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Fresno County, CA

RANK #576 / 1001 NAT  ·  #23 / 43 CA  ·  POP 1,016,725

1YR FORECAST: -0.2%

5YR OUTLOOK: +17%

#33 Best Climate & Terrain
Fresno County's housing market is projected to grow -0.2% over the next year, below the national average.

[01] Why Fresno County?

Known as the "Raisin Capital of the World," Fresno County, California, is where nearly all of the nation's raisins are grown and sun-dried. Located in the Central Valley, Fresno is about a two-hour drive from San Francisco and three hours from Sacramento. The community offers a blend of urban amenities and small-town charm. The county is a gateway to the Sierra Nevada mountains and three national parks: Yosemite, Kings Canyon, and Sequoia, all within a 90-minute drive. Residents and visitors can enjoy outdoor recreation such as paddling on Millerton or Shaver Lake, white water rafting on the Kings River, or hiking numerous trails.

Life in Fresno County offers affordability compared to other parts of California. The region is a major agricultural center, producing a wide variety of crops, and this industry forms the backbone of the local economy. While agriculture provides many jobs, employment can be seasonal. Recent economic developments include significant investment in renewable energy sectors, with projects focused on solar power and battery storage. These initiatives aim to repurpose agricultural land and create new job opportunities.

MARKET PROFILE

Western Premium Correction

Fresno County is one of 78 U.S. counties in this market profile — stronger than typical on the BoomTown Index. Within this cohort, its recent home-price change of +1.2% runs above the profile's typical -0.8%.

See all 78 Western Premium Correction counties →

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
15.3x

Overvalued relative to economy

Home Prices
+1.2%

Below national median

Climate & Terrain
6.0

Favorable climate & terrain

Price/Rent
16x

Above national median (15x)

Housing looks overvalued at 15.3x — home prices are high relative to local economic output. Climate and geography support a structural premium. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    Fresno Unified School District Education
    10,000+
  2. 2
    Community Medical Centers Healthcare
    5,000+
  3. 3
    County of Fresno Government
  4. 4
    California State University, Fresno Education
  5. 5
    Clovis Unified School District Education
  6. 6
    City of Fresno Government
    2,500+
  7. 7
    Saint Agnes Medical Center Healthcare
  8. 8
    Kaiser Permanente Healthcare
    1,000+
  9. 9
    State Center Community College District Education
  10. 10
    Cargill Manufacturing

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Fresno County U.S. National

Bars show trailing 12-month growth. The dashed Forecast bars are the model's next-12-month projection; the whisker marks the ±1% range (cooling–accelerating).

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
1,016,725
+0.45% YoY
Median Household Income
$74,201
Median Home Value
$388,800
+1.19% 12mo
Median Rent
$1,392
Average Annual Pay
$60,417
+4.3% YoY
Employment
428,665
+0.4% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.1908
Near national average
Migration Inflow
2.41%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
24.3%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$430,750
Days on Market
44
Moderate pace
Months of Supply
3.2
Balanced market
Sale-to-List Ratio
99.1%
Near asking price
Sold Above List
35.5%
Listings w/ Price Drops
25.8%
Building Permits (2025)
2,271
Single-Family Permits
2,002

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

D
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
8.5
per 100K · nat avg 6.5
Firearm Fatalities
11.7
per 100K · nat avg 13.4
Injury Deaths
71.6
per 100K · nat avg 83.6
vs National Average
Above national avg
based on homicide rate
10-Year Trend
Up 12% since 2015
homicide rate, 2015 → 2025

Source: Homicide rates from CDC/NCHS vital-statistics mortality data — a multi-year average that stabilizes counts in smaller counties — compiled in the County Health Rankings 2025 release. Rates per 100,000 population; U.S. average ≈ 6.5. Grade reflects homicide rate relative to the national average. Learn more →

See where Fresno County stands nationally: safest large counties in America · highest homicide-rate counties.

[06] Air Quality

D
AIR QUALITY
GRADE
Median AQI (3yr)
67.7
Moderate
Good Air Days
22%
237 of 1,095 days
Unhealthy+ Days (3yr)
210
Includes 2 Very Unhealthy
Primary Pollutant
Ozone
Ground-level ozone
Yearly Trend
2021
68
2022
71
2023
64
Median AQI · lower is better

Source: EPA Air Quality System (2021–2023). Grade based on 3-year average median AQI. Learn about AQI →

[07] Capital Investment

$3,380M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
Darden Clean Energy Project
IP Darden I, LLC (subsidiary of Intersect Power)
$2,500M Under Construction
Key Energy Storage
NextEra Energy Resources, LLC
$300M Proposed
Cornucopia Hybrid Project
BayWa r.e. Americas
$300M Proposed
South Lake Solar and Energy Storage Project
South Lake Solar, LLC
$180M Proposed
Southeast Development Area (SEDA) Specific Plan
City of Fresno
$50M Planned
Copper River Ranch (Expansion Phases)
Unknown
$50M Planned

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[08] Score Breakdown

Population Growth +0.5% 42 percentile
Income Growth +3.9% 76 percentile
Vacancy Rate 0.9% 59 percentile
Home Price Change +1.2% 36 percentile
Rent Growth +3.5% 56 percentile
Price/Rent 16x 41 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 1001 counties.

[09] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Fresno County, CA a good place to move to?

Fresno County scores 42/100 on the Boom Town Index, landing in the middle of the pack among 1001 U.S. counties (#576). Median household income is $74,201 and job growth is running at +0.4%. The data points to a county with mixed signals — some positive indicators alongside areas that lag faster-growing peers.

Is Fresno County affordable?

Fresno County leans toward the expensive side. A median home value of $388,800 against an income-to-home-value ratio of 0.19 means housing eats a bigger share of local earnings than the national norm. Renters face $1,392/month on average.

Is Fresno County growing or shrinking?

Population and employment in Fresno County are both close to flat — population +0.5% YoY and jobs +0.4%. Home values shifted +1.2% over the past 12 months. A steady-state county, neither expanding quickly nor shrinking.

Are people moving to Fresno County?

There's a moderate stream of newcomers. About 2.41% of residents moved from another state, which is above average and suggests Fresno County has appeal as a relocation destination — though it's not among the highest-inflow counties nationally.

[10] Similar Counties by Size & Score

Riverside County, CA 40 Butte County, CA 39 Contra Costa County, CA 46 Kern County, CA 46 Tehama County, CA 46 Monterey County, CA 35 Hennepin County, MN 42 Essex County, MA 41