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Sacramento County, CA

RANK #834 / 1001 NAT  ·  #21 / 43 CA  ·  POP 1,594,006

1YR FORECAST: -1.1%

5YR OUTLOOK: +22%

Our model projects Sacramento County's housing market at -1.1% over the next year, underperforming most U.S. counties.

[01] Why Sacramento County?

Sacramento County, situated in California's Central Valley, is often recognized as the "Farm-to-Fork Capital" due to its agricultural surroundings and emphasis on local produce. The county encompasses the state capital, Sacramento, and other notable towns like Folsom and Elk Grove. Located approximately 90 miles northeast of San Francisco, Sacramento County offers a blend of urban and suburban living. Commute options include public transit services like Sacramento Regional Transit (SacRT) and regional express buses. The American River Parkway, a 23-mile greenbelt, provides extensive opportunities for hiking, biking, and water activities, while Folsom Lake State Recreation Area offers swimming, boating, and fishing. The region experiences a Mediterranean climate with mild winters and warm, dry summers.

Life in Sacramento County offers a balance of city amenities and access to nature. Residents often appreciate the community atmosphere. The economy is diverse, with government remaining a significant employer. Beyond its historical roots in agriculture and government, Sacramento County is seeing growth in advanced industries, including manufacturing, energy, and high-tech services. Efforts are underway to expand the construction workforce and develop new housing, commercial, and logistics spaces. The Sacramento County Office of Education oversees numerous public school districts, including Elk Grove Unified and Folsom Cordova Unified, which serve families in the area.

MARKET PROFILE

Western Premium Correction

Sacramento County is one of 78 U.S. counties in this market profile — weaker than typical on the BoomTown Index. Within this cohort, its recent home-price change of -2.2% runs below the profile's typical -0.8%.

See all 78 Western Premium Correction counties →

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
14.2x

Overvalued relative to economy

Home Prices
-2.2%

Prices declining

Climate & Terrain
3.6

Favorable climate & terrain

Price/Rent
21x

Prices detached from rents

Housing looks overvalued at 14.2x — home prices are high relative to local economic output. Climate and geography support a structural premium. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    State of California Government
    50,000+
  2. 2
    Kaiser Permanente Healthcare
    10,000+
  3. 3
    UC Davis Health Healthcare
  4. 4
    Sacramento County Government
  5. 5
    Los Rios Community College District Education
  6. 6
    Sutter Health Healthcare
  7. 7
    Dignity Health Healthcare
  8. 8
    Raley's Corp. Retail
  9. 9
    Intel Technology
  10. 10
    Apple Technology

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Sacramento County U.S. National

Bars show trailing 12-month growth. The dashed Forecast bars are the model's next-12-month projection; the whisker marks the ±1% range (cooling–accelerating).

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
1,594,006
+0.63% YoY
Median Household Income
$92,175
Median Home Value
$534,200
-2.22% 12mo
Median Rent
$1,790
Average Annual Pay
$82,005
+2.3% YoY
Employment
733,101
+0.8% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.1725
Less affordable than average
Migration Inflow
3.11%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
34.1%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$545,000
Days on Market
16
Very hot — homes selling fast
Months of Supply
2.4
Seller's market
Sale-to-List Ratio
100.4%
Homes selling above asking
Sold Above List
44.8%
Listings w/ Price Drops
34.5%
Building Permits (2025)
6,561
Single-Family Permits
4,629

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

C
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
6.3
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
10.1
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
73.5
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Near national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Air Quality

C+
AIR QUALITY
GRADE
Median AQI (3yr)
53.0
Moderate
Good Air Days
45%
488 of 1,095 days
Unhealthy+ Days (3yr)
67
Includes 2 Very Unhealthy
Primary Pollutant
Ozone
Ground-level ozone
Yearly Trend
2021
55
2022
53
2023
51
Median AQI · lower is better

Source: EPA Air Quality System (2021–2023). Grade based on 3-year average median AQI. Learn about AQI →

[07] Capital Investment

$1,625M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
Prime Sacramento Data Center Campus (2 facilities)
Prime
$500M Operating
NTT Global Data Centers Sacramento Campus (3 facilities)
NTT Global Data Centers
$500M Operating
Coyote Creek Agrivoltaic Ranch
Sacramento Valley Energy Center, LLC (Developer), D.E. Shaw Renewable Investments (Developer)
$250M Planned
Dry Creek Energy Storage
SMUD and DESRI
$160M Under Construction
Ameresco Biogas Cogeneration Facility (EchoWater Resource Recovery Facility)
Ameresco, Sacramento Area Sewer District
$140M Under Construction
Oveja Ranch Solar Project
SMUD
$75M Proposed

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[08] Score Breakdown

Population Growth +0.6% 50 percentile
Income Growth +3.9% 76 percentile
Vacancy Rate 1.0% 46 percentile
Home Price Change -2.2% 11 percentile
Rent Growth +1.7% 30 percentile
Price/Rent 21x 13 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 1001 counties.

[09] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Sacramento County, CA a good place to move to?

The data is not encouraging — Sacramento County scores just 16/100 on the Boom Town Index, ranking #834 of 1001 counties. Job growth at +0.8% and median household income of $92,175 reflect an economy that has been contracting or stagnating relative to the rest of the country.

Is Sacramento County affordable?

Sacramento County leans toward the expensive side. A median home value of $534,200 against an income-to-home-value ratio of 0.17 means housing eats a bigger share of local earnings than the national norm. Renters face $1,790/month on average.

Is Sacramento County growing or shrinking?

Sacramento County's population is growing — up +0.6% YoY — while the job market is roughly flat (employment change of +0.8%). Home values shifted -2.2% over the past year. In-migration is outpacing local hiring, which often points to remote workers or retirees driving the headcount.

Are people moving to Sacramento County?

There's a moderate stream of newcomers. About 3.11% of residents moved from another state, which is above average and suggests Sacramento County has appeal as a relocation destination — though it's not among the highest-inflow counties nationally.

[10] Similar Counties by Size & Score

San Francisco County, CA 16 San Joaquin County, CA 17 Placer County, CA 14 Solano County, CA 19 Contra Costa County, CA 11 Riverside County, CA 11 Pierce County, WA 17 Shelby County, TN 15