33 / 100

New York County, NY

Manhattan

RANK #667 / 1001 NAT  ·  #43 / 45 NY  ·  POP 1,629,477

1YR FORECAST: +0.2%

5YR OUTLOOK: +26%

#5 Most Undervalued
Our model projects New York County's housing market at +0.2% over the next year, underperforming most U.S. counties.

[01] Why New York County?

Manhattan, coextensive with New York County, is an island borough renowned for its iconic skyline, featuring landmarks like the Empire State Building and One World Trade Center. Bounded by the Hudson River to the west and the East River to the east, it is the most densely populated borough in New York City. Commuting within Manhattan and to surrounding boroughs is primarily done via the extensive subway system, buses, and ferries, with regional rail lines connecting to nearby suburbs. While often perceived as a concrete jungle, Central Park offers a significant green oasis, and waterfront parks like Hudson River Park provide outdoor recreation opportunities.

Life in Manhattan is characterized by its fast pace and diverse communities, attracting individuals seeking career opportunities and cultural experiences. The economy is a global hub for finance, media, and entertainment, with a significant presence of Fortune 500 companies and a growing tech sector. Tourism also remains a major economic driver. The New York City Department of Education oversees public schools, and numerous prestigious universities are located within the borough. Recent economic developments show growth in sectors like healthcare and social assistance, though challenges like housing affordability persist.

MARKET PROFILE

Persistent Housing Weakness

New York County is one of 11 U.S. counties in this market profile — weaker than typical on the BoomTown Index. Within this cohort, its recent home-price change of +2.0% runs above the profile's typical -1.1%.

See all 11 Persistent Housing Weakness counties →

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
4.0x

Below national median (11.3x)

Home Prices
+2.0%

Above national median

Climate & Terrain
-0.3

Below-average climate & terrain

Price/Rent
20x

Above national median (15x)

Housing is fairly valued at 4.0x relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    City of New York Government
    50,000+
  2. 2
    PwC Other
  3. 3
    JPMorgan Chase & Co. Finance
  4. 4
    American Express Finance
  5. 5
    Warner Bros. Discovery Other
    25,000+
  6. 6
    NewYork-Presbyterian Hospital Healthcare
    10,000+
  7. 7
    Stony Brook University Education
  8. 8
    ZS Other
  9. 9
    Google Technology
    5,000+
  10. 10
    MassMutual Finance

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

New York County U.S. National

Bars show trailing 12-month growth. The dashed Forecast bars are the model's next-12-month projection; the whisker marks the ±1% range (cooling–accelerating).

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
1,629,477
+0.1% YoY
Median Household Income
$103,931
Median Home Value
$1,090,500
+2.01% 12mo
Median Rent
$2,197
Average Annual Pay
$176,784
+7.1% YoY
Employment
2,487,868
+0.9% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.0953
Less affordable than average
Migration Inflow
2.74%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
64.2%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$1,450,000
Days on Market
84
Slower market
Months of Supply
8.2
Buyer's market
Sale-to-List Ratio
99.4%
Near asking price
Sold Above List
1.9%
Listings w/ Price Drops
27.9%
Building Permits (2025)
2,984
Single-Family Permits
1

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

B+
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
2.9
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
2.4
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
52.1
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Well below national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Air Quality

B
AIR QUALITY
GRADE
Median AQI (3yr)
44.7
Good
Good Air Days
61%
673 of 1,095 days
Unhealthy+ Days (3yr)
17
Includes 1 Very Unhealthy
Primary Pollutant
PM2.5
Fine particulate matter
Yearly Trend
2021
43
2022
43
2023
48
Median AQI · lower is better

Source: EPA Air Quality System (2021–2023). Grade based on 3-year average median AQI. Learn about AQI →

[07] Capital Investment

$61,100M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
Anthropic/Fluidstack New York Data Centers (AI Infrastructure)
Anthropic, Fluidstack
$50,000M Planned
New Advanced Nuclear Power Plant (Upstate New York)
New York Power Authority (NYPA)
$10,000M Proposed
Digital Realty Data Center Portfolio (JFK10, JFK12, JFK13)
Digital Realty
$500M Operating
Equinix Data Center Portfolio (NY1, NY9, etc.)
Equinix
$300M Operating
Sabey Data Center (375 Pearl Street)
Sabey Data Centers
$200M Operating
QTS Data Center (395 Hudson St.)
QTS
$100M Operating

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[08] Score Breakdown

Population Growth +0.1% 26 percentile
Income Growth -0.6% 5 percentile
Vacancy Rate 2.3% 4 percentile
Home Price Change +2.0% 56 percentile
Rent Growth +6.2% 88 percentile
Price/Rent 20x 17 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 1001 counties.

[09] Frequently Asked Questions

Is New York County, NY a good place to move to?

At 33/100, New York County faces headwinds that place it in the lower third of the 1001 counties we track. Median income of $103,931 combined with job growth of +0.9% suggests the local economy is struggling to keep pace with national trends.

Is New York County affordable?

Affordability is a real challenge in New York County. The median home is valued at $1,090,500 — with an income-to-home-value ratio of just 0.10, that's significantly harder to afford than in most U.S. counties. Median rent runs $2,197/month.

Is New York County growing or shrinking?

Population and employment in New York County are both close to flat — population +0.1% YoY and jobs +0.9%. Home values shifted +2.0% over the past 12 months. A steady-state county, neither expanding quickly nor shrinking.

Are people moving to New York County?

There's a moderate stream of newcomers. About 2.74% of residents moved from another state, which is above average and suggests New York County has appeal as a relocation destination — though it's not among the highest-inflow counties nationally.

[10] Similar Counties by Size & Score

Westchester County, NY 34 Orange County, NY 36 Rockland County, NY 38 Tompkins County, NY 28 Washington County, NY 41 Albany County, NY 44 St. Louis County, MO 33 Broward County, FL 34