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Lea County, NM

RANK #73 / 1001 NAT  ·  #3 / 11 NM  ·  POP 73,733

1YR FORECAST: -0.3%

5YR OUTLOOK: +37%

#34 Best for Investment
Our model projects Lea County's housing market to grow -0.3% over the next year, significantly outpacing the national average.

[01] Why Lea County?

Lea County, New Mexico, located in the southeastern corner of the state, is characterized by its high plains and proximity to the Texas border. Hobbs, the largest city, was founded in 1907 and serves as a central hub for the county. The area is known for its wide-open spaces and a climate that offers warm, sunny winters. While lacking major rivers, the county's natural amenities score highly due to its climate and topography. Outdoor recreation opportunities include local parks and trails for walking and biking, and nearby Bottomless Lakes State Park offers swimming, fishing, and non-motorized boating. Life in Lea County is often described as family-friendly, with many residents owning their homes. Public transportation, such as Hobbs Express, offers fixed routes and on-demand services within Hobbs. The economy is largely driven by the energy sector, particularly oil and gas extraction, which has historically been a significant employer. Agriculture, including cattle and dairy, also plays a role in the local economy. The county has seen recent investments in sectors like data centers and energy, contributing to its economic landscape.

MARKET PROFILE

Persistent Housing Weakness

Lea County is one of 11 U.S. counties in this market profile — stronger than typical on the BoomTown Index. Within this cohort, its recent home-price change of +0.5% runs above the profile's typical -1.1%.

See all 11 Persistent Housing Weakness counties →

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
5.5x

Below national median (11.3x)

Home Prices
+0.5%

Well below national median

Climate & Terrain
1.8

Moderate climate & terrain

Price/Rent
11x

Strong rental yield

Housing is fairly valued at 5.5x relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    Nor-Lea Hospital District Healthcare
    500+
  2. 2
    Lovington Municipal Schools Education
  3. 3
    City of Hobbs Government
  4. 4
    Ingram Professional Services Energy
    250+
  5. 5
    Lea County Government
  6. 6
    Mewbourne Oil Company Energy
  7. 7
    Watsons Construction Other
  8. 8
    New Mexico Junior College Education

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Lea County U.S. National

Bars show trailing 12-month growth. The dashed Forecast bars are the model's next-12-month projection; the whisker marks the ±1% range (cooling–accelerating).

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
73,733
+0.79% YoY
Median Household Income
$68,015
Median Home Value
$184,000
+0.54% 12mo
Median Rent
$1,101
Average Annual Pay
$71,774
+3.5% YoY
Employment
34,036
+0.8% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.3696
More affordable than average
Migration Inflow
1.47%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
15.5%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$279,950
Days on Market
14
Very hot — homes selling fast
Months of Supply
1.4
Seller's market
Listings w/ Price Drops
35.2%
Building Permits (2025)
143
Single-Family Permits
143

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

D
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
11.1
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
21.5
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
110.9
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Well above national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Air Quality

B
AIR QUALITY
GRADE
Median AQI (3yr)
44.3
Good
Good Air Days
67%
729 of 1,094 days
Unhealthy+ Days (3yr)
15
Sensitive groups affected
Primary Pollutant
Ozone
Ground-level ozone
Yearly Trend
2021
44
2022
44
2023
45
Median AQI · lower is better

Source: EPA Air Quality System (2021–2023). Grade based on 3-year average median AQI. Learn about AQI →

[07] Capital Investment

$7,676M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
AI Data Center Campus (with Natural Gas and Nuclear Power)
New Era Energy & Digital
$5,000M Planned
Stellar Renewable Power Solar & Battery Storage Facility
Stellar Renewable Power (Gainer Solar, Stellar Gainer Bess)
$1,180M Planned
Cunningham Solar & Battery Storage Projects
Xcel Energy
$550M Planned
Community Solar & Battery Storage Portfolio (Multiple Projects)
Various
$496M Planned
Pasilla Solar and Battery Storage
Pasilla Solar and Battery Storage
$250M Planned
Lea Wind Project
Undisclosed
$200M Planned

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[08] Score Breakdown

Population Growth +0.8% 58 percentile
Income Growth -1.1% 3 percentile
Vacancy Rate 1.9% 9 percentile
Home Price Change +0.5% 33 percentile
Rent Growth +6.4% 89 percentile
Price/Rent 11x 94 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 1001 counties.

[09] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Lea County, NM a good place to move to?

Lea County ranks #73 out of 1001 U.S. counties on the Boom Town Index with a score of 93/100, putting it in the top tier nationally. Job growth of +0.8% and a median household income of $68,015 point to a county with active economic momentum.

Is Lea County affordable?

By national standards, Lea County is quite affordable. Homes here have a median value of $184,000, and the income-to-home-value ratio of 0.37 is well above the U.S. average — especially with median rent at just $1,101/month. Residents can generally buy a home without being cost-burdened.

Is Lea County growing or shrinking?

Lea County's population is growing — up +0.8% YoY — while the job market is roughly flat (employment change of +0.8%). Home values shifted +0.5% over the past year. In-migration is outpacing local hiring, which often points to remote workers or retirees driving the headcount.

Are many people relocating to Lea County?

Not particularly — 1.47% of Lea County's population moved in from another state, which is below the national average. Most residents are long-term locals rather than recent transplants.

[10] Similar Counties by Size & Score

Chaves County, NM 91 Eddy County, NM 97 San Juan County, NM 100 Doña Ana County, NM 63 Bernalillo County, NM 49 Valencia County, NM 48 Raleigh County, WV 93 Lee County, NC 93