QUALITY
GRADE
Median AQI (3yr)
44.0
Good
Good Air Days
66%
725 of 1,095 days
Unhealthy+ Days (3yr)
22
Sensitive groups affected
Primary Pollutant
Ozone
Ground-level ozone
Yearly Trend
2021
43
2022
44
2023
45
Median AQI · lower is better

Source: EPA Air Quality System (2021–2023). Grade based on 3-year average median AQI. Learn about AQI →

[07] Capital Investment

$6,830M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
Nuclear Lifecycle Innovation Campus
State of Utah / U.S. Department of Energy
$5,000M Proposed
Dugway Proving Ground Data Center
CyrusOne (KKR and BlackRock)
$1,000M Proposed
Echo Master-Planned Community (1,260 homes)
Cole West
$600M Planned
Lexington Greens Master-planned Community (640+ residences)
Zenith Development
$100M Under Construction
Elektron Solar Project (80 MW)
D.E. Shaw Renewable Investments (DESRI)
$80M Operating
Central States Manufacturing Plant
Central States Manufacturing, Inc.
$50M Operating

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[08] Score Breakdown

Population Growth +3.5% 97 percentile
Income Growth +4.7% 87 percentile
Vacancy Rate 0.9% 57 percentile
Home Price Change +0.2% 29 percentile
Rent Growth +3.6% 63 percentile
Price/Rent 19x 21 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 1001 counties.

[09] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Tooele County, UT a good place to move to?

At 21/100, Tooele County faces headwinds that place it in the lower third of the 1001 counties we track. Median income of $106,587 combined with job growth of -0.4% suggests the local economy is struggling to keep pace with national trends.

Is Tooele County affordable?

Tooele County leans toward the expensive side. A median home value of $431,600 against an income-to-home-value ratio of 0.25 means housing eats a bigger share of local earnings than the national norm. Renters face $1,189/month on average.

Is Tooele County growing or shrinking?

Tooele County's population is growing — up +3.5% YoY — while the job market is roughly flat (employment change of -0.4%). Home values shifted +0.2% over the past year. In-migration is outpacing local hiring, which often points to remote workers or retirees driving the headcount.

Are people moving to Tooele County?

There's a moderate stream of newcomers. About 3.59% of residents moved from another state, which is above average and suggests Tooele County has appeal as a relocation destination — though it's not among the highest-inflow counties nationally.

[10] Similar Counties by Size & Score

Weber County, UT 23 Davis County, UT 18 Utah County, UT 25 Salt Lake County, UT 8 Washington County, UT 51 Box Elder County, UT 61 Chelan County, WA 21 Ross County, OH 21