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Portsmouth city, VA

RANK #704 / 1001 NAT  ·  #21 / 37 VA  ·  POP 97,190

1YR FORECAST: +0.2%

5YR OUTLOOK: +25%

Our model projects Portsmouth city's housing market at +0.2% over the next year, underperforming most U.S. counties.

[01] Why Portsmouth city?

Portsmouth, Virginia, a historic seaport founded in 1752, distinguishes itself with its Olde Towne district, featuring cobblestone streets and a collection of 18th and 19th-century homes. Located across the Elizabeth River from Norfolk, Portsmouth is part of the Hampton Roads metropolitan area. Commuting to Norfolk is possible via tunnels and bridges, though traffic can be a factor, or by taking the Elizabeth River Ferry, which offers a scenic and practical alternative for pedestrians and cyclists. The city offers waterfront parks, marinas, and views of the Elizabeth River, providing a coastal feel. Notable outdoor spaces include Portsmouth City Park and Hoffler Creek Wildlife Preserve, offering opportunities for hiking, bird watching, and water sports.

Life in Portsmouth offers a blend of historic charm and community, with neighborhoods like Olde Towne and Churchland fostering social connections. The city's economy is closely tied to its maritime and defense sectors, with the Norfolk Naval Shipyard being a major employer. Recent economic developments include investments in maritime, logistics, and offshore wind industries, as well as residential projects. Portsmouth Public Schools serve the city with a number of elementary, middle, and high schools. The city's central location and comparatively lower cost of living attract a range of residents, including families and those commuting to nearby cities.

MARKET PROFILE

Idiosyncratic Markets

Portsmouth city's data profile doesn't fit any single market profile cleanly — its housing, labor, and demographic signals pull in different directions (home prices +0.1% YoY, population -0.1%, wages +3.5%). About 414 U.S. counties show this kind of mixed-signal pattern.

See all 414 Idiosyncratic Markets counties →

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
7.9x

Overvalued relative to economy

Home Prices
+0.1%

Well below national median

Climate & Terrain
0.5

Moderate climate & terrain

Price/Rent
13x

Below national median (15x)

Housing looks overvalued at 7.9x — home prices are high relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    Norfolk Naval Shipyard Military
    5,000+
  2. 2
    Naval Medical Center Portsmouth Military
    2,500+
  3. 3
    Portsmouth Public Schools Education
  4. 4
    Cox Communications Other
    1,000+
  5. 5
    Portsmouth City Government Government
  6. 6
    U.S. Fifth District Coast Guard Headquarters Military
  7. 7
    Western Branch Diesel Manufacturing
    250+
  8. 8
    Bon Secours Maryview Medical Center Healthcare
  9. 9
    Earl Industries Manufacturing
  10. 10
    Massimo Zanetti Beverage USA Manufacturing

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Portsmouth city U.S. National

Bars show trailing 12-month growth. The dashed Forecast bars are the model's next-12-month projection; the whisker marks the ±1% range (cooling–accelerating).

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
97,190
-0.11% YoY
Median Household Income
$60,491
Median Home Value
$246,900
+0.14% 12mo
Median Rent
$1,300
Average Annual Pay
$70,276
+3.5% YoY
Employment
42,983
-1.5% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.245
Near national average
Migration Inflow
6.28%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
24.3%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Building Permits (2025)
179
Single-Family Permits
125

[05] Crime & Safety

F
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
23.5
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
34.7
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
137.0
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Well above national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Capital Investment

$11,824M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
Coastal Virginia Offshore Wind (CVOW) Project
Dominion Energy, Siemens Gamesa, Ørsted North America
$10,700M Under Construction
Globalinx VA Data Center
Globalinx Data Centers
$500M Planned
Rivers Casino Portsmouth & Entertainment District
Rush Street Gaming
$340M Operating
New Port Subdivision (Residential Development)
Canopy Development
$150M Under Construction
Lineage Logistics Cold Storage Facility
Lineage Logistics (formerly Preferred Freezer)
$84M Operating
SimIS Holdings Hyperscale Data Center
SimIS Holdings
$50M Planned

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[07] Score Breakdown

Population Growth -0.1% 17 percentile
Income Growth +2.6% 44 percentile
Vacancy Rate 1.0% 45 percentile
Home Price Change +0.1% 28 percentile
Rent Growth +4.1% 70 percentile
Price/Rent 13x 81 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 1001 counties.

[08] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Portsmouth city, VA a good place to move to?

At 29/100, Portsmouth city faces headwinds that place it in the lower third of the 1001 counties we track. Median income of $60,491 combined with job growth of -1.5% suggests the local economy is struggling to keep pace with national trends.

Is Portsmouth city affordable?

Portsmouth city leans toward the expensive side. A median home value of $246,900 against an income-to-home-value ratio of 0.24 means housing eats a bigger share of local earnings than the national norm. Renters face $1,300/month on average.

Is Portsmouth city growing or shrinking?

Portsmouth city's job market is contracting (-1.5% YoY) while population is roughly stable (-0.1% change). Home values are +0.1% over the past 12 months. Hiring headwinds without an offsetting exodus — residents are staying, but local employers are shedding payroll.

Are people moving to Portsmouth city?

In significant numbers — 6.28% of Portsmouth city's current population relocated from another state, well above the national norm. That level of in-migration usually signals a county where jobs, affordability, or quality of life are pulling people in from elsewhere.

[09] Similar Counties by Size & Score

Norfolk city, VA 30 Henrico County, VA 27 Chesterfield County, VA 34 Montgomery County, VA 24 Henry County, VA 22 James City County, VA 22 Calvert County, MD 29 Angelina County, TX 29