27 / 100

Henrico County, VA

RANK #723 / 1001 NAT  ·  #22 / 37 VA  ·  POP 335,744

1YR FORECAST: +0.6%

5YR OUTLOOK: +25%

Our model projects Henrico County's housing market at +0.6% over the next year, underperforming most U.S. counties.

[01] Why Henrico County?

Henrico County, Virginia, one of the oldest counties in the United States, wraps around the city of Richmond to its west, north, and east. The county is known for communities like Short Pump and Innsbrook, which have been recognized for their quality of life. Commuting options include a bus network, and Richmond International Airport is located within the county. Henrico offers a variety of outdoor recreation opportunities, with numerous parks, recreation facilities, and access to the James River.

Life in Henrico County blends suburban living with access to urban amenities. The county's public schools are recognized for their academic programs, including five International Baccalaureate schools. Recent economic developments show investment in sectors such as advanced manufacturing and data centers, contributing to job growth and a diverse economy. The county also focuses on developing public spaces and walkable neighborhoods.

MARKET PROFILE

Educated Suburban Growth

Henrico County is one of 110 U.S. counties in this market profile — weaker than typical on the BoomTown Index. Within this cohort, its recent home-price change of +1.3% runs below the profile's typical +2.4%.

See all 110 Educated Suburban Growth counties →

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
8.5x

Overvalued relative to economy

Home Prices
+1.3%

Below national median

Climate & Terrain
-0.9

Below-average climate & terrain

Price/Rent
17x

Above national median (15x)

Housing looks overvalued at 8.5x — home prices are high relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    Bon Secours Richmond Healthcare
    5,000+
  2. 2
    Amazon Logistics
  3. 3
    Altria Group Manufacturing
    2,500+
  4. 4
    Anthem Blue Cross Blue Shield Finance
  5. 5
    Markel Corporation Finance
    1,000+
  6. 6
    PPD Development Healthcare
  7. 7
    Henrico County School Board Education
  8. 8
    County of Henrico Government
  9. 9
    HCA Virginia Health System Healthcare
  10. 10
    Capital One Finance

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Henrico County U.S. National

Bars show trailing 12-month growth. The dashed Forecast bars are the model's next-12-month projection; the whisker marks the ±1% range (cooling–accelerating).

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
335,744
+0.39% YoY
Median Household Income
$88,783
Median Home Value
$359,200
+1.26% 12mo
Median Rent
$1,541
Average Annual Pay
$73,266
+3.9% YoY
Employment
193,192
+3.0% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.2472
Near national average
Migration Inflow
4.58%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
46.5%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$423,150
Days on Market
15
Very hot — homes selling fast
Months of Supply
1.0
Seller's market
Sale-to-List Ratio
101.6%
Homes selling above asking
Sold Above List
48.6%
Listings w/ Price Drops
35.0%
Building Permits (2025)
2,323
Single-Family Permits
809

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

C
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
7.6
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
13.8
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
75.7
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Above national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Air Quality

B
AIR QUALITY
GRADE
Median AQI (3yr)
45.0
Good
Good Air Days
62%
677 of 1,092 days
Unhealthy+ Days (3yr)
6
Sensitive groups affected
Primary Pollutant
PM2.5
Fine particulate matter
Yearly Trend
2021
44
2022
45
2023
46
Median AQI · lower is better

Source: EPA Air Quality System (2021–2023). Grade based on 3-year average median AQI. Learn about AQI →

[07] Capital Investment

$3,400M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
Meta Henrico Data Center
Meta Platforms, Inc.
$1,700M Operating
Iron Mountain Data Center Campus (RCH-1 through RCH-4)
Iron Mountain
$1,000M Under Construction
Hourigan Data Center Campus
Hourigan
$500M Proposed
Amazon Robotics Fulfillment Center (RIC 4)
Amazon
$100M Operating
Eaton Manufacturing Expansion
Eaton
$50M Planned
Darbytown Storage Pilot Project (Battery Storage)
Dominion Energy
$50M Planned

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[08] Score Breakdown

Population Growth +0.4% 39 percentile
Income Growth +2.8% 50 percentile
Vacancy Rate 1.2% 34 percentile
Home Price Change +1.3% 42 percentile
Rent Growth +2.4% 40 percentile
Price/Rent 17x 33 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 1001 counties.

[09] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Henrico County, VA a good place to move to?

At 27/100, Henrico County faces headwinds that place it in the lower third of the 1001 counties we track. Median income of $88,783 combined with job growth of +3.0% suggests the local economy is struggling to keep pace with national trends.

Is Henrico County affordable?

Henrico County leans toward the expensive side. A median home value of $359,200 against an income-to-home-value ratio of 0.25 means housing eats a bigger share of local earnings than the national norm. Renters face $1,541/month on average.

Is Henrico County growing or shrinking?

Employers in Henrico County are hiring — job growth of +3.0% — but the population is close to flat (+0.4% YoY). Home values moved +1.3% over the past year. Labor demand is outpacing local population growth, which tends to tighten wages and housing.

Are people moving to Henrico County?

There's a moderate stream of newcomers. About 4.58% of residents moved from another state, which is above average and suggests Henrico County has appeal as a relocation destination — though it's not among the highest-inflow counties nationally.

[10] Similar Counties by Size & Score

Portsmouth city, VA 29 Norfolk city, VA 30 Montgomery County, VA 24 Henry County, VA 22 James City County, VA 22 Prince William County, VA 22 Washtenaw County, MI 27 Williamson County, TN 27