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Albemarle County, VA

Scottsville

RANK #833 / 996 NAT  ·  #29 / 37 VA  ·  POP 112,513

1YR FORECAST: +1.3%

5YR OUTLOOK: +15%

#40 Most Overvalued
Our model projects Albemarle County's housing market at +1.3% over the next year, underperforming most U.S. counties.

[01] Why Albemarle County?

Albemarle County, Virginia, is often recognized for its connection to Thomas Jefferson, whose Monticello estate is located within its borders. The county is situated in Central Virginia, surrounding the independent city of Charlottesville, and offers a blend of rural landscapes and urban amenities. Commuting to Charlottesville is common, with various public transit options like JAUNT and Charlottesville Area Transit (CAT) serving the area, alongside routes connecting to the University of Virginia. The community provides access to the Blue Ridge Mountains, Shenandoah National Park, and over 90 miles of trails for hiking, biking, and horseback riding, contributing to its natural appeal.

Life in Albemarle County is characterized by a high quality of life, supported by strong schools and a focus on community engagement. The local economy is diverse, with significant contributions from education and healthcare, largely due to the presence of the University of Virginia. There is also a growing emphasis on innovation, particularly in biotechnology, life sciences, and national security sectors, with ongoing efforts to expand industrial infrastructure. Additionally, the agricultural sector, including wineries and local food production, plays a role in the county's economic landscape.

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
10.7x

Overvalued relative to economy

Home Prices
+1.5%

Above national median

Climate & Terrain
-0.0

Below-average climate & terrain

Price/Rent
19x

Above national median (13x)

Housing looks overvalued at 10.7x — home prices are high relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    University of Virginia / UVA Health Education
  2. 2
    Sentara Healthcare Healthcare
  3. 3
    U.S. Department of Defense Military
  4. 4
    County of Albemarle Government
  5. 5
    Crutchfield Corporation Retail
  6. 6
    Walmart Retail
  7. 7
    Piedmont Virginia Community College Education
  8. 8
    Northrop Grumman Corporation Technology
  9. 9
    Boar's Head Inn Hospitality
  10. 10
    Atlantic Coast Athletic Club Other

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Albemarle County U.S. National

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
112,513
+0.96% YoY
Median Household Income
$97,708
Median Home Value
$450,200
+1.5% 12mo
Median Rent
$1,570
Average Annual Pay
$72,866
+3.8% YoY
Employment
64,815
+4.6% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.217
Near national average
Migration Inflow
7.14%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
60.1%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$500,000
Days on Market
63
Slower market
Months of Supply
4.8
Balanced market
Sale-to-List Ratio
98.1%
Near asking price
Sold Above List
23.0%
Listings w/ Price Drops
10.8%
Building Permits (2024)
810
Single-Family Permits
600

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

B+
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
2.3
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
9.9
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
67.2
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Well below national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Air Quality

B
AIR QUALITY
GRADE
Median AQI (3yr)
43.0
Good
Good Air Days
70%
764 of 1,085 days
Unhealthy+ Days (3yr)
6
Sensitive groups affected
Primary Pollutant
PM2.5
Fine particulate matter
Yearly Trend
2021
41
2022
44
2023
44
Median AQI · lower is better

Source: EPA Air Quality System (2021–2023). Grade based on 3-year average median AQI. Learn about AQI →

[07] Capital Investment

$4,880M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
AstraZeneca Biopharmaceutical Manufacturing Facility
AstraZeneca
$4,500M Planned
Woodridge Solar Project
Hexagon Energy
$220M Planned
Rivanna Futures (Intelligence & National Security Innovation Campus)
Albemarle County
$70M Under Construction
Northside Drive Industrial Building
Southern Development Group
$50M Under Construction
Albemarle Business Campus
Albemarle Business Campus (ABC)
$40M Under Construction

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[08] Score Breakdown

Population Growth +1.0% 71 percentile
Income Growth +7.9% 34 percentile
Vacancy Rate 0.6% 90 percentile
Home Price Change +1.5% 53 percentile
Rent Growth +4.5% 74 percentile
Price/Rent 19x 12 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 996 counties.

[09] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Albemarle County, VA a good place to move to?

The data is not encouraging — Albemarle County scores just 16/100 on the Boom Town Index, ranking #833 of 996 counties. Job growth at +4.6% and median household income of $97,708 reflect an economy that has been contracting or stagnating relative to the rest of the country.

Is Albemarle County affordable?

Albemarle County leans toward the expensive side. A median home value of $450,200 against an income-to-home-value ratio of 0.22 means housing eats a bigger share of local earnings than the national norm. Renters face $1,570/month on average.

Is Albemarle County growing or shrinking?

Albemarle County is growing on multiple fronts. Population is up +1.0% year-over-year while employers added jobs at a +4.6% clip. Home values shifted +1.5% in the past year.

Are people moving to Albemarle County?

In significant numbers — 7.14% of Albemarle County's current population relocated from another state, well above the national norm. That level of in-migration usually signals a county where jobs, affordability, or quality of life are pulling people in from elsewhere.

[10] Similar Counties by Size & Score

Montgomery County, VA 16 York County, VA 17 Suffolk city, VA 17 Pittsylvania County, VA 14 Roanoke County, VA 19 Stafford County, VA 10 Cecil County, MD 16 Starr County, TX 16