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Nueces County, TX

RANK #885 / 1001 NAT  ·  #51 / 72 TX  ·  POP 352,955

1YR FORECAST: -2.1%

5YR OUTLOOK: +20%

Our model projects Nueces County's housing market at -2.1% over the next year, underperforming most U.S. counties.

[01] Why Nueces County?

Nueces County, Texas, is defined by its Gulf Coast location, with Corpus Christi Bay curving into its terrain and the Nueces River forming its northern boundary. The county seat, Corpus Christi, is about 145 miles southeast of San Antonio and 210 miles southwest of Houston. This coastal setting offers extensive outdoor recreation, including Padre Island National Seashore, Mustang Island State Park, and numerous opportunities for fishing, boating, and birdwatching. The climate is humid-subtropical with mild winters, making it a draw for those seeking warmer weather. Commutes average around 21.7 minutes, with major highways like I-37 and U.S. Highway 77 serving the area.

Life in Nueces County offers a blend of coastal living and community, attracting a diverse population. The economy is shaped by industries such as tourism, healthcare, shipping, and agriculture. The Port of Corpus Christi serves as a significant economic driver. Recent economic developments indicate growth in industrial zones, particularly in the western and northwestern parts of the county, driven by the expansion of energy and logistics sectors. This industrial growth is expected to lead to further residential and service-sector development, creating demand for housing and retail. The Corpus Christi Regional Transportation Authority provides public transportation options, including bus services and rural transportation to surrounding communities. The county has multiple school districts, including Corpus Christi ISD and Calallen ISD.

MARKET PROFILE

Idiosyncratic Markets

Nueces County's data profile doesn't fit any single market profile cleanly — its housing, labor, and demographic signals pull in different directions (home prices -0.8% YoY, population +0.0%, wages +3.0%). About 414 U.S. counties show this kind of mixed-signal pattern.

See all 414 Idiosyncratic Markets counties →

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
7.1x

Overvalued relative to economy

Home Prices
-0.8%

Prices declining

Climate & Terrain
3.3

Favorable climate & terrain

Price/Rent
12x

Below national median (15x)

Housing looks overvalued at 7.1x — home prices are high relative to local economic output. Climate and geography support a structural premium. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    Naval Air Station-Corpus Christi Military
    5,000+
  2. 2
    Corpus Christi ISD Education
  3. 3
    CHRISTUS Spohn Health Systems Healthcare
  4. 4
    H.E.B. Retail
  5. 5
    Corpus Christi Army Depot (CCAD) Military
    2,500+
  6. 6
    City of Corpus Christi Government
  7. 7
    AEP Texas Energy
    1,000+
  8. 8
    Bay Ltd. Other
  9. 9
    Nueces County Government
  10. 10
    Del Mar College Education

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Nueces County U.S. National

Bars show trailing 12-month growth. The dashed Forecast bars are the model's next-12-month projection; the whisker marks the ±1% range (cooling–accelerating).

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
352,955
+0.04% YoY
Median Household Income
$66,897
Median Home Value
$208,800
-0.81% 12mo
Median Rent
$1,283
Average Annual Pay
$62,291
+3.0% YoY
Employment
166,159
+1.5% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.3204
More affordable than average
Migration Inflow
3.01%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
23.8%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Building Permits (2025)
1,496
Single-Family Permits
1,332

[05] Crime & Safety

D
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
8.7
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
18.2
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
79.9
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Above national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Air Quality

B-
AIR QUALITY
GRADE
Median AQI (3yr)
47.3
Good
Good Air Days
55%
604 of 1,094 days
Unhealthy+ Days (3yr)
6
Sensitive groups affected
Primary Pollutant
PM2.5
Fine particulate matter
Yearly Trend
2021
47
2022
47
2023
48
Median AQI · lower is better

Source: EPA Air Quality System (2021–2023). Grade based on 3-year average median AQI. Learn about AQI →

[07] Capital Investment

$2,635M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
Sunscape Renewable Energy (Solar & Battery Storage)
Vesper Energy
$1,000M Planned
Perseus Generation Plant (Natural Gas Peaker Plant)
ENGIE Flexible Generation NA LLC
$885M Proposed
Patriot Wind Farm
Avangrid Renewables, LLC
$226M Operating
Olympic BESS (Battery Storage)
Unknown
$223M Planned
Violet Storage (Battery Storage)
Unknown
$151M Planned
Carina (Battery Storage)
Engie North America
$150M Operating

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[08] Score Breakdown

Population Growth +0.0% 25 percentile
Income Growth +1.3% 19 percentile
Vacancy Rate 2.5% 2 percentile
Home Price Change -0.8% 20 percentile
Rent Growth -1.0% 6 percentile
Price/Rent 12x 83 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 1001 counties.

[09] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Nueces County, TX a good place to move to?

The data is not encouraging — Nueces County scores just 11/100 on the Boom Town Index, ranking #885 of 1001 counties. Job growth at +1.5% and median household income of $66,897 reflect an economy that has been contracting or stagnating relative to the rest of the country.

Is Nueces County affordable?

Housing in Nueces County is roughly in line with national affordability norms. The median home costs $208,800 and the income-to-home-value ratio sits at 0.32, with rents averaging $1,283/month. Not a bargain, but not a stretch for most local earners either.

Is Nueces County growing or shrinking?

Employers in Nueces County are hiring — job growth of +1.5% — but the population is close to flat (+0.0% YoY). Home values moved -0.8% over the past year. Labor demand is outpacing local population growth, which tends to tighten wages and housing.

Are people moving to Nueces County?

There's a moderate stream of newcomers. About 3.01% of residents moved from another state, which is above average and suggests Nueces County has appeal as a relocation destination — though it's not among the highest-inflow counties nationally.

[10] Similar Counties by Size & Score

Bell County, TX 10 Kerr County, TX 10 Montgomery County, TX 10 Grayson County, TX 9 Midland County, TX 9 Kaufman County, TX 14 Cass County, ND 11 El Dorado County, CA 11