70 / 100

Navarro County, TX

RANK #298 / 1001 NAT  ·  #11 / 72 TX  ·  POP 54,711

1YR FORECAST: -0.3%

5YR OUTLOOK: +32%

Our model projects above-average housing market growth for Navarro County at -0.3% over the next year.

[01] Why Navarro County?

Corsicana, the county seat, anchors Navarro County, a region in north-central Texas known for its historic downtown and its role in the state's early oil industry. Located about 40 miles south of Dallas along Interstate 45, the county offers a commute to the larger metropolitan area. The landscape features rolling prairies, farmland, and wooded areas, with notable outdoor recreation opportunities at Navarro Mills Lake and Richland-Chambers Reservoir, popular for fishing, boating, and camping. Corsicana also maintains several local parks, including IOOF Park with its walking trails and playgrounds, and Lake Halbert Park, offering scenic views and lake access.

Life in Navarro County offers a blend of small-town living with access to larger city amenities. Public schools in districts like Mildred ISD and Corsicana ISD serve the area. The economy, historically rooted in agriculture and oil, is seeing new activity. Recent economic development efforts in Corsicana and Navarro County aim to attract new businesses, with a focus on sectors like data centers and energy. Community Transit Services provides demand-response transportation within Navarro and Ellis counties, assisting residents with local travel.

MARKET PROFILE

Idiosyncratic Markets

Navarro County's data profile doesn't fit any single market profile cleanly — its housing, labor, and demographic signals pull in different directions (home prices +1.1% YoY, population +1.8%, wages +2.3%). About 414 U.S. counties show this kind of mixed-signal pattern.

See all 414 Idiosyncratic Markets counties →

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
10.9x

Overvalued relative to economy

Home Prices
+1.1%

Below national median

Climate & Terrain
0.6

Moderate climate & terrain

Price/Rent
12x

Strong rental yield

Housing looks overvalued at 10.9x — home prices are high relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    Collin Street Bakery Manufacturing
    500+
  2. 2
    Navarro College Education
  3. 3
    Navarro Regional Hospital Healthcare
    250+
  4. 4
    Walmart Supercenter Retail
  5. 5
    Corsicana City Hall Government
  6. 6
    Guardian Industries Corp. Manufacturing
  7. 7
    Nucor Steel Manufacturing
  8. 8
    Russell Stover Candies Manufacturing
  9. 9
    Kohl's Distribution Center Retail
  10. 10
    Corsicana Bedding Manufacturing

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Navarro County U.S. National

Bars show trailing 12-month growth. The dashed Forecast bars are the model's next-12-month projection; the whisker marks the ±1% range (cooling–accelerating).

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
54,711
+1.82% YoY
Median Household Income
$63,111
Median Home Value
$172,600
+1.08% 12mo
Median Rent
$1,076
Average Annual Pay
$51,405
+2.3% YoY
Employment
16,804
+2.1% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.3656
More affordable than average
Migration Inflow
5.08%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
18.2%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$270,000
Days on Market
63
Slower market
Months of Supply
5.6
Buyer's market
Sale-to-List Ratio
96.4%
Negotiation room for buyers
Sold Above List
10.3%
Listings w/ Price Drops
28.9%
Building Permits (2025)
477
Single-Family Permits
459

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

D
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
9.0
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
19.7
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
82.0
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Above national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Air Quality

B
AIR QUALITY
GRADE
Median AQI (3yr)
43.7
Good
Good Air Days
66%
725 of 1,093 days
Unhealthy+ Days (3yr)
1
Sensitive groups affected
Primary Pollutant
Ozone
Ground-level ozone
Yearly Trend
2021
41
2022
44
2023
46
Median AQI · lower is better

Source: EPA Air Quality System (2021–2023). Grade based on 3-year average median AQI. Learn about AQI →

[07] Capital Investment

$2,176M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
Riot Platforms Corsicana Facility (1 GW total capacity)
Riot Platforms, Inc.
$1,000M Under Construction
Limestone Wind Project
Limestone Wind Project, LLC
$299M Operating
Yellow Cat Wind Project
RWE
$270M Planned
Pisgah Ridge Solar Project
Duke Energy Sustainable Solutions
$250M Operating
Armadillo Solar Project
AES
$204M Proposed
Briar Creek Solar Farm
Lightsource bp
$153M Operating

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[08] Score Breakdown

Population Growth +1.8% 85 percentile
Income Growth +6.4% 97 percentile
Vacancy Rate 0.9% 59 percentile
Home Price Change +1.1% 40 percentile
Rent Growth -0.4% 9 percentile
Price/Rent 12x 91 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 1001 counties.

[09] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Navarro County, TX a good place to move to?

With a Boom Town Index score of 70/100, Navarro County sits in the upper half of all 1001 ranked counties. Employment is expanding at +2.1%, and median household income stands at $63,111 — indicators that suggest solid fundamentals even if it's not among the fastest-growing counties in TX.

Is Navarro County affordable?

By national standards, Navarro County is quite affordable. Homes here have a median value of $172,600, and the income-to-home-value ratio of 0.37 is well above the U.S. average — especially with median rent at just $1,076/month. Residents can generally buy a home without being cost-burdened.

Is Navarro County growing or shrinking?

Navarro County is growing on multiple fronts. Population is up +1.8% year-over-year while employers added jobs at a +2.1% clip. Home values shifted +1.1% in the past year.

Are people moving to Navarro County?

In significant numbers — 5.08% of Navarro County's current population relocated from another state, well above the national norm. That level of in-migration usually signals a county where jobs, affordability, or quality of life are pulling people in from elsewhere.

[10] Similar Counties by Size & Score

Victoria County, TX 70 Cameron County, TX 71 Gregg County, TX 69 Coryell County, TX 68 Orange County, TX 68 Harrison County, TX 67 Dickson County, TN 70 Taney County, MO 70