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Butte County, CA

Chico

RANK #659 / 996 NAT  ·  #12 / 43 CA  ·  POP 213,605

1YR FORECAST: -0.4%

5YR OUTLOOK: +20%

Our model projects Butte County's housing market at -0.4% over the next year, underperforming most U.S. counties.

[01] Why Butte County?

Butte County, California, offers a blend of natural beauty and community life, situated about 90 miles north of Sacramento. The city of Oroville, the county seat, is notable for the historic Bidwell Bar Bridge and the Mother Orange Tree, California's oldest orange tree, planted in 1856. The county's landscape ranges from the Sacramento River's riparian corridors to the Sierra Nevada foothills, providing extensive outdoor recreation. Residents and visitors can enjoy hiking and mountain biking in Upper Bidwell Park, whitewater rafting on the Feather River, or exploring waterfalls and wildflowers at North Table Mountain Ecological Reserve. Lake Oroville State Recreation Area is a major draw for boating, fishing, and camping.

Life in Butte County balances rural charm with access to urban amenities. Commute times are generally low, and public transit, B-Line, connects communities like Chico, Oroville, and Paradise. The county is home to California State University, Chico, and Butte College, which contribute to a local workforce and offer educational opportunities. Agriculture, including nut orchards, olives, and rice, forms a significant part of the economy, alongside growth in construction, education, and healthcare. Recent economic development has focused on rebuilding efforts following wildfires, emphasizing housing restoration and attracting workers to key industries.

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
8.0x

Overvalued relative to economy

GDP Growth
+6.4%

Well above national median

Home Prices
+0.7%

Well below national median

Climate & Terrain
5.1

Favorable climate & terrain

Price/Rent
19x

Above national median (13x)

Housing looks overvalued at 8.0x — home prices are high relative to local economic output. Climate and geography support a structural premium. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    California State University, Chico Education
    1,000+
  2. 2
    Enloe Medical Center Healthcare
  3. 3
    Pacific Coast Producers Manufacturing
  4. 4
    Butte County Government Government
    500+
  5. 5
    Feather River Hospital Healthcare
  6. 6
    Lifetouch Other
  7. 7
    Lodge at Feather Falls Casino Hospitality
  8. 8
    YRC Logistics
  9. 9
    Walmart Retail
    250+
  10. 10
    Gold Country Casino Hospitality

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Butte County U.S. National

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
213,605
-1.96% YoY
Median Household Income
$66,085
Median Home Value
$371,600
+0.67% 12mo
Median Rent
$1,280
Average Annual Pay
$57,521
+4.7% YoY
Employment
78,999
+0.9% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.1778
Less affordable than average
Migration Inflow
5.48%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
30.8%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$412,500
Days on Market
57
Moderate pace
Months of Supply
4.3
Balanced market
Sale-to-List Ratio
98.4%
Near asking price
Sold Above List
23.3%
Listings w/ Price Drops
22.2%
Building Permits (2024)
946
Single-Family Permits
657

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

B
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
3.8
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
12.4
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
113.6
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Below national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Air Quality

C+
AIR QUALITY
GRADE
Median AQI (3yr)
51.0
Moderate
Good Air Days
49%
542 of 1,095 days
Unhealthy+ Days (3yr)
34
Includes 3 Very Unhealthy
Primary Pollutant
Ozone
Ground-level ozone
Yearly Trend
2021
53
2022
50
2023
50
Median AQI · lower is better

Source: EPA Air Quality System (2021–2023). Grade based on 3-year average median AQI. Learn about AQI →

[07] Capital Investment

$150M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
Oroville Biomass Facility Redevelopment
MRJD
$50M Planned
Butte County Landfill Gas to Energy Project
Ameresco Energy
$50M Operating
Chico Affordable Housing Development
CCH
$50M Under Construction

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[08] Score Breakdown

GDP Growth +6.4% 92 percentile
Income Growth +10.4% 84 percentile
Vacancy Rate 2.0% 9 percentile
Home Price Change +0.7% 40 percentile
Rent Growth +3.3% 56 percentile
Price/Rent 19x 10 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 996 counties.

[09] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Butte County, CA a good place to move to?

At 33/100, Butte County faces headwinds that place it in the lower third of the 996 counties we track. Median income of $66,085 combined with job growth of +0.9% suggests the local economy is struggling to keep pace with national trends.

Is Butte County affordable?

Butte County leans toward the expensive side. A median home value of $371,600 against an income-to-home-value ratio of 0.18 means housing eats a bigger share of local earnings than the national norm. Renters face $1,280/month on average.

Is Butte County growing or shrinking?

Butte County is losing population (-2.0% YoY) while the job market is essentially flat (+0.9% employment change). Home values are +0.7% over the past 12 months. A slow-bleed pattern — not a collapse, but residents are leaving faster than employers are hiring.

Are people moving to Butte County?

In significant numbers — 5.48% of Butte County's current population relocated from another state, well above the national norm. That level of in-migration usually signals a county where jobs, affordability, or quality of life are pulling people in from elsewhere.

[10] Similar Counties by Size & Score

Yuba County, CA 35 El Dorado County, CA 30 Sacramento County, CA 28 San Benito County, CA 40 Riverside County, CA 26 Alameda County, CA 25 Cumberland County, PA 33 Scott County, MN 33