28 / 100

Worcester County, MA

RANK #707 / 996 NAT  ·  #8 / 12 MA  ·  POP 858,898

1YR FORECAST: +1.8%

5YR OUTLOOK: +18%

Our model projects Worcester County's housing market at +1.8% over the next year, underperforming most U.S. counties.

[01] Why Worcester County?

Worcester County, Massachusetts, stands out for its blend of urban amenities and natural landscapes, with the city of Worcester at its core. Worcester, the second-largest city in New England, is roughly 50 minutes west of Boston and north of Providence, Rhode Island. Commute options include the MBTA commuter rail, offering a "Heart to Hub" express train to Boston that significantly reduces travel time. The county offers extensive outdoor recreation, including over 60 parks and 200 miles of trails, with notable spots like Green Hill Park, Elm Park, and Broad Meadow Brook, New England's largest urban wildlife sanctuary. Mount Wachusett provides hiking and skiing opportunities.

Life in Worcester County offers a balance of city and countryside, attracting families and professionals. The public schools in Worcester County are above average, with districts like Shrewsbury and Westborough recognized for their quality. The economy is experiencing growth, particularly in sectors such as healthcare and life sciences, driven by institutions like UMass Chan Medical School. There is also significant investment in advanced manufacturing and logistics, with new industrial campuses under development. The county's diverse communities and accessible natural areas contribute to its appeal.

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
6.5x

Above national median (4.7x)

GDP Growth
+1.9%

Below national median

Home Prices
+1.3%

Below national median

Climate & Terrain
0.2

Moderate climate & terrain

Price/Rent
14x

Above national median (13x)

Housing is fairly valued at 6.5x relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    UMass Memorial Health Healthcare
    10,000+
  2. 2
    The Hanover Insurance Group Finance
    2,500+
  3. 3
    Reliant Medical Group Healthcare
    1,000+
  4. 4
    Saint Vincent Hospital Healthcare
  5. 5
    Worcester Polytechnic Institute (WPI) Education
  6. 6
    Fallon Health Healthcare
  7. 7
    Polar Beverages Manufacturing
  8. 8
    Saint-Gobain Manufacturing
  9. 9
    Worcester Public Schools Education
  10. 10
    City of Worcester Government

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Worcester County U.S. National

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
858,898
+0.24% YoY
Median Household Income
$88,524
Median Home Value
$363,200
+1.32% 12mo
Median Rent
$1,263
Average Annual Pay
$71,641
+4.4% YoY
Employment
351,476
+0.1% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.2437
Near national average
Migration Inflow
2.4%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
38.4%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$470,000
Days on Market
42
Moderate pace
Months of Supply
2.2
Seller's market
Sale-to-List Ratio
99.8%
Near asking price
Sold Above List
36.7%
Listings w/ Price Drops
16.1%
Building Permits (2024)
2,506
Single-Family Permits
964

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

A
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
1.8
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
3.5
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
80.2
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Well below national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Air Quality

B
AIR QUALITY
GRADE
Median AQI (3yr)
43.0
Good
Good Air Days
65%
714 of 1,095 days
Unhealthy+ Days (3yr)
7
Sensitive groups affected
Primary Pollutant
PM2.5
Fine particulate matter
Yearly Trend
2021
45
2022
45
2023
39
Median AQI · lower is better

Source: EPA Air Quality System (2021–2023). Grade based on 3-year average median AQI. Learn about AQI →

[07] Capital Investment

$537M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
Battery Storage (204 MW)
Undisclosed
$204M Planned
Municipal Energy Efficiency & Renewable Energy Project
City of Worcester
$115M Completed
Worcester Resiliency Upgrade Project (LNG Storage Facility)
Eastern Shore Natural Gas
$80M Under Construction
GreenTech Park
Worcester Business Development Corporation (WBDC)
$50M Under Construction
Curtis Apartments Redevelopment
Worcester Housing Authority (WHA) & Trinity Financial
$50M Under Construction
Lakeside Apartments Redevelopment (Phase 1)
Worcester Housing Authority (WHA), E3 Development, Tremont Development Partners
$38M Under Construction

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[08] Score Breakdown

GDP Growth +1.9% 31 percentile
Population Growth +0.2% 40 percentile
Income Growth +8.4% 48 percentile
Vacancy Rate 0.8% 76 percentile
Home Price Change +1.3% 50 percentile
Rent Growth +3.6% 61 percentile
Price/Rent 14x 43 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 996 counties.

[09] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Worcester County, MA a good place to move to?

At 28/100, Worcester County faces headwinds that place it in the lower third of the 996 counties we track. Median income of $88,524 combined with job growth of +0.1% suggests the local economy is struggling to keep pace with national trends.

Is Worcester County affordable?

Worcester County leans toward the expensive side. A median home value of $363,200 against an income-to-home-value ratio of 0.24 means housing eats a bigger share of local earnings than the national norm. Renters face $1,263/month on average.

Is Worcester County growing or shrinking?

Population and employment in Worcester County are both close to flat — population +0.2% YoY and jobs +0.1%. Home values shifted +1.3% over the past 12 months. A steady-state county, neither expanding quickly nor shrinking.

Are people moving to Worcester County?

There's a moderate stream of newcomers. About 2.4% of residents moved from another state, which is above average and suggests Worcester County has appeal as a relocation destination — though it's not among the highest-inflow counties nationally.

[10] Similar Counties by Size & Score

Middlesex County, MA 29 Berkshire County, MA 24 Franklin County, MA 33 Essex County, MA 23 Suffolk County, MA 23 Norfolk County, MA 22 Polk County, FL 28 East Baton Rouge Parish, LA 28