35 / 100

Butte County, CA

RANK #643 / 1001 NAT  ·  #10 / 43 CA  ·  POP 207,929

1YR FORECAST: -0.4%

5YR OUTLOOK: +26%

Butte County's housing market is projected to grow -0.4% over the next year, below the national average.

[01] Why Butte County?

Butte County, California, offers a blend of natural beauty and community life, situated about 90 miles north of Sacramento. The city of Oroville, the county seat, is notable for the historic Bidwell Bar Bridge and the Mother Orange Tree, California's oldest orange tree, planted in 1856. The county's landscape ranges from the Sacramento River's riparian corridors to the Sierra Nevada foothills, providing extensive outdoor recreation. Residents and visitors can enjoy hiking and mountain biking in Upper Bidwell Park, whitewater rafting on the Feather River, or exploring waterfalls and wildflowers at North Table Mountain Ecological Reserve. Lake Oroville State Recreation Area is a major draw for boating, fishing, and camping.

Life in Butte County balances rural charm with access to urban amenities. Commute times are generally low, and public transit, B-Line, connects communities like Chico, Oroville, and Paradise. The county is home to California State University, Chico, and Butte College, which contribute to a local workforce and offer educational opportunities. Agriculture, including nut orchards, olives, and rice, forms a significant part of the economy, alongside growth in construction, education, and healthcare. Recent economic development has focused on rebuilding efforts following wildfires, emphasizing housing restoration and attracting workers to key industries.

MARKET PROFILE

Western Premium Correction

Butte County is one of 78 U.S. counties in this market profile — stronger than typical on the BoomTown Index. Within this cohort, its recent home-price change of +0.9% runs above the profile's typical -0.8%.

See all 78 Western Premium Correction counties →

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
18.9x

Overvalued relative to economy

Home Prices
+0.9%

Below national median

Climate & Terrain
5.1

Favorable climate & terrain

Price/Rent
22x

Prices detached from rents

Housing looks overvalued at 18.9x — home prices are high relative to local economic output. Climate and geography support a structural premium. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    California State University, Chico Education
    1,000+
  2. 2
    Enloe Medical Center Healthcare
  3. 3
    Pacific Coast Producers Manufacturing
  4. 4
    Butte County Government Government
    500+
  5. 5
    Feather River Hospital Healthcare
  6. 6
    Lifetouch Other
  7. 7
    Lodge at Feather Falls Casino Hospitality
  8. 8
    YRC Logistics
  9. 9
    Walmart Retail
    250+
  10. 10
    Gold Country Casino Hospitality

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Butte County U.S. National

Bars show trailing 12-month growth. The dashed Forecast bars are the model's next-12-month projection; the whisker marks the ±1% range (cooling–accelerating).

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
207,929
-0.74% YoY
Median Household Income
$67,928
Median Home Value
$424,700
+0.92% 12mo
Median Rent
$1,414
Average Annual Pay
$59,507
+3.5% YoY
Employment
78,621
-0.5% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.1599
Less affordable than average
Migration Inflow
5.64%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
31.9%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$440,000
Days on Market
34
Active market
Months of Supply
3.4
Balanced market
Sale-to-List Ratio
99.8%
Near asking price
Sold Above List
35.4%
Listings w/ Price Drops
30.3%
Building Permits (2025)
997
Single-Family Permits
662

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

B
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
3.8
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
12.4
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
113.6
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Below national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Air Quality

C+
AIR QUALITY
GRADE
Median AQI (3yr)
51.0
Moderate
Good Air Days
49%
542 of 1,095 days
Unhealthy+ Days (3yr)
34
Includes 3 Very Unhealthy
Primary Pollutant
Ozone
Ground-level ozone
Yearly Trend
2021
53
2022
50
2023
50
Median AQI · lower is better

Source: EPA Air Quality System (2021–2023). Grade based on 3-year average median AQI. Learn about AQI →

[07] Capital Investment

$150M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
Oroville Biomass Facility Redevelopment
MRJD
$50M Planned
Butte County Landfill Gas to Energy Project
Ameresco Energy
$50M Operating
Chico Affordable Housing Development
CCH
$50M Under Construction

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[08] Score Breakdown

Population Growth -0.7% 2 percentile
Income Growth -0.9% 3 percentile
Vacancy Rate 1.7% 13 percentile
Home Price Change +0.9% 38 percentile
Rent Growth +3.0% 52 percentile
Price/Rent 22x 10 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 1001 counties.

[09] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Butte County, CA a good place to move to?

At 35/100, Butte County faces headwinds that place it in the lower third of the 1001 counties we track. Median income of $67,928 combined with job growth of -0.5% suggests the local economy is struggling to keep pace with national trends.

Is Butte County affordable?

Butte County leans toward the expensive side. A median home value of $424,700 against an income-to-home-value ratio of 0.16 means housing eats a bigger share of local earnings than the national norm. Renters face $1,414/month on average.

Is Butte County growing or shrinking?

Butte County is losing population (-0.7% YoY) while the job market is essentially flat (-0.5% employment change). Home values are +0.9% over the past 12 months. A slow-bleed pattern — not a collapse, but residents are leaving faster than employers are hiring.

Are people moving to Butte County?

In significant numbers — 5.64% of Butte County's current population relocated from another state, well above the national norm. That level of in-migration usually signals a county where jobs, affordability, or quality of life are pulling people in from elsewhere.

[10] Similar Counties by Size & Score

Marin County, CA 35 Merced County, CA 31 Kern County, CA 30 Fresno County, CA 28 Orange County, CA 26 Kings County, CA 46 Linn County, OR 35 Ascension Parish, LA 35