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Navarro County, TX

Corsicana

RANK #290 / 996 NAT  ·  #14 / 69 TX  ·  POP 52,834

1YR FORECAST: +0.0%

5YR OUTLOOK: +29%

Our model projects above-average housing market growth for Navarro County at +0.0% over the next year.

[01] Why Navarro County?

Corsicana, the county seat, anchors Navarro County, a region in north-central Texas known for its historic downtown and its role in the state's early oil industry. Located about 40 miles south of Dallas along Interstate 45, the county offers a commute to the larger metropolitan area. The landscape features rolling prairies, farmland, and wooded areas, with notable outdoor recreation opportunities at Navarro Mills Lake and Richland-Chambers Reservoir, popular for fishing, boating, and camping. Corsicana also maintains several local parks, including IOOF Park with its walking trails and playgrounds, and Lake Halbert Park, offering scenic views and lake access.

Life in Navarro County offers a blend of small-town living with access to larger city amenities. Public schools in districts like Mildred ISD and Corsicana ISD serve the area. The economy, historically rooted in agriculture and oil, is seeing new activity. Recent economic development efforts in Corsicana and Navarro County aim to attract new businesses, with a focus on sectors like data centers and energy. Community Transit Services provides demand-response transportation within Navarro and Ellis counties, assisting residents with local travel.

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
4.0x

Below national median (4.7x)

GDP Growth
+1.9%

Below national median

Home Prices
-0.2%

Prices declining

Climate & Terrain
0.6

Moderate climate & terrain

Price/Rent
10x

Strong rental yield

Housing is fairly valued at 4.0x relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    Collin Street Bakery Manufacturing
    500+
  2. 2
    Navarro College Education
  3. 3
    Navarro Regional Hospital Healthcare
    250+
  4. 4
    Walmart Supercenter Retail
  5. 5
    Corsicana City Hall Government
  6. 6
    Guardian Industries Corp. Manufacturing
  7. 7
    Nucor Steel Manufacturing
  8. 8
    Russell Stover Candies Manufacturing
  9. 9
    Kohl's Distribution Center Retail
  10. 10
    Corsicana Bedding Manufacturing

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Navarro County U.S. National

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
52,834
+1.78% YoY
Median Household Income
$56,261
Median Home Value
$142,300
-0.23% 12mo
Median Rent
$978
Average Annual Pay
$50,252
+2.5% YoY
Employment
16,462
-1.2% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.3954
More affordable than average
Migration Inflow
3.95%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
17.0%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$268,500
Days on Market
103
Slower market
Months of Supply
8.6
Buyer's market
Sale-to-List Ratio
94.1%
Negotiation room for buyers
Sold Above List
4.2%
Listings w/ Price Drops
26.1%
Building Permits (2024)
530
Single-Family Permits
522

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

D
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
9.0
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
19.7
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
82.0
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Above national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Air Quality

B
AIR QUALITY
GRADE
Median AQI (3yr)
43.7
Good
Good Air Days
66%
725 of 1,093 days
Unhealthy+ Days (3yr)
1
Sensitive groups affected
Primary Pollutant
Ozone
Ground-level ozone
Yearly Trend
2021
41
2022
44
2023
46
Median AQI · lower is better

Source: EPA Air Quality System (2021–2023). Grade based on 3-year average median AQI. Learn about AQI →

[07] Capital Investment

$2,176M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
Riot Platforms Corsicana Facility (1 GW total capacity)
Riot Platforms, Inc.
$1,000M Under Construction
Limestone Wind Project
Limestone Wind Project, LLC
$299M Operating
Yellow Cat Wind Project
RWE
$270M Planned
Pisgah Ridge Solar Project
Duke Energy Sustainable Solutions
$250M Operating
Armadillo Solar Project
AES
$204M Proposed
Briar Creek Solar Farm
Lightsource bp
$153M Operating

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[08] Score Breakdown

GDP Growth +1.9% 33 percentile
Population Growth +1.8% 87 percentile
Income Growth +11.5% 93 percentile
Vacancy Rate 0.6% 89 percentile
Home Price Change -0.2% 29 percentile
Price/Rent 10x 92 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 996 counties.

[09] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Navarro County, TX a good place to move to?

With a Boom Town Index score of 71/100, Navarro County sits in the upper half of all 996 ranked counties. and median household income stands at $56,261 — indicators that suggest solid fundamentals even if it's not among the fastest-growing counties in TX.

Is Navarro County affordable?

By national standards, Navarro County is quite affordable. Homes here have a median value of $142,300, and the income-to-home-value ratio of 0.40 is well above the U.S. average — especially with median rent at just $978/month. Residents can generally buy a home without being cost-burdened.

Is Navarro County growing or shrinking?

Navarro County is attracting residents (population +1.8% YoY) even as the job market softens with employment at -1.2%. Housing values changed -0.2% over the past 12 months. People may be moving here for affordability or lifestyle reasons rather than job opportunities.

Are people moving to Navarro County?

There's a moderate stream of newcomers. About 3.95% of residents moved from another state, which is above average and suggests Navarro County has appeal as a relocation destination — though it's not among the highest-inflow counties nationally.

[10] Similar Counties by Size & Score

Van Zandt County, TX 71 Jefferson County, TX 72 Wichita County, TX 68 Liberty County, TX 67 Angelina County, TX 64 Gregg County, TX 63 Bradford County, PA 71 Granville County, NC 71