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Wayne County, NY

RANK #144 / 1001 NAT  ·  #13 / 45 NY  ·  POP 90,929

1YR FORECAST: +3.5%

5YR OUTLOOK: +35%

#24 Most Affordable
Our model projects Wayne County's housing market to grow +3.5% over the next year, significantly outpacing the national average.

[01] Why Wayne County?

Wayne County, New York, is often recognized as the top apple-producing county in the state, with orchards and farm stands dotting its landscape. Located on the southern shore of Lake Ontario, it is part of the Finger Lakes region, situated less than 50 miles west of Syracuse and near Rochester. The historic Erie Canal also flows through the southern part of the county, with villages like Newark, Lyons, and Palmyra featuring canal locks and towpaths now popular for hiking and biking. This blend of agricultural heritage and natural waterways contributes to a community feel that balances rural charm with access to larger urban centers. Outdoor recreation is a significant draw, with opportunities for hiking along Lake Ontario's bluffs at Chimney Bluffs State Park, exploring wildlife refuges, and enjoying various water activities.

Life in Wayne County offers a more relaxed pace, appealing to families and individuals seeking a connection to nature and a sense of community. Public transportation, including bus routes and shuttle services, connects towns within the county and provides links to Rochester, particularly for medical appointments. The county is served by multiple public school districts, including Wayne Central, Palmyra-Macedon, and Gananda. The economy is historically rooted in agriculture, particularly fruit cultivation, but recent developments show investment in other sectors. There has been recent growth in advanced manufacturing and optics, photonics, and imaging industries, with companies expanding operations. Additionally, efforts are underway to create affordable housing options through the repurposing of historic buildings.

MARKET PROFILE

Heartland Steady Growth

Wayne County is one of 145 U.S. counties in this market profile — near the profile average on the BoomTown Index. Within this cohort, its recent home-price change of +5.3% matches the profile's typical +4.9%.

See all 145 Heartland Steady Growth counties →

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
9.1x

Overvalued relative to economy

Home Prices
+5.3%

Outpacing national median

Climate & Terrain
-0.5

Below-average climate & terrain

Price/Rent
15x

Below national median (15x)

Housing looks overvalued at 9.1x — home prices are high relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    State Government Government
  2. 2
    Wayne County Memorial Hospital Association Healthcare
  3. 3
    Federal Government Government
  4. 4
    Wayne County Commissioners Government
  5. 5
    Wayne Highlands School District Education
  6. 6
    Wal-Mart Associates Inc. Retail
  7. 7
    Western Wayne School District Education
  8. 8
    Wayne Memorial Community Health Healthcare
  9. 9
    Weis Markets Inc. Retail
  10. 10
    Human Resources Center Inc. Other

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Wayne County U.S. National

Bars show trailing 12-month growth. The dashed Forecast bars are the model's next-12-month projection; the whisker marks the ±1% range (cooling–accelerating).

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
90,929
-0.22% YoY
Median Household Income
$74,506
Median Home Value
$170,000
+5.26% 12mo
Median Rent
$938
Average Annual Pay
$58,821
+3.2% YoY
Employment
28,762
+1.9% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.4383
More affordable than average
Migration Inflow
3.08%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
25.6%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$254,900
Days on Market
9
Very hot — homes selling fast
Months of Supply
2.4
Seller's market
Sale-to-List Ratio
111.3%
Homes selling above asking
Sold Above List
68.3%
Listings w/ Price Drops
15.2%
Building Permits (2025)
414
Single-Family Permits
180

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

B
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
3.3
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
8.0
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
80.6
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Below national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Air Quality

B+
AIR QUALITY
GRADE
Median AQI (3yr)
33.0
Good
Good Air Days
95%
994 of 1,045 days
Unhealthy+ Days (3yr)
4
Sensitive groups affected
Primary Pollutant
Ozone
Ground-level ozone
Yearly Trend
2021
33
2022
33
2023
33
Median AQI · lower is better

Source: EPA Air Quality System (2021–2023). Grade based on 3-year average median AQI. Learn about AQI →

[07] Capital Investment

$33,259M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
R.E. Ginna Nuclear Power Plant License Extension
Constellation Energy Generation LLC
$33,000M Planned
Rosalen Solar+Storage Project
EDF Renewables
$200M Proposed
Coventry Commons Affordable Housing
Housing Visions and New CDM, LLC
$59M Under Construction

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[08] Score Breakdown

Population Growth -0.2% 12 percentile
Income Growth +0.8% 13 percentile
Vacancy Rate 0.3% 99 percentile
Home Price Change +5.3% 88 percentile
Price/Rent 15x 53 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 1001 counties.

[09] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Wayne County, NY a good place to move to?

Wayne County ranks #144 out of 1001 U.S. counties on the Boom Town Index with a score of 86/100, putting it in the top tier nationally. Job growth of +1.9% and a median household income of $74,506 point to a county with active economic momentum.

Is Wayne County affordable?

By national standards, Wayne County is quite affordable. Homes here have a median value of $170,000, and the income-to-home-value ratio of 0.44 is well above the U.S. average — especially with median rent at just $938/month. Residents can generally buy a home without being cost-burdened.

Is Wayne County growing or shrinking?

Employers in Wayne County are hiring — job growth of +1.9% — but the population is close to flat (-0.2% YoY). Home values moved +5.3% over the past year. Labor demand is outpacing local population growth, which tends to tighten wages and housing.

Are people moving to Wayne County?

There's a moderate stream of newcomers. About 3.08% of residents moved from another state, which is above average and suggests Wayne County has appeal as a relocation destination — though it's not among the highest-inflow counties nationally.

How is the housing market in Wayne County?

Home values climbed +5.3% year-over-year, which is a solid pace of appreciation. The median home in Wayne County is now valued at $170,000. That kind of growth typically reflects sustained demand rather than speculative frenzy.

[10] Similar Counties by Size & Score

Warren County, NY 86 Niagara County, NY 87 Otsego County, NY 88 Chautauqua County, NY 84 Sullivan County, NY 89 Genesee County, NY 83 Monroe County, FL 86 Montcalm County, MI 86