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Montgomery County, VA

District B-01

RANK #827 / 996 NAT  ·  #28 / 37 VA  ·  POP 99,373

1YR FORECAST: +0.6%

5YR OUTLOOK: +15%

#48 Most Overvalued
Our model projects Montgomery County's housing market at +0.6% over the next year, underperforming most U.S. counties.

[01] Why Montgomery County?

Montgomery County, Virginia, stands out for its blend of academic influence and natural beauty, particularly with Blacksburg being home to Virginia Tech, a major university and employer. The county, situated in Southwest Virginia within the Blue Ridge Mountains, offers a community feel with access to outdoor recreation. Residents and visitors can explore the Huckleberry Trail, a 14-mile paved path connecting Blacksburg and Christiansburg, or venture into the Jefferson National Forest for hiking and mountain biking. Commute options include local bus services in Blacksburg and Christiansburg, and a Smart Way Bus connecting to Roanoke.

Life in Montgomery County is shaped by its university presence, attracting young professionals and contributing to a dynamic atmosphere. The public school system is highly rated, with numerous elementary, middle, and high schools serving the area. The economy, historically rooted in agriculture, has evolved to become a hub for technology, research, and advanced manufacturing, driven by institutions like Virginia Tech and its Corporate Research Center. Recent economic developments show continued investment in various sectors, including data centers, reflecting a broader shift towards technology-driven industries.

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
10.2x

Overvalued relative to economy

Home Prices
+1.6%

Above national median

Climate & Terrain
0.3

Moderate climate & terrain

Price/Rent
12x

Below national median (13x)

Housing looks overvalued at 10.2x — home prices are high relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University (Virginia Tech) Education
    10,000+
  2. 2
    Montgomery County Public Schools Education
    500+
  3. 3
    Walmart Retail
    250+
  4. 4
    Kroger Retail
  5. 5
    Corning Glass Works Manufacturing
  6. 6
    Montgomery County Government Government
    100+
  7. 7
    Carilion New River Valley Medical Center Healthcare
  8. 8
    BAE Systems Ordnance Systems Inc. Manufacturing
  9. 9
    Moog Inc. Manufacturing
  10. 10
    Town of Christiansburg Government

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Montgomery County U.S. National

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
99,373
+0.08% YoY
Median Household Income
$65,270
Median Home Value
$269,300
+1.59% 12mo
Median Rent
$1,161
Average Annual Pay
$60,810
+5.4% YoY
Employment
43,202
0.0% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.2424
Near national average
Migration Inflow
6.62%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
46.5%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$346,500
Days on Market
33
Active market
Months of Supply
4.1
Balanced market
Sale-to-List Ratio
98.1%
Near asking price
Sold Above List
15.8%
Listings w/ Price Drops
8.4%
Building Permits (2024)
323
Single-Family Permits
323

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

A
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
1.9
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
8.3
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
60.0
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Well below national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Capital Investment

$2,100M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
Meta Montgomery Data Center Expansion
Meta
$1,500M Under Construction
Amazon Web Services (AWS) Data Center Campus
Amazon Web Services (AWS)
$500M Proposed
Mountain Valley Pipeline (MVP) Boost - Swann Compressor Station
Mountain Valley Pipeline
$50M Under Construction
ESS Technologies, Inc. Expansion
ESS Technologies, Inc.
$50M Completed

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[07] Score Breakdown

Population Growth +0.1% 33 percentile
Income Growth +7.6% 28 percentile
Vacancy Rate 1.1% 49 percentile
Home Price Change +1.6% 54 percentile
Rent Growth +3.3% 57 percentile
Price/Rent 12x 66 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 996 counties.

[08] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Montgomery County, VA a good place to move to?

The data is not encouraging — Montgomery County scores just 16/100 on the Boom Town Index, ranking #827 of 996 counties. median household income of $65,270 reflect an economy that has been contracting or stagnating relative to the rest of the country.

Is Montgomery County affordable?

Montgomery County leans toward the expensive side. A median home value of $269,300 against an income-to-home-value ratio of 0.24 means housing eats a bigger share of local earnings than the national norm. Renters face $1,161/month on average.

Is Montgomery County growing or shrinking?

Population and employment in Montgomery County are both close to flat — population +0.1% YoY and jobs 0.0%. Home values shifted +1.6% over the past 12 months. A steady-state county, neither expanding quickly nor shrinking.

Are people moving to Montgomery County?

In significant numbers — 6.62% of Montgomery County's current population relocated from another state, well above the national norm. That level of in-migration usually signals a county where jobs, affordability, or quality of life are pulling people in from elsewhere.

[09] Similar Counties by Size & Score

Albemarle County, VA 16 York County, VA 17 Suffolk city, VA 17 Pittsylvania County, VA 14 Roanoke County, VA 19 Stafford County, VA 10 Cecil County, MD 16 Starr County, TX 16