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Randall County, TX

RANK #353 / 1001 NAT  ·  #18 / 72 TX  ·  POP 146,070

1YR FORECAST: +0.6%

5YR OUTLOOK: +31%

Randall County's housing market is projected to grow +0.6% over the next year, tracking near the national average.

[01] Why Randall County?

Randall County, Texas, stands out for Palo Duro Canyon State Park, often called the "Grand Canyon of Texas." This natural landmark, the second-largest canyon in the United States, offers dramatic geological features, including multicolored rock layers and steep mesa walls. Located in the Texas Panhandle, with its county seat in Canyon, the area is about 15 miles south of Amarillo. Commutes within the county and to nearby Amarillo are generally manageable, though a study suggests average travel times to work in Potter and Randall County are closer to 20-25 minutes. The community offers a blend of small-town atmosphere and access to city amenities. Outdoor recreation abounds with over 30 miles of trails for hiking, biking, and horseback riding within Palo Duro Canyon State Park, alongside camping and glamping options. The county also features Buffalo Lake National Wildlife Refuge, providing additional recreational opportunities.

Life in Randall County is characterized by a family-friendly environment and highly-rated public schools, with an average math proficiency score of 56% and reading proficiency score of 62%, exceeding statewide averages. Most residents own their homes, and the cost of living is lower than the U.S. average. The local economy sees growth in sectors like healthcare, retail, and educational services. Major investment is also flowing into data centers and energy sectors, contributing to the county's economic landscape.

MARKET PROFILE

Idiosyncratic Markets

Randall County's data profile doesn't fit any single market profile cleanly — its housing, labor, and demographic signals pull in different directions (home prices +2.5% YoY, population +1.6%, wages +2.8%). About 414 U.S. counties show this kind of mixed-signal pattern.

See all 414 Idiosyncratic Markets counties →

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
16.8x

Overvalued relative to economy

Home Prices
+2.5%

Above national median

Climate & Terrain
2.4

Moderate climate & terrain

Price/Rent
13x

Below national median (15x)

Housing looks overvalued at 16.8x — home prices are high relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    Amarillo Independent School District Education
    2,500+
  2. 2
    Tyson Foods, Inc. Manufacturing
  3. 3
    BSA Health System Healthcare
  4. 4
    CNS Pantex Government
  5. 5
    City of Amarillo Government
    1,000+
  6. 6
    Amarillo College Education
  7. 7
    Canyon Independent School District Education
  8. 8
    Bell Helicopter Manufacturing
  9. 9
    West Texas A&M University Education
    500+
  10. 10
    Randall County Government
    250+

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Randall County U.S. National

Bars show trailing 12-month growth. The dashed Forecast bars are the model's next-12-month projection; the whisker marks the ±1% range (cooling–accelerating).

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
146,070
+1.58% YoY
Median Household Income
$83,864
Median Home Value
$238,800
+2.45% 12mo
Median Rent
$1,170
Average Annual Pay
$55,860
+2.8% YoY
Employment
37,247
+0.7% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.3512
More affordable than average
Migration Inflow
5.07%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
33.7%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$284,999
Days on Market
49
Moderate pace
Months of Supply
2.3
Seller's market
Listings w/ Price Drops
21.0%
Building Permits (2025)
90
Single-Family Permits
84

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

B-
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
4.2
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
17.9
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
75.2
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Below national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Air Quality

B
AIR QUALITY
GRADE
Median AQI (3yr)
43.3
Good
Good Air Days
77%
814 of 1,061 days
Unhealthy+ Days (3yr)
8
Sensitive groups affected
Primary Pollutant
Ozone
Ground-level ozone
Yearly Trend
2021
42
2022
44
2023
44
Median AQI · lower is better

Source: EPA Air Quality System (2021–2023). Grade based on 3-year average median AQI. Learn about AQI →

[07] Capital Investment

$6,050M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
Project Matador (AI Data Center Campus)
Fermi America (co-founded by Rick Perry)
$5,000M Proposed
Claude Data Center
Hoffman Construction
$750M Under Construction
Randall Solar
Unknown
$250M Planned
Lano Realty Townhome Development
Lano Realty
$50M Under Construction

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[08] Score Breakdown

Population Growth +1.6% 81 percentile
Income Growth +3.7% 72 percentile
Vacancy Rate 1.6% 15 percentile
Home Price Change +2.5% 61 percentile
Rent Growth +5.5% 81 percentile
Price/Rent 13x 75 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 1001 counties.

[09] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Randall County, TX a good place to move to?

With a Boom Town Index score of 64/100, Randall County sits in the upper half of all 1001 ranked counties. Employment is expanding at +0.7%, and median household income stands at $83,864 — indicators that suggest solid fundamentals even if it's not among the fastest-growing counties in TX.

Is Randall County affordable?

By national standards, Randall County is quite affordable. Homes here have a median value of $238,800, and the income-to-home-value ratio of 0.35 is well above the U.S. average — especially with median rent at just $1,170/month. Residents can generally buy a home without being cost-burdened.

Is Randall County growing or shrinking?

Randall County's population is growing — up +1.6% YoY — while the job market is roughly flat (employment change of +0.7%). Home values shifted +2.5% over the past year. In-migration is outpacing local hiring, which often points to remote workers or retirees driving the headcount.

Are people moving to Randall County?

In significant numbers — 5.07% of Randall County's current population relocated from another state, well above the national norm. That level of in-migration usually signals a county where jobs, affordability, or quality of life are pulling people in from elsewhere.

[10] Similar Counties by Size & Score

Rusk County, TX 66 Harrison County, TX 67 Coryell County, TX 68 Orange County, TX 68 Wichita County, TX 60 Gregg County, TX 69 Sangamon County, IL 64 Rockingham County, NC 64