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Valencia County, NM

Los Lunas

RANK #294 / 996 NAT  ·  #3 / 11 NM  ·  POP 76,613

1YR FORECAST: +4.2%

5YR OUTLOOK: +29%

#8 Best Rental Yield
Our model projects above-average housing market growth for Valencia County at +4.2% over the next year.

[01] Why Valencia County?

Valencia County, New Mexico, offers a blend of rural charm and accessibility, anchored by towns like Los Lunas, the county seat, and Belen, the largest town. Located just 20 minutes south of Albuquerque, the county provides a commute for residents working in the larger metropolitan area, with an average travel time of about 30 minutes. The community maintains a relaxed pace of life, with a strong sense of local identity. Outdoor recreation is a significant draw, with the Manzano Mountains to the east offering hiking, camping, and horseback riding in the Cibola National Forest. The Whitfield Wildlife Conservation Area in Belen provides opportunities for birdwatching and learning about wetland ecology along the Middle Rio Grande.

Life in Valencia County appeals to families and those seeking a quieter lifestyle with access to urban amenities. The public school system serves over 12,000 students across 27 schools, with Los Lunas Schools being the largest employer in the county. Commute options include the New Mexico Rail Runner Express, with stations in Los Lunas and Isleta, offering connections to Albuquerque and Santa Fe. The local economy is diversifying beyond its agricultural roots, with recent investments in manufacturing, particularly in sustainable industries like aluminum production. Construction and retail trade also represent significant sectors.

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
7.7x

Overvalued relative to economy

GDP Growth
+4.9%

Well above national median

Home Prices
+1.7%

Above national median

Climate & Terrain
3.0

Favorable climate & terrain

Price/Rent
8x

Strong rental yield

Housing looks overvalued at 7.7x — home prices are high relative to local economic output. Climate and geography support a structural premium. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    Walmart Retail
    10,000+
  2. 2
    Presbyterian Healthcare Services Healthcare
  3. 3
    McDonald's Hospitality
    2,500+
  4. 4
    Amazon Retail
  5. 5
    Valencia County Government Government
  6. 6
    Los Lunas Public Schools Education
  7. 7
    Belen Consolidated Schools Education
  8. 8
    University of New Mexico-Valencia County Campus Education
  9. 9
    Quest Diagnostics Healthcare
  10. 10
    The Home Depot Retail

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Valencia County U.S. National

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
76,613
+0.82% YoY
Median Household Income
$56,246
Median Home Value
$184,400
+1.7% 12mo
Median Rent
$873
Average Annual Pay
$49,642
+6.9% YoY
Employment
17,446
+2.3% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.305
More affordable than average
Migration Inflow
3.69%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
21.1%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Building Permits (2024)
282
Single-Family Permits
282

[05] Crime & Safety

D
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
11.2
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
24.4
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
114.0
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Well above national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Air Quality

B
AIR QUALITY
GRADE
Median AQI (3yr)
42.0
Good
Good Air Days
84%
901 of 1,078 days
Unhealthy+ Days (3yr)
2
Sensitive groups affected
Primary Pollutant
Ozone
Ground-level ozone
Yearly Trend
2021
43
2022
41
2023
42
Median AQI · lower is better

Source: EPA Air Quality System (2021–2023). Grade based on 3-year average median AQI. Learn about AQI →

[07] Capital Investment

$3,153M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
Aluminum Can Sheet Rolling Mill and Recycling Center
Manna Capital Partners and Ball Corporation
$2,000M Under Construction
Meta Los Lunas Data Center Expansion (Phase 3)
Meta Platforms
$800M Planned
Sky Ranch Solar and Battery Storage
NextEra Energy / Sky Ranch Solar and Storage
$240M Operating/Planned
Los Lunas Boulevard Corridor Project (I-25 Interchange and Rio Grande Bridge)
Village of Los Lunas
$50M Under Construction
Cuidando Los Niños Community Solar Project (7 installations)
Affordable Solar
$35M Under Construction
Valencia County Hospital
Community Hospital Corporation and Lovelace Health Systems
$28M Under Construction

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[08] Score Breakdown

GDP Growth +4.9% 83 percentile
Population Growth +0.8% 65 percentile
Income Growth +4.6% 3 percentile
Vacancy Rate 0.8% 72 percentile
Home Price Change +1.7% 55 percentile
Rent Growth +30.5% 100 percentile
Price/Rent 8x 99 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 996 counties.

[09] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Valencia County, NM a good place to move to?

With a Boom Town Index score of 70/100, Valencia County sits in the upper half of all 996 ranked counties. Employment is expanding at +2.3%, and median household income stands at $56,246 — indicators that suggest solid fundamentals even if it's not among the fastest-growing counties in NM.

Is Valencia County affordable?

Housing in Valencia County is roughly in line with national affordability norms. The median home costs $184,400 and the income-to-home-value ratio sits at 0.30, with rents averaging $873/month. Not a bargain, but not a stretch for most local earners either.

Is Valencia County growing or shrinking?

Valencia County is growing on multiple fronts. Population is up +0.8% year-over-year while employers added jobs at a +2.3% clip. Home values shifted +1.7% in the past year.

Are people moving to Valencia County?

There's a moderate stream of newcomers. About 3.69% of residents moved from another state, which is above average and suggests Valencia County has appeal as a relocation destination — though it's not among the highest-inflow counties nationally.

[10] Similar Counties by Size & Score

Eddy County, NM 74 San Juan County, NM 90 McKinley County, NM 42 Doña Ana County, NM 42 Lea County, NM 37 Otero County, NM 34 Ward County, ND 70 Catoosa County, GA 70