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Alameda County, CA

Oakland

RANK #739 / 996 NAT  ·  #16 / 43 CA  ·  POP 1,663,823

1YR FORECAST: -1.2%

5YR OUTLOOK: +18%

#30 Most Overvalued
Our model projects Alameda County's housing market at -1.2% over the next year, underperforming most U.S. counties.

[01] Why Alameda County?

Alameda County, California, is often recognized for its diverse landscapes, stretching from the San Francisco Bay shoreline to rolling hills and vineyards. The city of Berkeley, home to the University of California, Berkeley, stands out for its academic environment and cultural scene. The county offers extensive outdoor recreation, with over 350 parks, including Redwood Regional Park and Lake Del Valle Regional Park, providing opportunities for hiking, biking, and water sports. Its mild Mediterranean climate allows for year-round enjoyment of these natural amenities. Commute options include BART, AC Transit buses, ACE Train, Amtrak, and ferry services connecting to San Francisco and other Bay Area locations.

Life in Alameda County offers a blend of urban and suburban experiences. The county is home to a diverse population, with various communities ranging from bustling Oakland to more suburban Pleasanton and Dublin. Families consider the local public and charter schools, such as Alameda High School and The Academy of Alameda, as important factors. The economy is influenced by its position in the Bay Area, with ongoing investment in sectors like advanced manufacturing and energy. The county also focuses on sustainable development and climate action initiatives.

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
11.2x

Overvalued relative to economy

GDP Growth
+1.0%

Well below national median

Home Prices
-5.1%

Prices declining

Climate & Terrain
5.1

Favorable climate & terrain

Price/Rent
30x

Speculative pricing

Housing looks overvalued at 11.2x — home prices are high relative to local economic output. Climate and geography support a structural premium. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    Kaiser Permanente Healthcare
    10,000+
  2. 2
    County of Alameda Government
    5,000+
  3. 3
    Oakland Unified School District Education
  4. 4
    City of Oakland Government
    2,500+
  5. 5
    State of California Government
  6. 6
    Bay Area Rapid Transit (BART) Government
  7. 7
    Southwest Airlines Logistics
  8. 8
    Alameda Health System Healthcare
  9. 9
    Children's Hospital Oakland Healthcare
  10. 10
    Sutter Health Healthcare
    1,000+

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Alameda County U.S. National

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
1,663,823
-0.56% YoY
Median Household Income
$122,488
Median Home Value
$999,200
-5.11% 12mo
Median Rent
$2,229
Average Annual Pay
$98,026
+3.5% YoY
Employment
790,358
-0.3% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.1226
Less affordable than average
Migration Inflow
3.72%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
50.9%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$1,050,000
Days on Market
15
Very hot — homes selling fast
Months of Supply
2.5
Seller's market
Sale-to-List Ratio
106.1%
Homes selling above asking
Sold Above List
61.2%
Listings w/ Price Drops
18.7%
Building Permits (2024)
1,743
Single-Family Permits
826

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

C
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
6.7
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
8.7
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
51.6
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Near national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Air Quality

B-
AIR QUALITY
GRADE
Median AQI (3yr)
50.0
Good
Good Air Days
49%
537 of 1,095 days
Unhealthy+ Days (3yr)
28
Sensitive groups affected
Primary Pollutant
PM2.5
Fine particulate matter
Yearly Trend
2021
53
2022
49
2023
48
Median AQI · lower is better

Source: EPA Air Quality System (2021–2023). Grade based on 3-year average median AQI. Learn about AQI →

[07] Capital Investment

$1,682M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
Potentia-Viridi Battery Energy Storage System
Levy Alameda, LLC
$1,200M Proposed
Emerita Energy Storage
$206M Planned
Aramis Renewable Energy Project (Solar Farm)
Intersect Power
$100M Operating
Palmetto Energy Storage
$76M Planned
Arroyo Lago Residential Project
$50M Approved
Alameda Marina Project (Housing & Commercial)
$50M Proposed

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[08] Score Breakdown

GDP Growth +1.0% 18 percentile
Population Growth -0.6% 10 percentile
Income Growth +9.3% 70 percentile
Vacancy Rate 1.3% 30 percentile
Home Price Change -5.1% 2 percentile
Rent Growth +3.3% 56 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 996 counties.

[09] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Alameda County, CA a good place to move to?

At 25/100, Alameda County faces headwinds that place it in the lower third of the 996 counties we track. Median income of $122,488 combined with job growth of -0.3% suggests the local economy is struggling to keep pace with national trends.

Is Alameda County affordable?

Affordability is a real challenge in Alameda County. The median home is valued at $999,200 — with an income-to-home-value ratio of just 0.12, that's significantly harder to afford than in most U.S. counties. Median rent runs $2,229/month.

Is Alameda County growing or shrinking?

Alameda County is losing population (-0.6% YoY) while the job market is essentially flat (-0.3% employment change). Home values are -5.1% over the past 12 months. A slow-bleed pattern — not a collapse, but residents are leaving faster than employers are hiring.

Are people moving to Alameda County?

There's a moderate stream of newcomers. About 3.72% of residents moved from another state, which is above average and suggests Alameda County has appeal as a relocation destination — though it's not among the highest-inflow counties nationally.

Is the housing market declining in Alameda County?

Home values fell -5.1% over the past year in Alameda County, bringing the median down to $999,200. A drop of that magnitude usually reflects weakening demand or population outflow — worth watching if you're considering buying here.

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