37 / 100

Rockingham County, VA

RANK #622 / 1001 NAT  ·  #17 / 37 VA  ·  POP 85,600

1YR FORECAST: +0.2%

5YR OUTLOOK: +26%

Rockingham County's housing market is projected to grow +0.2% over the next year, below the national average.

[01] Why Rockingham County?

Rockingham County, Virginia, located in the central Shenandoah Valley, is defined by its natural surroundings, with the Blue Ridge Mountains to the east and the Allegheny Mountains to the west. The county surrounds the independent city of Harrisonburg, home to James Madison University. Public transportation options are available through Harrisonburg's bus routes and ValleyRide, which connects to surrounding towns like Broadway and Timberville. Outdoor recreation is a significant draw, with portions of Shenandoah National Park and George Washington National Forest within the county, offering extensive trails, scenic drives like Skyline Drive, and opportunities for hiking, biking, and water activities. Life in Rockingham County is characterized by a family-friendly atmosphere and a strong sense of community. The public school system is recognized for its above-average performance. The economy is diversified, with agriculture, education, and advanced manufacturing playing roles. Recent economic developments include a significant investment by Merck to establish a pharmaceutical manufacturing center in the county. Additionally, the Innovation Village at Rockingham is a mixed-use development planned to include retail, office, medical, commercial, and residential components.

MARKET PROFILE
LEANS TOWARD

Educated Suburban Growth

Rockingham County is one of 110 U.S. counties in this market profile — weaker than typical on the BoomTown Index. Within this cohort, its recent home-price change of +2.5% matches the profile's typical +2.4%.

See all 110 Educated Suburban Growth counties →

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
12.9x

Overvalued relative to economy

Home Prices
+2.5%

Outpacing national median

Climate & Terrain
1.2

Moderate climate & terrain

Price/Rent
13x

Below national median (15x)

Housing looks overvalued at 12.9x — home prices are high relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    Sentara Healthcare Healthcare
    2,500+
  2. 2
    Rockingham County Public Schools Education
    1,000+
  3. 3
    James Madison University Education
  4. 4
    Cargill Meat Solutions Manufacturing
  5. 5
    Walmart Retail
  6. 6
    Merck & Co., Inc. Manufacturing
  7. 7
    Perdue Farms, Inc. Manufacturing
  8. 8
    Great Eastern Resort Management (Massanutten Resort) Hospitality
  9. 9
    Pilgrim's Pride Corporation Manufacturing
  10. 10
    County of Rockingham Government

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Rockingham County U.S. National

Bars show trailing 12-month growth. The dashed Forecast bars are the model's next-12-month projection; the whisker marks the ±1% range (cooling–accelerating).

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
85,600
+1.02% YoY
Median Household Income
$80,693
Median Home Value
$313,000
+2.54% 12mo
Median Rent
$1,160
Average Annual Pay
$59,450
+3.8% YoY
Employment
34,920
-0.5% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.2578
More affordable than average
Migration Inflow
4.69%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
29.0%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$335,000
Days on Market
17
Very hot — homes selling fast
Months of Supply
1.4
Seller's market
Sale-to-List Ratio
99.5%
Near asking price
Sold Above List
33.3%
Listings w/ Price Drops
23.3%
Building Permits (2025)
685
Single-Family Permits
504

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

B+
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
3.0
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
11.1
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
76.6
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Well below national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Air Quality

B
AIR QUALITY
GRADE
Median AQI (3yr)
35.7
Good
Good Air Days
89%
970 of 1,093 days
Unhealthy+ Days (3yr)
3
Sensitive groups affected
Primary Pollutant
Ozone
Ground-level ozone
Yearly Trend
2021
36
2022
34
2023
37
Median AQI · lower is better

Source: EPA Air Quality System (2021–2023). Grade based on 3-year average median AQI. Learn about AQI →

[07] Score Breakdown

Population Growth +1.0% 67 percentile
Income Growth +2.8% 53 percentile
Vacancy Rate 0.4% 94 percentile
Home Price Change +2.5% 62 percentile
Rent Growth +2.7% 46 percentile
Price/Rent 13x 73 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 1001 counties.

[08] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Rockingham County, VA a good place to move to?

At 37/100, Rockingham County faces headwinds that place it in the lower third of the 1001 counties we track. Median income of $80,693 combined with job growth of -0.5% suggests the local economy is struggling to keep pace with national trends.

Is Rockingham County affordable?

Housing in Rockingham County is roughly in line with national affordability norms. The median home costs $313,000 and the income-to-home-value ratio sits at 0.26, with rents averaging $1,160/month. Not a bargain, but not a stretch for most local earners either.

Is Rockingham County growing or shrinking?

Rockingham County's population is growing — up +1.0% YoY — while the job market is roughly flat (employment change of -0.5%). Home values shifted +2.5% over the past year. In-migration is outpacing local hiring, which often points to remote workers or retirees driving the headcount.

Are people moving to Rockingham County?

There's a moderate stream of newcomers. About 4.69% of residents moved from another state, which is above average and suggests Rockingham County has appeal as a relocation destination — though it's not among the highest-inflow counties nationally.

[09] Similar Counties by Size & Score

Campbell County, VA 37 Richmond city, VA 38 Spotsylvania County, VA 40 Chesterfield County, VA 34 Norfolk city, VA 30 Portsmouth city, VA 29 Walker County, AL 37 Hunt County, TX 37