38 / 100

Richmond city, VA

RANK #614 / 1001 NAT  ·  #16 / 37 VA  ·  POP 229,359

1YR FORECAST: +0.4%

5YR OUTLOOK: +27%

Richmond city's housing market is projected to grow +0.4% over the next year, below the national average.

[01] Why Richmond city?

Richmond, Virginia, is known for the James River, which features the nation's only urban Class III and IV rapids, offering whitewater rafting and kayaking within the city. The city is the capital of Virginia, located about 100 miles south of Washington, D.C., and approximately 70 miles northwest of Norfolk. Commuting within Richmond is supported by the GRTC Transit System, including the Pulse Bus Rapid Transit, and the city is becoming more bike-friendly with dedicated lanes and trails like the Virginia Capital Trail. Richmond offers a balance of city and suburban environments, with neighborhoods like Church Hill and the Fan District, and nearby suburbs such as Short Pump and Midlothian.

Life in Richmond offers access to history, culture, and outdoor activities. The city has a diverse economy, with job opportunities in sectors such as finance, government, healthcare, and education. Recent economic developments include significant investment in mixed-use, multifamily, and industrial projects, with a focus on adaptive reuse of existing structures. The region is attracting investment in logistics, data centers, and advanced manufacturing. Richmond Public Schools serve the city, alongside various private school options.

MARKET PROFILE

Idiosyncratic Markets

Richmond city's data profile doesn't fit any single market profile cleanly — its housing, labor, and demographic signals pull in different directions (home prices +0.9% YoY, population +0.8%, wages +4.8%). About 414 U.S. counties show this kind of mixed-signal pattern.

See all 414 Idiosyncratic Markets counties →

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
5.5x

Below national median (11.3x)

Home Prices
+0.9%

Below national median

Climate & Terrain
-0.9

Below-average climate & terrain

Price/Rent
18x

Above national median (15x)

Housing is fairly valued at 5.5x relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    Capital One Financial Finance
    10,000+
  2. 2
    VCU Health Healthcare
  3. 3
    HCA Virginia Health System Healthcare
  4. 4
    Bon Secours Richmond Healthcare
    5,000+
  5. 5
    Virginia Commonwealth University Education
  6. 6
    Dominion Energy Energy
  7. 7
    Amazon Retail
  8. 8
    Truist Finance
    2,500+
  9. 9
    Altria Group Manufacturing
  10. 10
    United Parcel Service Logistics

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Richmond city U.S. National

Bars show trailing 12-month growth. The dashed Forecast bars are the model's next-12-month projection; the whisker marks the ±1% range (cooling–accelerating).

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
229,359
+0.78% YoY
Median Household Income
$64,587
Median Home Value
$353,000
+0.93% 12mo
Median Rent
$1,372
Average Annual Pay
$87,370
+4.8% YoY
Employment
167,746
+1.1% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.183
Near national average
Migration Inflow
7.59%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
45.6%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Building Permits (2025)
2,681
Single-Family Permits
368

[05] Crime & Safety

F
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
22.9
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
28.1
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
132.0
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Well above national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Capital Investment

$3,347M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
Chesterfield Energy Reliability Center (Natural Gas Plant)
Dominion Energy
$1,470M Approved
Meta Henrico Data Center
Meta, Inc.
$1,000M Operating
Diamond District Redevelopment
Diamond District Partners LLC (led by Thalhimer Realty Partners, Inc.)
$500M Under Construction
Iron Mountain Data Center Campus (RCH-1, RCH-2, RCH-3, RCH-4)
Iron Mountain
$200M Under Construction
Bookers Mill Solar Farm
Dominion Energy
$127M Completed
North Anna Power Station License Extension & Upgrades
Dominion Energy
$50M Planned

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[07] Score Breakdown

Population Growth +0.8% 57 percentile
Income Growth +3.1% 59 percentile
Vacancy Rate 1.9% 8 percentile
Home Price Change +0.9% 38 percentile
Rent Growth +3.0% 51 percentile
Price/Rent 18x 30 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 1001 counties.

[08] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Richmond city, VA a good place to move to?

At 38/100, Richmond city faces headwinds that place it in the lower third of the 1001 counties we track. Median income of $64,587 combined with job growth of +1.1% suggests the local economy is struggling to keep pace with national trends.

Is Richmond city affordable?

Richmond city leans toward the expensive side. A median home value of $353,000 against an income-to-home-value ratio of 0.18 means housing eats a bigger share of local earnings than the national norm. Renters face $1,372/month on average.

Is Richmond city growing or shrinking?

Richmond city is growing on multiple fronts. Population is up +0.8% year-over-year while employers added jobs at a +1.1% clip. Home values shifted +0.9% in the past year.

Are people moving to Richmond city?

In significant numbers — 7.59% of Richmond city's current population relocated from another state, well above the national norm. That level of in-migration usually signals a county where jobs, affordability, or quality of life are pulling people in from elsewhere.

[09] Similar Counties by Size & Score

Rockingham County, VA 37 Campbell County, VA 37 Spotsylvania County, VA 40 Chesterfield County, VA 34 Norfolk city, VA 30 Portsmouth city, VA 29 York County, SC 38 Lexington County, SC 38