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Wayne County, NY

Arcadia

RANK #266 / 996 NAT  ·  #15 / 45 NY  ·  POP 91,324

1YR FORECAST: +3.5%

5YR OUTLOOK: +30%

#23 Most Affordable
Our model projects above-average housing market growth for Wayne County at +3.5% over the next year.

[01] Why Wayne County?

Wayne County, New York, is often recognized as the top apple-producing county in the state, with orchards and farm stands dotting its landscape. Located on the southern shore of Lake Ontario, it is part of the Finger Lakes region, situated less than 50 miles west of Syracuse and near Rochester. The historic Erie Canal also flows through the southern part of the county, with villages like Newark, Lyons, and Palmyra featuring canal locks and towpaths now popular for hiking and biking. This blend of agricultural heritage and natural waterways contributes to a community feel that balances rural charm with access to larger urban centers. Outdoor recreation is a significant draw, with opportunities for hiking along Lake Ontario's bluffs at Chimney Bluffs State Park, exploring wildlife refuges, and enjoying various water activities.

Life in Wayne County offers a more relaxed pace, appealing to families and individuals seeking a connection to nature and a sense of community. Public transportation, including bus routes and shuttle services, connects towns within the county and provides links to Rochester, particularly for medical appointments. The county is served by multiple public school districts, including Wayne Central, Palmyra-Macedon, and Gananda. The economy is historically rooted in agriculture, particularly fruit cultivation, but recent developments show investment in other sectors. There has been recent growth in advanced manufacturing and optics, photonics, and imaging industries, with companies expanding operations. Additionally, efforts are underway to create affordable housing options through the repurposing of historic buildings.

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
3.5x

Undervalued relative to economy

GDP Growth
+0.2%

Well below national median

Home Prices
+3.9%

Outpacing national median

Climate & Terrain
-0.5

Below-average climate & terrain

Price/Rent
14x

Above national median (13x)

Housing looks undervalued at 3.5x — home prices are low relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    State Government Government
  2. 2
    Wayne County Memorial Hospital Association Healthcare
  3. 3
    Federal Government Government
  4. 4
    Wayne County Commissioners Government
  5. 5
    Wayne Highlands School District Education
  6. 6
    Wal-Mart Associates Inc. Retail
  7. 7
    Western Wayne School District Education
  8. 8
    Wayne Memorial Community Health Healthcare
  9. 9
    Weis Markets Inc. Retail
  10. 10
    Human Resources Center Inc. Other

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Wayne County U.S. National

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
91,324
-0.01% YoY
Median Household Income
$71,007
Median Home Value
$151,900
+3.92% 12mo
Median Rent
$877
Average Annual Pay
$56,984
+2.5% YoY
Employment
28,230
+1.0% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.4675
More affordable than average
Migration Inflow
3.66%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
25.0%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$242,500
Days on Market
15
Very hot — homes selling fast
Months of Supply
1.5
Seller's market
Sale-to-List Ratio
103.3%
Homes selling above asking
Sold Above List
48.8%
Listings w/ Price Drops
6.3%
Building Permits (2024)
263
Single-Family Permits
144

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

B
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
3.3
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
8.0
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
80.6
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Below national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Air Quality

B+
AIR QUALITY
GRADE
Median AQI (3yr)
33.0
Good
Good Air Days
95%
994 of 1,045 days
Unhealthy+ Days (3yr)
4
Sensitive groups affected
Primary Pollutant
Ozone
Ground-level ozone
Yearly Trend
2021
33
2022
33
2023
33
Median AQI · lower is better

Source: EPA Air Quality System (2021–2023). Grade based on 3-year average median AQI. Learn about AQI →

[07] Capital Investment

$33,259M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
R.E. Ginna Nuclear Power Plant License Extension
Constellation Energy Generation LLC
$33,000M Planned
Rosalen Solar+Storage Project
EDF Renewables
$200M Proposed
Coventry Commons Affordable Housing
Housing Visions and New CDM, LLC
$59M Under Construction

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[08] Score Breakdown

GDP Growth +0.2% 9 percentile
Population Growth -0.0% 30 percentile
Income Growth +10.7% 88 percentile
Vacancy Rate 0.6% 93 percentile
Home Price Change +3.9% 82 percentile
Price/Rent 14x 40 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 996 counties.

[09] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Wayne County, NY a good place to move to?

With a Boom Town Index score of 73/100, Wayne County sits in the upper half of all 996 ranked counties. Employment is expanding at +1.0%, and median household income stands at $71,007 — indicators that suggest solid fundamentals even if it's not among the fastest-growing counties in NY.

Is Wayne County affordable?

By national standards, Wayne County is quite affordable. Homes here have a median value of $151,900, and the income-to-home-value ratio of 0.47 is well above the U.S. average — especially with median rent at just $877/month. Residents can generally buy a home without being cost-burdened.

Is Wayne County growing or shrinking?

Population and employment in Wayne County are both close to flat — population -0.0% YoY and jobs +1.0%. Home values shifted +3.9% over the past 12 months. A steady-state county, neither expanding quickly nor shrinking.

Are people moving to Wayne County?

There's a moderate stream of newcomers. About 3.66% of residents moved from another state, which is above average and suggests Wayne County has appeal as a relocation destination — though it's not among the highest-inflow counties nationally.

[10] Similar Counties by Size & Score

Onondaga County, NY 73 Chemung County, NY 73 Fulton County, NY 74 Ontario County, NY 74 Herkimer County, NY 72 Schenectady County, NY 72 Woodbury County, IA 73 Jefferson County, WV 73