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El Dorado County, CA

RANK #188 / 1001 NAT  ·  #4 / 43 CA  ·  POP 192,662

1YR FORECAST: +0.4%

5YR OUTLOOK: +21%

#12 Most Overvalued #29 Best Climate & Terrain
Our model projects El Dorado County's housing market to grow +0.4% over the next year, significantly outpacing the national average.

[01] Why El Dorado County?

El Dorado County, Spanish for "The Golden One," is renowned as the heart of California's Gold Rush country, with Placerville serving as its historic county seat. Located in east-central California, about 45 miles northeast of Sacramento, the county spans rolling foothills to the Sierra Nevada mountains, including a portion of Lake Tahoe. This diverse landscape offers year-round outdoor recreation, from whitewater rafting on the American River to hiking and mountain biking on trails like the Jenkinson Lake Loop and the Rubicon Trail. Skiing and snowboarding are popular in the winter months near Lake Tahoe. Commute options to Sacramento are available via public transit, including commuter bus routes with park-and-ride locations.

Life in El Dorado County often appeals to families and those seeking a balance between natural amenities and community living. The county's public schools are highly rated, with approximately 70% scoring in the top thirty percent of California schools. The economy is experiencing growth, with significant investment in residential and commercial sectors. This includes new housing developments and expanded retail options. The region also has a growing wine and agricultural scene, with over 70 wineries.

MARKET PROFILE

Western Premium Correction

El Dorado County is one of 78 U.S. counties in this market profile — stronger than typical on the BoomTown Index. Within this cohort, its recent home-price change of +0.5% runs above the profile's typical -0.8%.

See all 78 Western Premium Correction counties →

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
32.3x

Overvalued relative to economy

Home Prices
+0.5%

Well below national median

Climate & Terrain
6.1

Favorable climate & terrain

Price/Rent
22x

Prices detached from rents

Housing looks overvalued at 32.3x — home prices are high relative to local economic output. Climate and geography support a structural premium. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    El Dorado County Government
    1,000+
  2. 2
    Blue Shield of California Healthcare
  3. 3
    Habitat For Humanity Other
    500+
  4. 4
    Target Retail
  5. 5
    Kroger (Dillons) Retail
  6. 6
    Regal Entertainment Group Hospitality
  7. 7
    OnTrac Logistics
  8. 8
    Broadridge Finance
  9. 9
    Telecare Corporation Healthcare
  10. 10
    McDonald's Hospitality

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

El Dorado County U.S. National

Bars show trailing 12-month growth. The dashed Forecast bars are the model's next-12-month projection; the whisker marks the ±1% range (cooling–accelerating).

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
192,662
+0.19% YoY
Median Household Income
$108,845
Median Home Value
$679,900
+0.46% 12mo
Median Rent
$1,715
Average Annual Pay
$68,436
+3.3% YoY
Employment
59,203
+1.1% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.1601
Less affordable than average
Migration Inflow
4.83%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
40.0%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$727,500
Days on Market
29
Active market
Months of Supply
3.9
Balanced market
Sale-to-List Ratio
99.1%
Near asking price
Sold Above List
32.0%
Listings w/ Price Drops
29.1%
Building Permits (2025)
477
Single-Family Permits
345

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

B+
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
2.5
per 100K · nat avg 6.5
Firearm Fatalities
9.4
per 100K · nat avg 13.4
Injury Deaths
74.8
per 100K · nat avg 83.6
vs National Average
Well below national avg
based on homicide rate
10-Year Trend
Down 17% since 2015
homicide rate, 2015 → 2025

Source: Homicide rates from CDC/NCHS vital-statistics mortality data — a multi-year average that stabilizes counts in smaller counties — compiled in the County Health Rankings 2025 release. Rates per 100,000 population; U.S. average ≈ 6.5. Grade reflects homicide rate relative to the national average. Learn more →

See where El Dorado County stands nationally: safest large counties in America · highest homicide-rate counties · counties where safety is improving.

[06] Air Quality

B
AIR QUALITY
GRADE
Median AQI (3yr)
43.3
Good
Good Air Days
70%
764 of 1,095 days
Unhealthy+ Days (3yr)
41
Includes 2 Very Unhealthy
Primary Pollutant
Ozone
Ground-level ozone
Yearly Trend
2021
43
2022
43
2023
44
Median AQI · lower is better

Source: EPA Air Quality System (2021–2023). Grade based on 3-year average median AQI. Learn about AQI →

[07] Capital Investment

$2,680M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
Village of Marble Valley Specific Plan
El Dorado County
$1,000M Proposed
Bass Lake Hills Development
Undisclosed
$700M Under Construction
Lime Rock Valley Specific Plan
El Dorado County
$400M Proposed
Creekside Village
Undisclosed
$380M Approved
Gateway El Dorado Specific Plan
El Dorado County
$150M Proposed
El Dorado PV BESS (Battery Storage Facility with Solar Charging)
Undisclosed
$50M Planned

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[08] Score Breakdown

Population Growth +0.2% 30 percentile
Income Growth +2.5% 42 percentile
Vacancy Rate 0.9% 54 percentile
Home Price Change +0.5% 28 percentile
Rent Growth +3.2% 51 percentile
Price/Rent 22x 8 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 1001 counties.

[09] Frequently Asked Questions

Is El Dorado County, CA a good place to move to?

El Dorado County ranks #188 out of 1001 U.S. counties on the Boom Town Index with a score of 81/100, putting it in the top tier nationally. Job growth of +1.1% and a median household income of $108,845 point to a county with active economic momentum.

Is El Dorado County affordable?

El Dorado County leans toward the expensive side. A median home value of $679,900 against an income-to-home-value ratio of 0.16 means housing eats a bigger share of local earnings than the national norm. Renters face $1,715/month on average.

Is El Dorado County growing or shrinking?

Employers in El Dorado County are hiring — job growth of +1.1% — but the population is close to flat (+0.2% YoY). Home values moved +0.5% over the past year. Labor demand is outpacing local population growth, which tends to tighten wages and housing.

Are people moving to El Dorado County?

There's a moderate stream of newcomers. About 4.83% of residents moved from another state, which is above average and suggests El Dorado County has appeal as a relocation destination — though it's not among the highest-inflow counties nationally.

[10] Similar Counties by Size & Score

Santa Cruz County, CA 81 San Benito County, CA 79 Merced County, CA 78 Imperial County, CA 87 Kings County, CA 88 Marin County, CA 88 Kenosha County, WI 81 Stearns County, MN 81