28 / 100

Sacramento County, CA

RANK #709 / 996 NAT  ·  #14 / 43 CA  ·  POP 1,579,211

1YR FORECAST: -0.0%

5YR OUTLOOK: +18%

Our model projects Sacramento County's housing market at -0.0% over the next year, underperforming most U.S. counties.

[01] Why Sacramento County?

Sacramento County, situated in California's Central Valley, is often recognized as the "Farm-to-Fork Capital" due to its agricultural surroundings and emphasis on local produce. The county encompasses the state capital, Sacramento, and other notable towns like Folsom and Elk Grove. Located approximately 90 miles northeast of San Francisco, Sacramento County offers a blend of urban and suburban living. Commute options include public transit services like Sacramento Regional Transit (SacRT) and regional express buses. The American River Parkway, a 23-mile greenbelt, provides extensive opportunities for hiking, biking, and water activities, while Folsom Lake State Recreation Area offers swimming, boating, and fishing. The region experiences a Mediterranean climate with mild winters and warm, dry summers.

Life in Sacramento County offers a balance of city amenities and access to nature. Residents often appreciate the community atmosphere. The economy is diverse, with government remaining a significant employer. Beyond its historical roots in agriculture and government, Sacramento County is seeing growth in advanced industries, including manufacturing, energy, and high-tech services. Efforts are underway to expand the construction workforce and develop new housing, commercial, and logistics spaces. The Sacramento County Office of Education oversees numerous public school districts, including Elk Grove Unified and Folsom Cordova Unified, which serve families in the area.

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
6.9x

Above national median (4.7x)

GDP Growth
+4.3%

Well above national median

Home Prices
-2.7%

Prices declining

Climate & Terrain
3.6

Favorable climate & terrain

Price/Rent
18x

Above national median (13x)

Housing is fairly valued at 6.9x relative to local economic output. Climate and geography support a structural premium. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    State of California Government
    50,000+
  2. 2
    Kaiser Permanente Healthcare
    10,000+
  3. 3
    UC Davis Health Healthcare
  4. 4
    Sacramento County Government
  5. 5
    Los Rios Community College District Education
  6. 6
    Sutter Health Healthcare
  7. 7
    Dignity Health Healthcare
  8. 8
    Raley's Corp. Retail
  9. 9
    Intel Technology
  10. 10
    Apple Technology

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Sacramento County U.S. National

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
1,579,211
+0.47% YoY
Median Household Income
$84,010
Median Home Value
$465,900
-2.66% 12mo
Median Rent
$1,599
Average Annual Pay
$80,125
+4.5% YoY
Employment
726,937
+2.5% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.1803
Near national average
Migration Inflow
3.58%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
32.6%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$530,000
Days on Market
31
Active market
Months of Supply
2.3
Seller's market
Sale-to-List Ratio
99.5%
Near asking price
Sold Above List
37.5%
Listings w/ Price Drops
24.4%
Building Permits (2024)
6,747
Single-Family Permits
4,868

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

C
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
6.3
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
10.1
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
73.5
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Near national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Air Quality

C+
AIR QUALITY
GRADE
Median AQI (3yr)
53.0
Moderate
Good Air Days
45%
488 of 1,095 days
Unhealthy+ Days (3yr)
67
Includes 2 Very Unhealthy
Primary Pollutant
Ozone
Ground-level ozone
Yearly Trend
2021
55
2022
53
2023
51
Median AQI · lower is better

Source: EPA Air Quality System (2021–2023). Grade based on 3-year average median AQI. Learn about AQI →

[07] Capital Investment

$1,625M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
Prime Sacramento Data Center Campus (2 facilities)
Prime
$500M Operating
NTT Global Data Centers Sacramento Campus (3 facilities)
NTT Global Data Centers
$500M Operating
Coyote Creek Agrivoltaic Ranch
Sacramento Valley Energy Center, LLC (Developer), D.E. Shaw Renewable Investments (Developer)
$250M Planned
Dry Creek Energy Storage
SMUD and DESRI
$160M Under Construction
Ameresco Biogas Cogeneration Facility (EchoWater Resource Recovery Facility)
Ameresco, Sacramento Area Sewer District
$140M Under Construction
Oveja Ranch Solar Project
SMUD
$75M Proposed

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[08] Score Breakdown

GDP Growth +4.3% 76 percentile
Population Growth +0.5% 50 percentile
Income Growth +9.9% 79 percentile
Vacancy Rate 0.9% 64 percentile
Home Price Change -2.7% 11 percentile
Rent Growth +1.2% 22 percentile
Price/Rent 18x 13 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 996 counties.

[09] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Sacramento County, CA a good place to move to?

At 28/100, Sacramento County faces headwinds that place it in the lower third of the 996 counties we track. Median income of $84,010 combined with job growth of +2.5% suggests the local economy is struggling to keep pace with national trends.

Is Sacramento County affordable?

Sacramento County leans toward the expensive side. A median home value of $465,900 against an income-to-home-value ratio of 0.18 means housing eats a bigger share of local earnings than the national norm. Renters face $1,599/month on average.

Is Sacramento County growing or shrinking?

Employers in Sacramento County are hiring — job growth of +2.5% — but the population is close to flat (+0.5% YoY). Home values moved -2.7% over the past year. Labor demand is outpacing local population growth, which tends to tighten wages and housing.

Are people moving to Sacramento County?

There's a moderate stream of newcomers. About 3.58% of residents moved from another state, which is above average and suggests Sacramento County has appeal as a relocation destination — though it's not among the highest-inflow counties nationally.

[10] Similar Counties by Size & Score

El Dorado County, CA 30 Riverside County, CA 26 Alameda County, CA 25 Yolo County, CA 25 Placer County, CA 24 Butte County, CA 33 Worcester County, MA 28 Middlesex County, MA 29