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Sutter County, CA

Yuba City

RANK #810 / 996 NAT  ·  #21 / 43 CA  ·  POP 99,101

1YR FORECAST: -1.4%

5YR OUTLOOK: +15%

Our model projects Sutter County's housing market at -1.4% over the next year, underperforming most U.S. counties.

[01] Why Sutter County?

Sutter County, located in California's Central Valley, is distinguished by the Sutter Buttes, often called the "world's smallest mountain range," which rise abruptly from the otherwise flat agricultural landscape. The county seat, Yuba City, sits about 40 miles north of Sacramento. Commute options to Sacramento include express bus services. Bordered by the Sacramento and Feather Rivers, the county offers outdoor recreation like fishing, boating, and birdwatching in areas such as the Sutter National Wildlife Refuge and Gray Lodge Wildlife Area. The community maintains a rural feel, with a focus on agriculture.

Life in Sutter County offers a rural lifestyle with access to services and proximity to the Sacramento metropolitan area. The public schools in Sutter County are highly rated. The local economy is largely driven by its agricultural heritage, with significant production of peaches, rice, and walnuts. Recent economic developments show investment in commercial, residential, and healthcare sectors, with Yuba City experiencing growth in new home permits and retail options. Sutter County has been recognized as one of California's fastest-growing counties.

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
9.2x

Overvalued relative to economy

GDP Growth
+0.6%

Well below national median

Home Prices
-0.6%

Prices declining

Climate & Terrain
1.7

Moderate climate & terrain

Price/Rent
17x

Above national median (13x)

Housing looks overvalued at 9.2x — home prices are high relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    Yuba City Unified School District Education
    1,000+
  2. 2
    Sutter County Government
    500+
  3. 3
    Rush Personnel Other
  4. 4
    Legend Transportation, Inc. Logistics
  5. 5
    Sunsweet Growers Inc. Agriculture
  6. 6
    Sysco Sacramento, Inc. Logistics
    250+
  7. 7
    Sutter North Yuba City (Sutter Health) Healthcare
  8. 8
    Walmart - Yuba City Retail
  9. 9
    Express Employment Professionals Other
  10. 10
    Sierra Gold Nurseries Agriculture

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Sutter County U.S. National

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
99,101
+0.02% YoY
Median Household Income
$72,654
Median Home Value
$375,400
-0.63% 12mo
Median Rent
$1,289
Average Annual Pay
$55,174
+2.9% YoY
Employment
32,774
-0.2% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.1935
Near national average
Migration Inflow
5.65%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
20.6%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$451,500
Days on Market
38
Active market
Months of Supply
3.1
Balanced market
Sale-to-List Ratio
98.8%
Near asking price
Sold Above List
26.2%
Listings w/ Price Drops
33.8%
Building Permits (2024)
117
Single-Family Permits
117

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

C+
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
5.1
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
9.8
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
77.9
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Below national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Air Quality

C+
AIR QUALITY
GRADE
Median AQI (3yr)
53.3
Moderate
Good Air Days
41%
448 of 1,091 days
Unhealthy+ Days (3yr)
30
Sensitive groups affected
Primary Pollutant
PM2.5
Fine particulate matter
Yearly Trend
2021
59
2022
52
2023
49
Median AQI · lower is better

Source: EPA Air Quality System (2021–2023). Grade based on 3-year average median AQI. Learn about AQI →

[07] Capital Investment

$2,375M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
Sutter Health Ambulatory Projects (Multiple Sites)
Sutter Health
$1,000M Under Construction
Sutter Decarbonization Project (Sutter Energy Center Carbon Capture)
Calpine Corp-Sutter
$500M Proposed
Sutter Pointe Specific Plan (Master-Planned Community)
Sutter County
$500M Planned
Skylight Renewable Energy (Solar and Battery Storage)
Skylight Renewable Energy
$200M Proposed
Lakeside at Sutter Pointe (Phase 1 Residential & Commercial)
Lennar Homes
$175M Under Construction

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[08] Score Breakdown

GDP Growth +0.6% 12 percentile
Population Growth +0.0% 31 percentile
Income Growth +8.4% 48 percentile
Vacancy Rate 0.8% 77 percentile
Home Price Change -0.6% 24 percentile
Rent Growth -0.9% 5 percentile
Price/Rent 17x 22 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 996 counties.

[09] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Sutter County, CA a good place to move to?

The data is not encouraging — Sutter County scores just 18/100 on the Boom Town Index, ranking #810 of 996 counties. Job growth at -0.2% and median household income of $72,654 reflect an economy that has been contracting or stagnating relative to the rest of the country.

Is Sutter County affordable?

Sutter County leans toward the expensive side. A median home value of $375,400 against an income-to-home-value ratio of 0.19 means housing eats a bigger share of local earnings than the national norm. Renters face $1,289/month on average.

Is Sutter County growing or shrinking?

Population and employment in Sutter County are both close to flat — population +0.0% YoY and jobs -0.2%. Home values shifted -0.6% over the past 12 months. A steady-state county, neither expanding quickly nor shrinking.

Are people moving to Sutter County?

In significant numbers — 5.65% of Sutter County's current population relocated from another state, well above the national norm. That level of in-migration usually signals a county where jobs, affordability, or quality of life are pulling people in from elsewhere.

[10] Similar Counties by Size & Score

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