30 / 100

Orange County, NY

Palm Tree

RANK #692 / 996 NAT  ·  #42 / 45 NY  ·  POP 401,237

1YR FORECAST: +1.9%

5YR OUTLOOK: +19%

Our model projects Orange County's housing market at +1.9% over the next year, underperforming most U.S. counties.

[01] Why Orange County?

Orange County, New York, is often recognized for the United States Military Academy at West Point, a prominent landmark overlooking the Hudson River. Located approximately 60 miles north of Midtown Manhattan, the county offers a blend of suburban and rural living. Commute options to New York City include Metro-North Railroad's Port Jervis Line and express bus services, with average commute times around 33.5 minutes for county residents. The landscape features mountains, rivers, and lakes, providing opportunities for outdoor recreation like hiking, biking, and rafting on the Delaware River.

Life in Orange County appeals to families and those seeking a balance between natural scenery and accessibility to urban centers. Towns like Warwick, Cornwall, and Chester offer walkable village centers with local shops and restaurants. The public school systems in districts such as Monroe-Woodbury, Warwick Valley, and Cornwall Central are noted for their academic programs. Economically, the county is leveraging its logistical infrastructure, including New York Stewart International Airport, to attract advanced manufacturing, life sciences, and clean technology industries. Tourism also plays a significant role, with attractions like LEGOLAND New York Resort and Storm King Art Center contributing to the local economy.

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
6.3x

Above national median (4.7x)

GDP Growth
+2.9%

Above national median

Home Prices
+3.1%

Outpacing national median

Climate & Terrain
0.1

Moderate climate & terrain

Price/Rent
13x

Below national median (13x)

Housing is fairly valued at 6.3x relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    United States Military Academy at West Point Military
    2,500+
  2. 2
    Garnet Health Medical Center Healthcare
  3. 3
    Crystal Run Health Healthcare
    1,000+
  4. 4
    Access: Supports for Living Healthcare
  5. 5
    St Luke's Cornwall Hospital Healthcare
  6. 6
    Elant, Inc. Healthcare
  7. 7
    C & S Wholesale Grocers, Inc. Logistics
    500+
  8. 8
    Amscan, Inc. Manufacturing

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Orange County U.S. National

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
401,237
+0.74% YoY
Median Household Income
$91,806
Median Home Value
$337,800
+3.09% 12mo
Median Rent
$1,494
Average Annual Pay
$62,619
+2.8% YoY
Employment
155,524
+1.6% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.2718
More affordable than average
Migration Inflow
2.99%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
31.6%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$440,000
Days on Market
56
Moderate pace
Months of Supply
3.7
Balanced market
Sale-to-List Ratio
98.7%
Near asking price
Sold Above List
35.1%
Listings w/ Price Drops
13.8%
Building Permits (2024)
2,172
Single-Family Permits
445

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

B+
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
2.5
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
5.9
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
66.3
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Well below national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Air Quality

B
AIR QUALITY
GRADE
Median AQI (3yr)
36.0
Good
Good Air Days
79%
856 of 1,084 days
Unhealthy+ Days (3yr)
7
Sensitive groups affected
Primary Pollutant
PM2.5
Fine particulate matter
Yearly Trend
2021
37
2022
37
2023
34
Median AQI · lower is better

Source: EPA Air Quality System (2021–2023). Grade based on 3-year average median AQI. Learn about AQI →

[07] Score Breakdown

GDP Growth +2.9% 54 percentile
Population Growth +0.7% 62 percentile
Income Growth +7.2% 20 percentile
Vacancy Rate 1.0% 60 percentile
Home Price Change +3.1% 73 percentile
Rent Growth +3.0% 49 percentile
Price/Rent 13x 58 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 996 counties.

[08] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Orange County, NY a good place to move to?

At 30/100, Orange County faces headwinds that place it in the lower third of the 996 counties we track. Median income of $91,806 combined with job growth of +1.6% suggests the local economy is struggling to keep pace with national trends.

Is Orange County affordable?

Housing in Orange County is roughly in line with national affordability norms. The median home costs $337,800 and the income-to-home-value ratio sits at 0.27, with rents averaging $1,494/month. Not a bargain, but not a stretch for most local earners either.

Is Orange County growing or shrinking?

Orange County is growing on multiple fronts. Population is up +0.7% year-over-year while employers added jobs at a +1.6% clip — and home values reflect that momentum, rising +3.1% over the past 12 months.

Are people moving to Orange County?

There's a moderate stream of newcomers. About 2.99% of residents moved from another state, which is above average and suggests Orange County has appeal as a relocation destination — though it's not among the highest-inflow counties nationally.

[09] Similar Counties by Size & Score

Tompkins County, NY 29 Rockland County, NY 32 Richmond County, NY 38 Westchester County, NY 38 Ulster County, NY 21 Putnam County, NY 40 Mercer County, NJ 30 Northampton County, PA 30