88 / 100

Box Elder County, UT

Brigham City

RANK #122 / 996 NAT  ·  POP 58,291

1YR FORECAST: +2.5%

5YR OUTLOOK: +35%

Our model projects Box Elder County's housing market to grow +2.5% over the next year, significantly outpacing the national average.

[01] Why Box Elder County?

Box Elder County, Utah, is known for the Golden Spike National Historical Park, where the transcontinental railroad was completed in 1869. Located in Utah's northwest corner, it sits about an hour north of Salt Lake City, with Brigham City serving as its largest community and county seat. The county offers a mix of historic towns and rural communities, with diverse topography ranging from the Wellsville Mountains to the Great Salt Lake and its surrounding marshlands. Outdoor recreation is a significant draw, with opportunities for birdwatching at the Bear River Migratory Bird Refuge, boating and fishing at Willard Bay State Park and Mantua Reservoir, and numerous hiking and biking trails.

Life in Box Elder County appeals to families and those seeking a more conservative, community-oriented lifestyle. Commuting to Ogden is feasible, with Brigham City just 25 minutes north by car. The Box Elder School District serves the entire county with above-average public schools. The economy is largely driven by manufacturing, which is the county's largest employment sector. Agriculture also plays an important role, with abundant fruit orchards, especially peaches, being a local highlight. Recent economic developments include investments in manufacturing, with companies expanding operations and creating jobs.

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
6.2x

Above national median (4.7x)

GDP Growth
+0.7%

Well below national median

Home Prices
+1.5%

Above national median

Climate & Terrain
3.3

Favorable climate & terrain

Price/Rent
18x

Above national median (13x)

Housing is fairly valued at 6.2x relative to local economic output. Climate and geography support a structural premium. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    Northrop Grumman (formerly ATK/Thiokol) Manufacturing
    2,500+
  2. 2
    Autoliv ASP Manufacturing
    1,000+
  3. 3
    La-Z-Boy, Utah Manufacturing
    500+
  4. 4
    Walmart Distribution Center Logistics
  5. 5
    Nucor Steel, Utah Manufacturing
    250+
  6. 6
    Vulcraft (a subsidiary of Nucor Steel) Manufacturing
  7. 7
    Walmart Superstore Retail
  8. 8
    Swift Transportation Logistics
  9. 9
    Maddox Ranch House and The Lodge Hospitality
    100+
  10. 10
    Brigham City Community Hospital Healthcare

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Box Elder County U.S. National

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
58,291
+2.46% YoY
Median Household Income
$72,769
Median Home Value
$308,900
+1.48% 12mo
Median Rent
$927
Average Annual Pay
$59,175
+1.7% YoY
Employment
23,942
-0.1% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.2356
Near national average
Migration Inflow
4.24%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
25.8%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$435,000
Days on Market
55
Moderate pace
Months of Supply
3.5
Balanced market
Sale-to-List Ratio
98.7%
Near asking price
Sold Above List
16.4%
Listings w/ Price Drops
22.3%
Building Permits (2024)
479
Single-Family Permits
397

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

C+
SAFETY
GRADE
Firearm Fatalities
12.4
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
80.6
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Air Quality

B
AIR QUALITY
GRADE
Median AQI (3yr)
38.3
Good
Good Air Days
85%
849 of 1,004 days
Unhealthy+ Days (3yr)
4
Sensitive groups affected
Primary Pollutant
Ozone
Ground-level ozone
Yearly Trend
2021
42
2022
35
2023
38
Median AQI · lower is better

Source: EPA Air Quality System (2021–2023). Grade based on 3-year average median AQI. Learn about AQI →

[07] Capital Investment

$7,954M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
Wonder Valley AI Data Center Project
O'Leary Digital
$7,500M Planned
Nucor Towers & Structures Production Plant
Nucor Towers & Structures, Inc.
$204M Planned
Rocket Solar Project
Rocket Solar, LLC (Enyo Renewable Energy affiliate)
$100M Operating
Steel Solar Project
DE Shaw Renewable Investments
$100M Operating
Lithium Extraction Plant
Lilac Solutions
$50M Proposed

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[08] Score Breakdown

GDP Growth +0.7% 13 percentile
Population Growth +2.5% 93 percentile
Income Growth +7.8% 34 percentile
Vacancy Rate 0.9% 67 percentile
Home Price Change +1.5% 52 percentile
Rent Growth +7.0% 90 percentile
Price/Rent 18x 14 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 996 counties.

[09] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Box Elder County, UT a good place to move to?

Box Elder County ranks #122 out of 996 U.S. counties on the Boom Town Index with a score of 88/100, placing it in the top tier nationally. Median household income is $72,769 and the underlying growth metrics (housing, migration, income) hold up against peer counties.

Is Box Elder County affordable?

Box Elder County leans toward the expensive side. A median home value of $308,900 against an income-to-home-value ratio of 0.24 means housing eats a bigger share of local earnings than the national norm. Renters face $927/month on average.

Is Box Elder County growing or shrinking?

Box Elder County's population is growing — up +2.5% YoY — while the job market is roughly flat (employment change of -0.1%). Home values shifted +1.5% over the past year. In-migration is outpacing local hiring, which often points to remote workers or retirees driving the headcount.

Are people moving to Box Elder County?

There's a moderate stream of newcomers. About 4.24% of residents moved from another state, which is above average and suggests Box Elder County has appeal as a relocation destination — though it's not among the highest-inflow counties nationally.

[10] Similar Counties by Size & Score

Iron County, UT 81 Cache County, UT 72 Weber County, UT 66 Davis County, UT 63 Utah County, UT 49 Washington County, UT 45 Lowndes County, MS 88 Otter Tail County, MN 88