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Chaves County, NM

Roswell

RANK #917 / 996 NAT  ·  #11 / 11 NM  ·  POP 64,701

1YR FORECAST: -2.4%

5YR OUTLOOK: +11%

#41 Best Rental Yield
Our model projects Chaves County's housing market at -2.4% over the next year, underperforming most U.S. counties.

[01] Why Chaves County?

Chaves County, New Mexico, is widely recognized for Roswell, its county seat, which draws visitors globally due to the alleged 1947 UFO incident. Beyond the extraterrestrial lore, the county, located in southeastern New Mexico, offers a blend of desert landscapes and the Pecos River valley. It is approximately three hours southeast of Albuquerque. Commutes within the main city of Roswell are generally manageable, and the community maintains a small-town feel despite its notable reputation. Outdoor recreation is a significant draw, with Bitter Lake National Wildlife Refuge providing habitat for migratory birds and diverse aquatic life, and Bottomless Lakes State Park offering opportunities for hiking, swimming, and kayaking amidst unique sinkhole lakes.

Life in Chaves County is characterized by a welcoming atmosphere and a focus on community values, appealing to families and retirees. The public school districts in Chaves County, including Roswell Independent Schools, Dexter Consolidated Schools, Hagerman Municipal Schools, and Lake Arthur Municipal Schools, are noted for their quality. The local economy is supported by diverse sectors such as agriculture, dairying, ranching, and manufacturing. Recent economic developments indicate growth in areas like retail trade, construction, and oil and gas extraction, with ongoing investments in data centers and energy.

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
3.8x

Undervalued relative to economy

GDP Growth
+5.3%

Well above national median

Home Prices
-3.5%

Prices declining

Climate & Terrain
3.9

Favorable climate & terrain

Price/Rent
9x

Strong rental yield

Housing looks undervalued at 3.8x — home prices are low relative to local economic output. Climate and geography support a structural premium. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    Leprino Foods Manufacturing
    500+
  2. 2
    Roswell Independent School District Education
  3. 3
    Eastern New Mexico University - Roswell (ENMU-R) Education
    100+
  4. 4
    CAVU Aerospace Logistics
  5. 5
    AerSale Logistics
  6. 6
    Dean Baldwin Painting Logistics
  7. 7
    Sceye Technology

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Chaves County U.S. National

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
64,701
-0.48% YoY
Median Household Income
$49,673
Median Home Value
$133,200
-3.46% 12mo
Median Rent
$850
Average Annual Pay
$47,769
+5.6% YoY
Employment
21,658
+1.8% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.3729
More affordable than average
Migration Inflow
2.76%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
17.5%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$194,500
Days on Market
44
Moderate pace
Months of Supply
4.5
Balanced market
Listings w/ Price Drops
21.6%
Building Permits (2024)
88
Single-Family Permits
88

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

F
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
16.6
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
32.9
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
125.6
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Well above national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Air Quality

A
AIR QUALITY
GRADE
Median AQI (3yr)
24.7
Good
Good Air Days
90%
325 of 360 days
Unhealthy+ Days (3yr)
0
Sensitive groups affected
Primary Pollutant
PM2.5
Fine particulate matter
Yearly Trend
2021
24
2022
26
2023
24
Median AQI · lower is better

Source: EPA Air Quality System (2021–2023). Grade based on 3-year average median AQI. Learn about AQI →

[07] Capital Investment

$7,054M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
Zenith Volts Corp. Data Center Campus
Zenith Volts Corp.
$6,000M Approved
Chaves Battery/Storage Portfolio (3 projects)
Undisclosed
$509M Planned
Coyote Willow Energy Park (Solar & Battery Storage)
Undisclosed (NextEra Energy Resources is a major developer in the area)
$375M Planned
Roswell and Chaves County Solar Energy Centers
NextEra Energy Resources and Xcel Energy
$140M Operating
Chaves County Solar II
Chaves County Solar II, LLC
$30M Built

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[08] Score Breakdown

GDP Growth +5.3% 86 percentile
Population Growth -0.5% 11 percentile
Income Growth +4.3% 2 percentile
Vacancy Rate 1.2% 36 percentile
Home Price Change -3.5% 7 percentile
Rent Growth -1.4% 4 percentile
Price/Rent 9x 96 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 996 counties.

[09] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Chaves County, NM a good place to move to?

The data is not encouraging — Chaves County scores just 7/100 on the Boom Town Index, ranking #917 of 996 counties. Job growth at +1.8% and median household income of $49,673 reflect an economy that has been contracting or stagnating relative to the rest of the country.

Is Chaves County affordable?

By national standards, Chaves County is quite affordable. Homes here have a median value of $133,200, and the income-to-home-value ratio of 0.37 is well above the U.S. average — especially with median rent at just $850/month. Residents can generally buy a home without being cost-burdened.

Is Chaves County growing or shrinking?

Employers in Chaves County are hiring — job growth of +1.8% — but the population is close to flat (-0.5% YoY). Home values moved -3.5% over the past year. Labor demand is outpacing local population growth, which tends to tighten wages and housing.

Are people moving to Chaves County?

There's a moderate stream of newcomers. About 2.76% of residents moved from another state, which is above average and suggests Chaves County has appeal as a relocation destination — though it's not among the highest-inflow counties nationally.

[10] Similar Counties by Size & Score

Santa Fe County, NM 8 Sandoval County, NM 17 Bernalillo County, NM 29 Otero County, NM 34 Lea County, NM 37 McKinley County, NM 42 Armstrong County, PA 7 Columbia County, FL 7