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Bronx County, NY

The Bronx

RANK #84 / 1001 NAT  ·  #5 / 45 NY  ·  POP 1,404,779

1YR FORECAST: +2.4%

5YR OUTLOOK: +37%

#26 Most Overvalued
Our model projects Bronx County's housing market to grow +2.4% over the next year, significantly outpacing the national average.

[01] Why Bronx County?

Bronx County, coextensive with the Bronx borough, stands out as the only New York City borough primarily located on the U.S. mainland. A local might first mention its expansive green spaces, such as Pelham Bay Park, the city's largest park at 2,772 acres, or Van Cortlandt Park, the third largest. These parks offer extensive natural scenery, including forests, wetlands, and lakes, with amenities like hiking trails, golf courses, and Orchard Beach. Commuting to Manhattan is facilitated by subway and Metro-North Railroad lines, which generally run north-south. The community feel varies across neighborhoods, from the suburban atmosphere of Riverdale to the urban density of Mott Haven.

Life in Bronx County reflects a diverse urban experience. While some areas, particularly the South Bronx, have historically faced economic challenges and higher poverty rates, recent years have seen revitalization efforts. The economy is largely driven by small businesses, with the healthcare and social assistance sectors showing significant job growth. The New York City Department of Education oversees public schools, which serve a diverse student population. Residents utilize an extensive public transit system of subways and buses for local and inter-borough travel.

MARKET PROFILE

Persistent Housing Weakness

Bronx County is one of 11 U.S. counties in this market profile — stronger than typical on the BoomTown Index. Within this cohort, its recent home-price change of +5.9% runs above the profile's typical -1.1%.

See all 11 Persistent Housing Weakness counties →

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
29.2x

Overvalued relative to economy

Home Prices
+5.9%

Outpacing national median

Climate & Terrain
1.0

Moderate climate & terrain

Price/Rent
16x

Above national median (15x)

Housing looks overvalued at 29.2x — home prices are high relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    New York City Department of Education Education
    50,000+
  2. 2
    New York City Police Department Government
    25,000+
  3. 3
    Montefiore Health System Healthcare
    10,000+
  4. 4
    Keurig Green Mountain Manufacturing
    5,000+
  5. 5
    Smithsonian Institution Other
  6. 6
    New York City Housing Authority Government
  7. 7
    Nasdaq Finance
    1,000+
  8. 8
    Sirius XM Radio Other
  9. 9
    Bronx Zoo Hospitality
  10. 10
    FreshDirect Retail
    500+

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Bronx County U.S. National

Bars show trailing 12-month growth. The dashed Forecast bars are the model's next-12-month projection; the whisker marks the ±1% range (cooling–accelerating).

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
1,404,779
-1.02% YoY
Median Household Income
$48,676
Median Home Value
$529,500
+5.91% 12mo
Median Rent
$1,458
Average Annual Pay
$71,821
+1.7% YoY
Employment
354,113
+6.4% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.0919
Less affordable than average
Migration Inflow
1.82%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
22.4%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$613,750
Days on Market
75
Slower market
Months of Supply
6.5
Buyer's market
Sale-to-List Ratio
98.6%
Near asking price
Sold Above List
26.8%
Listings w/ Price Drops
20.1%
Building Permits (2025)
6,032
Single-Family Permits
4

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

C
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
7.6
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
6.2
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
73.6
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Above national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Air Quality

B-
AIR QUALITY
GRADE
Median AQI (3yr)
46.0
Good
Good Air Days
58%
636 of 1,095 days
Unhealthy+ Days (3yr)
18
Includes 1 Very Unhealthy
Primary Pollutant
PM2.5
Fine particulate matter
Yearly Trend
2021
47
2022
44
2023
47
Median AQI · lower is better

Source: EPA Air Quality System (2021–2023). Grade based on 3-year average median AQI. Learn about AQI →

[07] Score Breakdown

Population Growth -1.0% 1 percentile
Income Growth -0.7% 4 percentile
Vacancy Rate 1.1% 42 percentile
Home Price Change +5.9% 92 percentile
Rent Growth +3.2% 54 percentile
Price/Rent 16x 45 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 1001 counties.

[08] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Bronx County, NY a good place to move to?

Bronx County ranks #84 out of 1001 U.S. counties on the Boom Town Index with a score of 92/100, putting it in the top tier nationally. Job growth of +6.4% and a median household income of $48,676 point to a county with active economic momentum.

Is Bronx County affordable?

Affordability is a real challenge in Bronx County. The median home is valued at $529,500 — with an income-to-home-value ratio of just 0.09, that's significantly harder to afford than in most U.S. counties. Median rent runs $1,458/month.

Is Bronx County growing or shrinking?

It's a mixed picture in Bronx County. The population is declining (-1.0% YoY), but employers are actually hiring — job growth is at +6.4%. Home values moved +5.9% in the last year. That tension between shrinking population and expanding employment often signals a county in transition.

Are many people relocating to Bronx County?

Not particularly — 1.82% of Bronx County's population moved in from another state, which is below the national average. Most residents are long-term locals rather than recent transplants.

How is the housing market in Bronx County?

Home values climbed +5.9% year-over-year, which is a solid pace of appreciation. The median home in Bronx County is now valued at $529,500. That kind of growth typically reflects sustained demand rather than speculative frenzy.

[09] Other NY Counties

Madison County, NY 92 Cattaraugus County, NY 92 Chemung County, NY 94 Broome County, NY 90 Jefferson County, NY 90 Oneida County, NY 90