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Madera County, CA

RANK #446 / 1001 NAT  ·  #6 / 43 CA  ·  POP 160,940

1YR FORECAST: +0.4%

5YR OUTLOOK: +29%

#34 Best Climate & Terrain
Madera County's housing market is projected to grow +0.4% over the next year, tracking near the national average.

[01] Why Madera County?

Madera County, California, is often recognized as a primary gateway to Yosemite National Park, with the town of Oakhurst serving as a popular entry point to the park. Located in the geographic center of California, it spans from the agricultural San Joaquin Valley to the Sierra Nevada mountains, offering diverse landscapes. The county seat, Madera, is situated along Highway 99, providing access to larger cities like Fresno, which is nearby. Commute times vary depending on location within the county, with some residents commuting to Fresno. The community offers a blend of rural charm and outdoor recreation, including Bass Lake for boating and fishing, and numerous hiking trails in the Sierra National Forest.

Life in Madera County blends agricultural traditions with a growing economy. The county has seen significant residential development, attracting families and others seeking a more affordable lifestyle compared to coastal California. Local school districts, such as Madera Unified and Golden Valley Unified, serve the area's families. The economy is driven by agriculture, with crops like almonds, grapes, and pistachios, alongside recent investments in commercial, residential, and energy sectors. Healthcare is also a focus, with efforts to expand access to care and the reopening of Madera Community Hospital. Public transportation options like Madera Metro and Madera County Connection offer local and intercity bus services.

MARKET PROFILE

Idiosyncratic Markets

Madera County's data profile doesn't fit any single market profile cleanly — its housing, labor, and demographic signals pull in different directions (home prices +1.6% YoY, population +1.4%, wages +3.7%). About 414 U.S. counties show this kind of mixed-signal pattern.

See all 414 Idiosyncratic Markets counties →

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
18.8x

Overvalued relative to economy

Home Prices
+1.6%

Below national median

Climate & Terrain
6.0

Favorable climate & terrain

Price/Rent
14x

Below national median (15x)

Housing looks overvalued at 18.8x — home prices are high relative to local economic output. Climate and geography support a structural premium. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    Apria Healthcare Healthcare
    5,000+
  2. 2
    CNH Industrial Manufacturing
  3. 3
    Sears Home Services Retail
  4. 4
    Valley Children's Healthcare Healthcare
    1,000+
  5. 5
    Vibra Healthcare Healthcare
  6. 6
    Madera Community Hospital Healthcare
  7. 7
    Camarena Health Healthcare
  8. 8
    Madera County Government Government
  9. 9
    Madera Unified School District Education
  10. 10
    Ardagh Group Manufacturing

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Madera County U.S. National

Bars show trailing 12-month growth. The dashed Forecast bars are the model's next-12-month projection; the whisker marks the ±1% range (cooling–accelerating).

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
160,940
+1.35% YoY
Median Household Income
$76,627
Median Home Value
$393,200
+1.59% 12mo
Median Rent
$1,390
Average Annual Pay
$58,150
+3.7% YoY
Employment
57,948
+1.9% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.1949
Near national average
Migration Inflow
4.57%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
17.9%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$438,823
Days on Market
67
Slower market
Months of Supply
5.2
Buyer's market
Sale-to-List Ratio
98.9%
Near asking price
Sold Above List
33.3%
Listings w/ Price Drops
24.2%
Building Permits (2025)
1,247
Single-Family Permits
1,144

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

C
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
7.2
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
10.5
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
73.7
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Near national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Air Quality

C+
AIR QUALITY
GRADE
Median AQI (3yr)
54.7
Moderate
Good Air Days
40%
442 of 1,095 days
Unhealthy+ Days (3yr)
63
Sensitive groups affected
Primary Pollutant
Ozone
Ground-level ozone
Yearly Trend
2021
58
2022
54
2023
52
Median AQI · lower is better

Source: EPA Air Quality System (2021–2023). Grade based on 3-year average median AQI. Learn about AQI →

[07] Capital Investment

$956M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
North Fork Mono Casino and Resort
North Fork Rancheria Economic Development Authority
$300M Under Construction
Puma Storage
Unknown
$204M Planned
New Leaf Energy Battery Energy Storage System (BESS)
New Leaf Energy
$200M Proposed
Flores Storage
Unknown
$152M Planned
Madera Transit Station Specific Plan (MTSP)
San Joaquin Joint Powers Authority
$50M Planned
Riverstone Master-Planned Community
Various Homebuilders (e.g., McCaffrey Homes, Lennar)
$50M Under Construction

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[08] Score Breakdown

Population Growth +1.4% 76 percentile
Income Growth +1.5% 22 percentile
Vacancy Rate 0.9% 54 percentile
Home Price Change +1.6% 49 percentile
Rent Growth +2.9% 49 percentile
Price/Rent 14x 62 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 1001 counties.

[09] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Madera County, CA a good place to move to?

Madera County scores 55/100 on the Boom Town Index, landing in the middle of the pack among 1001 U.S. counties (#446). Median household income is $76,627 and job growth is running at +1.9%. The data points to a county with mixed signals — some positive indicators alongside areas that lag faster-growing peers.

Is Madera County affordable?

Madera County leans toward the expensive side. A median home value of $393,200 against an income-to-home-value ratio of 0.19 means housing eats a bigger share of local earnings than the national norm. Renters face $1,390/month on average.

Is Madera County growing or shrinking?

Madera County is growing on multiple fronts. Population is up +1.4% year-over-year while employers added jobs at a +1.9% clip. Home values shifted +1.6% in the past year.

Are people moving to Madera County?

There's a moderate stream of newcomers. About 4.57% of residents moved from another state, which is above average and suggests Madera County has appeal as a relocation destination — though it's not among the highest-inflow counties nationally.

[10] Similar Counties by Size & Score

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