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Bronx County, NY

The Bronx

RANK #507 / 996 NAT  ·  #32 / 45 NY  ·  POP 1,443,229

1YR FORECAST: +2.5%

5YR OUTLOOK: +23%

#9 Most Overvalued
Bronx County's housing market is projected to grow +2.5% over the next year, below the national average.

[01] Why Bronx County?

Bronx County, coextensive with the Bronx borough, stands out as the only New York City borough primarily located on the U.S. mainland. A local might first mention its expansive green spaces, such as Pelham Bay Park, the city's largest park at 2,772 acres, or Van Cortlandt Park, the third largest. These parks offer extensive natural scenery, including forests, wetlands, and lakes, with amenities like hiking trails, golf courses, and Orchard Beach. Commuting to Manhattan is facilitated by subway and Metro-North Railroad lines, which generally run north-south. The community feel varies across neighborhoods, from the suburban atmosphere of Riverdale to the urban density of Mott Haven.

Life in Bronx County reflects a diverse urban experience. While some areas, particularly the South Bronx, have historically faced economic challenges and higher poverty rates, recent years have seen revitalization efforts. The economy is largely driven by small businesses, with the healthcare and social assistance sectors showing significant job growth. The New York City Department of Education oversees public schools, which serve a diverse student population. Residents utilize an extensive public transit system of subways and buses for local and inter-borough travel.

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
16.0x

Overvalued relative to economy

GDP Growth
+2.2%

Below national median

Home Prices
+5.2%

Outpacing national median

Climate & Terrain
1.0

Moderate climate & terrain

Price/Rent
16x

Above national median (13x)

Housing looks overvalued at 16.0x — home prices are high relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    New York City Department of Education Education
    50,000+
  2. 2
    New York City Police Department Government
    25,000+
  3. 3
    Montefiore Health System Healthcare
    10,000+
  4. 4
    Keurig Green Mountain Manufacturing
    5,000+
  5. 5
    Smithsonian Institution Other
  6. 6
    New York City Housing Authority Government
  7. 7
    Nasdaq Finance
    1,000+
  8. 8
    Sirius XM Radio Other
  9. 9
    Bronx Zoo Hospitality
  10. 10
    FreshDirect Retail
    500+

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Bronx County U.S. National

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
1,443,229
-1.7% YoY
Median Household Income
$47,036
Median Home Value
$501,400
+5.17% 12mo
Median Rent
$1,401
Average Annual Pay
$70,650
+3.0% YoY
Employment
332,669
+3.6% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.0938
Less affordable than average
Migration Inflow
2.16%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
21.2%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$609,000
Days on Market
95
Slower market
Months of Supply
7.6
Buyer's market
Sale-to-List Ratio
98.0%
Negotiation room for buyers
Sold Above List
20.0%
Listings w/ Price Drops
16.3%
Building Permits (2024)
6,929
Single-Family Permits
8

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

C
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
7.6
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
6.2
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
73.6
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Above national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Air Quality

B-
AIR QUALITY
GRADE
Median AQI (3yr)
46.0
Good
Good Air Days
58%
636 of 1,095 days
Unhealthy+ Days (3yr)
18
Includes 1 Very Unhealthy
Primary Pollutant
PM2.5
Fine particulate matter
Yearly Trend
2021
47
2022
44
2023
47
Median AQI · lower is better

Source: EPA Air Quality System (2021–2023). Grade based on 3-year average median AQI. Learn about AQI →

[07] Score Breakdown

GDP Growth +2.2% 39 percentile
Population Growth -1.7% 1 percentile
Income Growth +7.6% 27 percentile
Vacancy Rate 0.9% 64 percentile
Home Price Change +5.2% 90 percentile
Rent Growth +1.7% 29 percentile
Price/Rent 16x 30 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 996 counties.

[08] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Bronx County, NY a good place to move to?

Bronx County scores 49/100 on the Boom Town Index, landing in the middle of the pack among 996 U.S. counties (#507). Median household income is $47,036 and job growth is running at +3.6%. The data points to a county with mixed signals — some positive indicators alongside areas that lag faster-growing peers.

Is Bronx County affordable?

Affordability is a real challenge in Bronx County. The median home is valued at $501,400 — with an income-to-home-value ratio of just 0.09, that's significantly harder to afford than in most U.S. counties. Median rent runs $1,401/month.

Is Bronx County growing or shrinking?

It's a mixed picture in Bronx County. The population is declining (-1.7% YoY), but employers are actually hiring — job growth is at +3.6%. Home values moved +5.2% in the last year. That tension between shrinking population and expanding employment often signals a county in transition.

Are people moving to Bronx County?

There's a moderate stream of newcomers. About 2.16% of residents moved from another state, which is above average and suggests Bronx County has appeal as a relocation destination — though it's not among the highest-inflow counties nationally.

How is the housing market in Bronx County?

Home values climbed +5.2% year-over-year, which is a solid pace of appreciation. The median home in Bronx County is now valued at $501,400. That kind of growth typically reflects sustained demand rather than speculative frenzy.

[09] Similar Counties by Size & Score

Nassau County, NY 50 Monroe County, NY 50 Steuben County, NY 48 Columbia County, NY 52 New York County, NY 52 Queens County, NY 52 Fresno County, CA 49 Kern County, CA 49