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Warren County, NY

RANK #138 / 1001 NAT  ·  #12 / 45 NY  ·  POP 65,517

1YR FORECAST: +3.3%

5YR OUTLOOK: +35%

Our model projects Warren County's housing market to grow +3.3% over the next year, significantly outpacing the national average.

[01] Why Warren County?

Lake George, a prominent resort village, anchors Warren County, New York, a region almost entirely encompassed by the Adirondack Park. Located in northeastern New York, the county is approximately an hour's drive north of Albany. Commuting within the county is primarily done by car, with an average commute time of 21.5 minutes, though public bus services are available in the greater Glens Falls area, including routes to Lake George. The community offers a blend of natural scenery with mountains and over 20 lakes, alongside cultural attractions like The Hyde Collection art museum in Glens Falls. Outdoor recreation is a significant draw, with opportunities for hiking, biking, swimming, fishing, and winter sports.

Life in Warren County appeals to both young professionals and retirees, with a majority of residents owning their homes. The county's economy is shaped by its natural beauty and a history of entrepreneurship, with tourism, healthcare, and manufacturing as key industries. The tourism sector, particularly around Lake George, supports a substantial number of jobs. While the county faces challenges like workforce shortages, there is a projected increase in local jobs. Economic development efforts focus on supporting existing companies and attracting new businesses, with an emphasis on sectors like medical manufacturing.

MARKET PROFILE

Idiosyncratic Markets

Warren County's data profile doesn't fit any single market profile cleanly — its housing, labor, and demographic signals pull in different directions (home prices +5.8% YoY, population -0.1%, wages +3.7%). About 414 U.S. counties show this kind of mixed-signal pattern.

See all 414 Idiosyncratic Markets counties →

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
7.7x

Overvalued relative to economy

Home Prices
+5.8%

Outpacing national median

Climate & Terrain
0.0

Below-average climate & terrain

Price/Rent
15x

Below national median (15x)

Housing looks overvalued at 7.7x — home prices are high relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    Glens Falls Hospital Healthcare
    2,500+
  2. 2
    Hudson Headwaters Health Network Healthcare
    500+
  3. 3
    Finch Paper Manufacturing
    250+
  4. 4
    Warren County Government Government
  5. 5
    Warren County School Districts Education
  6. 6
    BD Bard Manufacturing
    100+
  7. 7
    AngioDynamics/Medline Manufacturing
  8. 8
    SUNY Adirondack Education
  9. 9
    Glens Falls National Bank & Trust Finance
  10. 10
    The Sagamore Resort Hospitality

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Warren County U.S. National

Bars show trailing 12-month growth. The dashed Forecast bars are the model's next-12-month projection; the whisker marks the ±1% range (cooling–accelerating).

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
65,517
-0.07% YoY
Median Household Income
$78,442
Median Home Value
$267,400
+5.82% 12mo
Median Rent
$1,105
Average Annual Pay
$61,775
+3.7% YoY
Employment
36,924
-0.1% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.2934
More affordable than average
Migration Inflow
3.68%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
36.4%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$406,500
Days on Market
33
Active market
Months of Supply
4.8
Balanced market
Sale-to-List Ratio
99.0%
Near asking price
Sold Above List
39.6%
Listings w/ Price Drops
18.8%
Building Permits (2025)
243
Single-Family Permits
194

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

B+
SAFETY
GRADE
Firearm Fatalities
5.0
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
55.4
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Capital Investment

$3,000M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
AWS Data Center Campus (Vicksburg, MS)
Amazon Web Services (AWS)
$3,000M Planned

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[07] Score Breakdown

Population Growth -0.1% 20 percentile
Income Growth +0.3% 9 percentile
Vacancy Rate 1.1% 42 percentile
Home Price Change +5.8% 92 percentile
Rent Growth +8.7% 96 percentile
Price/Rent 15x 50 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 1001 counties.

[08] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Warren County, NY a good place to move to?

Warren County ranks #138 out of 1001 U.S. counties on the Boom Town Index with a score of 86/100, placing it in the top tier nationally. Median household income is $78,442 and the underlying growth metrics (housing, migration, income) hold up against peer counties.

Is Warren County affordable?

Housing in Warren County is roughly in line with national affordability norms. The median home costs $267,400 and the income-to-home-value ratio sits at 0.29, with rents averaging $1,105/month. Not a bargain, but not a stretch for most local earners either.

Is Warren County growing or shrinking?

Population and employment in Warren County are both close to flat — population -0.1% YoY and jobs -0.1%. Home values shifted +5.8% over the past 12 months. A steady-state county, neither expanding quickly nor shrinking.

Are people moving to Warren County?

There's a moderate stream of newcomers. About 3.68% of residents moved from another state, which is above average and suggests Warren County has appeal as a relocation destination — though it's not among the highest-inflow counties nationally.

How is the housing market in Warren County?

Home values climbed +5.8% year-over-year, which is a solid pace of appreciation. The median home in Warren County is now valued at $267,400. That kind of growth typically reflects sustained demand rather than speculative frenzy.

[09] Similar Counties by Size & Score

Wayne County, NY 86 Niagara County, NY 87 Otsego County, NY 88 Chautauqua County, NY 84 Sullivan County, NY 89 Genesee County, NY 83 Jefferson County, OH 86 Chippewa County, WI 86