30 / 100

Norfolk city, VA

RANK #688 / 996 NAT  ·  #21 / 37 VA  ·  POP 236,973

1YR FORECAST: +0.1%

5YR OUTLOOK: +19%

Our model projects Norfolk city's housing market at +0.1% over the next year, underperforming most U.S. counties.

[01] Why Norfolk city?

Norfolk, Virginia, a city with a deep connection to the water, is perhaps best known as home to Naval Station Norfolk, the world's largest naval base. Located at the junction of the Elizabeth River and the Chesapeake Bay, it forms part of the Hampton Roads metropolitan area. Commuting within the region often involves bridges and tunnels, which can lead to traffic congestion during peak hours. The city offers diverse neighborhoods, from historic districts like Ghent with its walkable streets and early 20th-century homes, to beachside communities in Ocean View. Outdoor recreation is abundant, with 144 miles of shoreline, including Chesapeake Bay beachfront, and amenities like the Norfolk Botanical Garden and the Elizabeth River Trail.

Life in Norfolk offers a blend of urban energy and coastal living. The presence of the military, along with institutions like Old Dominion University and Eastern Virginia Medical School, contributes to a steady demand for housing. While public school performance can vary, private school options are available. The local economy is driven by its maritime heritage, military presence, and advancements in healthcare. Recent economic developments include investments in commercial and residential properties, as well as growth in the energy and logistics sectors.

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
2.9x

Undervalued relative to economy

GDP Growth
+0.9%

Well below national median

Home Prices
+0.3%

Well below national median

Climate & Terrain
0.5

Moderate climate & terrain

Price/Rent
12x

Below national median (13x)

Housing looks undervalued at 2.9x — home prices are low relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    Naval Station Norfolk Military
    50,000+
  2. 2
    Sentara Healthcare Healthcare
    25,000+
  3. 3
    Huntington Ingalls Industries (Newport News Shipbuilding) Manufacturing
  4. 4
    Old Dominion University Education
    10,000+
  5. 5
    Children's Hospital of The King's Daughters (CHKD) Healthcare
    1,000+
  6. 6
    City of Norfolk Government
  7. 7
    Norfolk Public Schools Education
  8. 8
    Eastern Virginia Medical School (EVMS) Healthcare
  9. 9
    Norfolk Southern Logistics
  10. 10
    The Port of Virginia Logistics

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Norfolk city U.S. National

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
236,973
-0.66% YoY
Median Household Income
$60,998
Median Home Value
$254,200
+0.35% 12mo
Median Rent
$1,188
Average Annual Pay
$72,432
+3.4% YoY
Employment
144,085
+2.3% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.24
Near national average
Migration Inflow
6.0%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
32.2%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Building Permits (2024)
438
Single-Family Permits
145

[05] Crime & Safety

F
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
16.4
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
25.1
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
96.8
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Well above national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Capital Investment

$10,780M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
Coastal Virginia Offshore Wind (CVOW) Commercial Project
Dominion Energy
$9,800M Under Construction
MacArthur Center Redevelopment
City of Norfolk
$500M Planned
Portsmouth Marine Terminal Repurposing (Offshore Wind Logistics Hub)
The Port of Virginia
$220M Under Construction
Norfolk Naval Shipyard Combined Heat & Power Plant and Battery Storage
U.S. Navy & Ameresco Federal Solutions
$173M Completed
Community Solar Portfolio (Landfill Solar Farm & Naval Station Norfolk Solar Farm)
City of Norfolk, U.S. Navy
$57M Planned/Completed
Tidewater Gardens Redevelopment
City of Norfolk and Norfolk Redevelopment and Housing Authority
$30M Under Construction

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[07] Score Breakdown

GDP Growth +0.9% 16 percentile
Population Growth -0.7% 7 percentile
Income Growth +8.4% 49 percentile
Vacancy Rate 1.6% 17 percentile
Home Price Change +0.3% 35 percentile
Rent Growth +5.5% 84 percentile
Price/Rent 12x 61 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 996 counties.

[08] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Norfolk city, VA a good place to move to?

At 30/100, Norfolk city faces headwinds that place it in the lower third of the 996 counties we track. Median income of $60,998 combined with job growth of +2.3% suggests the local economy is struggling to keep pace with national trends.

Is Norfolk city affordable?

Norfolk city leans toward the expensive side. A median home value of $254,200 against an income-to-home-value ratio of 0.24 means housing eats a bigger share of local earnings than the national norm. Renters face $1,188/month on average.

Is Norfolk city growing or shrinking?

It's a mixed picture in Norfolk city. The population is declining (-0.7% YoY), but employers are actually hiring — job growth is at +2.3%. Home values moved +0.3% in the last year. That tension between shrinking population and expanding employment often signals a county in transition.

Are people moving to Norfolk city?

In significant numbers — 6.0% of Norfolk city's current population relocated from another state, well above the national norm. That level of in-migration usually signals a county where jobs, affordability, or quality of life are pulling people in from elsewhere.

[09] Similar Counties by Size & Score

Hampton city, VA 26 Roanoke city, VA 24 Fauquier County, VA 24 Chesterfield County, VA 37 Prince William County, VA 37 Virginia Beach city, VA 37 El Dorado County, CA 30 Northampton County, PA 30