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Henrico County, VA

Three Chopt

RANK #319 / 996 NAT  ·  #1 / 37 VA  ·  POP 333,120

1YR FORECAST: +0.8%

5YR OUTLOOK: +28%

Our model projects above-average housing market growth for Henrico County at +0.8% over the next year.

[01] Why Henrico County?

Henrico County, Virginia, one of the oldest counties in the United States, wraps around the city of Richmond to its west, north, and east. The county is known for communities like Short Pump and Innsbrook, which have been recognized for their quality of life. Commuting options include a bus network, and Richmond International Airport is located within the county. Henrico offers a variety of outdoor recreation opportunities, with numerous parks, recreation facilities, and access to the James River.

Life in Henrico County blends suburban living with access to urban amenities. The county's public schools are recognized for their academic programs, including five International Baccalaureate schools. Recent economic developments show investment in sectors such as advanced manufacturing and data centers, contributing to job growth and a diverse economy. The county also focuses on developing public spaces and walkable neighborhoods.

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
3.5x

Undervalued relative to economy

GDP Growth
+0.8%

Well below national median

Home Prices
+1.1%

Below national median

Climate & Terrain
-0.9

Below-average climate & terrain

Price/Rent
15x

Above national median (13x)

Housing looks undervalued at 3.5x — home prices are low relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    Bon Secours Richmond Healthcare
    5,000+
  2. 2
    Amazon Logistics
  3. 3
    Altria Group Manufacturing
    2,500+
  4. 4
    Anthem Blue Cross Blue Shield Finance
  5. 5
    Markel Corporation Finance
    1,000+
  6. 6
    PPD Development Healthcare
  7. 7
    Henrico County School Board Education
  8. 8
    County of Henrico Government
  9. 9
    HCA Virginia Health System Healthcare
  10. 10
    Capital One Finance

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Henrico County U.S. National

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
333,120
+0.36% YoY
Median Household Income
$82,424
Median Home Value
$309,700
+1.12% 12mo
Median Rent
$1,380
Average Annual Pay
$70,541
+4.0% YoY
Employment
187,647
+0.5% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.2661
More affordable than average
Migration Inflow
4.49%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
45.4%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$382,000
Days on Market
25
Active market
Months of Supply
1.6
Seller's market
Sale-to-List Ratio
100.2%
Homes selling above asking
Sold Above List
38.7%
Listings w/ Price Drops
24.5%
Building Permits (2024)
1,826
Single-Family Permits
921

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

C
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
7.6
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
13.8
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
75.7
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Above national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Air Quality

B
AIR QUALITY
GRADE
Median AQI (3yr)
45.0
Good
Good Air Days
62%
677 of 1,092 days
Unhealthy+ Days (3yr)
6
Sensitive groups affected
Primary Pollutant
PM2.5
Fine particulate matter
Yearly Trend
2021
44
2022
45
2023
46
Median AQI · lower is better

Source: EPA Air Quality System (2021–2023). Grade based on 3-year average median AQI. Learn about AQI →

[07] Capital Investment

$3,400M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
Meta Henrico Data Center
Meta Platforms, Inc.
$1,700M Operating
Iron Mountain Data Center Campus (RCH-1 through RCH-4)
Iron Mountain
$1,000M Under Construction
Hourigan Data Center Campus
Hourigan
$500M Proposed
Amazon Robotics Fulfillment Center (RIC 4)
Amazon
$100M Operating
Eaton Manufacturing Expansion
Eaton
$50M Planned
Darbytown Storage Pilot Project (Battery Storage)
Dominion Energy
$50M Planned

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[08] Score Breakdown

GDP Growth +0.8% 15 percentile
Population Growth +0.4% 45 percentile
Income Growth +8.0% 36 percentile
Vacancy Rate 1.1% 49 percentile
Home Price Change +1.1% 47 percentile
Rent Growth +2.8% 45 percentile
Price/Rent 15x 33 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 996 counties.

[09] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Henrico County, VA a good place to move to?

With a Boom Town Index score of 68/100, Henrico County sits in the upper half of all 996 ranked counties. and median household income stands at $82,424 — indicators that suggest solid fundamentals even if it's not among the fastest-growing counties in VA.

Is Henrico County affordable?

Housing in Henrico County is roughly in line with national affordability norms. The median home costs $309,700 and the income-to-home-value ratio sits at 0.27, with rents averaging $1,380/month. Not a bargain, but not a stretch for most local earners either.

Is Henrico County growing or shrinking?

Population and employment in Henrico County are both close to flat — population +0.4% YoY and jobs +0.5%. Home values shifted +1.1% over the past 12 months. A steady-state county, neither expanding quickly nor shrinking.

Are people moving to Henrico County?

There's a moderate stream of newcomers. About 4.49% of residents moved from another state, which is above average and suggests Henrico County has appeal as a relocation destination — though it's not among the highest-inflow counties nationally.

[10] Similar Counties by Size & Score

Augusta County, VA 65 Franklin County, VA 61 Portsmouth city, VA 60 Hanover County, VA 59 Richmond city, VA 55 Culpeper County, VA 54 Hampden County, MA 68 Waukesha County, WI 69