A tight cluster of counties united by chronic housing weakness — five-year price CAGRs near zero or negative, peak-to-current drawdowns exceeding 10%, and pandemic-era surges that fell well below the national average. Members include New York's Manhattan and Bronx alongside Louisiana parishes (Jefferson, Tangipahoa, Lafourche, St. Tammany) and a handful of New Mexico and South Carolina counties. The common thread is housing prices that failed to grow even during the 2020-2022 surge that lifted most of the country — and the BoomTown forecasting model agrees the underperformance is likely to continue rather than mean-revert.
5yr CAGR negative or near zero, peak-to-current drawdown below -10%, pandemic surge below 25%, BoomTown Score within 30 points of the profile mean (~55).
Average values across the 11 counties in this profile.
Sorted by BoomTown Index score. Click any county for its full profile.
Market profiles describe each county's housing-market character, derived empirically from 24 housing, labor, and demographic features across 987 U.S. counties using hierarchical clustering. Counties whose BoomTown Score diverges sharply from a profile's typical range are moved to Idiosyncratic Markets and get a custom narrative instead. Read the methodology →