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Solano County, CA

RANK #805 / 1001 NAT  ·  #18 / 43 CA  ·  POP 451,918

1YR FORECAST: -0.9%

5YR OUTLOOK: +23%

#37 Best Climate & Terrain #44 Most Overvalued
Our model projects Solano County's housing market at -0.9% over the next year, underperforming most U.S. counties.

[01] Why Solano County?

Benicia, a historic waterfront city, stands out in Solano County, having served as California's state capital from 1853-1854. Located midway between San Francisco and Sacramento, Solano County offers a blend of rural and suburban living. Commute options include local and intercity bus services, passenger rail, and a ferry from Vallejo to San Francisco, which takes approximately an hour. The county boasts significant natural amenities, with rolling hillsides, fertile farmland, and extensive wetlands. Outdoor recreation opportunities are plentiful at Lake Berryessa for boating, swimming, and hiking, and Rush Ranch Open Space provides trails and wildlife viewing in a brackish tidal marsh.

Life in Solano County often appeals to families and commuters seeking a balance between accessibility to major urban centers and a more relaxed environment. The economy is diverse, supported by sectors such as advanced manufacturing, food and beverage, and biotechnology. Major investments are flowing into commercial and residential development, energy initiatives, and infrastructure improvements across the county. Educational opportunities are provided by several school districts, including Benicia Unified and Vacaville Unified.

MARKET PROFILE

Western Premium Correction

Solano County is one of 78 U.S. counties in this market profile — weaker than typical on the BoomTown Index. Within this cohort, its recent home-price change of -2.8% runs below the profile's typical -0.8%.

See all 78 Western Premium Correction counties →

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
26.4x

Overvalued relative to economy

Home Prices
-2.8%

Prices declining

Climate & Terrain
5.9

Favorable climate & terrain

Price/Rent
22x

Prices detached from rents

Housing looks overvalued at 26.4x — home prices are high relative to local economic output. Climate and geography support a structural premium. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    Travis Air Force Base Military
    10,000+
  2. 2
    Kaiser Permanente Healthcare
    5,000+
  3. 3
    NorthBay Healthcare Healthcare
    2,500+
  4. 4
    Solano County Government Government
    1,000+
  5. 5
    Fairfield-Suisun Unified School District Education
  6. 6
    Vallejo City Unified School District Education
  7. 7
    Genentech Technology
  8. 8
    Jelly Belly Candy Company Manufacturing
    500+
  9. 9
    Six Flags Discovery Kingdom Hospitality
  10. 10
    Solano Community College Education

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Solano County U.S. National

Bars show trailing 12-month growth. The dashed Forecast bars are the model's next-12-month projection; the whisker marks the ±1% range (cooling–accelerating).

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
451,918
+0.24% YoY
Median Household Income
$100,401
Median Home Value
$617,700
-2.82% 12mo
Median Rent
$2,163
Average Annual Pay
$73,554
+3.0% YoY
Employment
143,911
+0.4% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.1625
Less affordable than average
Migration Inflow
3.99%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
28.8%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$587,500
Days on Market
39
Active market
Months of Supply
2.9
Seller's market
Sale-to-List Ratio
99.9%
Near asking price
Sold Above List
44.5%
Listings w/ Price Drops
28.3%
Building Permits (2025)
881
Single-Family Permits
750

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

C
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
7.9
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
12.0
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
72.4
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Above national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Air Quality

B
AIR QUALITY
GRADE
Median AQI (3yr)
42.3
Good
Good Air Days
66%
719 of 1,095 days
Unhealthy+ Days (3yr)
4
Sensitive groups affected
Primary Pollutant
Ozone
Ground-level ozone
Yearly Trend
2021
44
2022
43
2023
40
Median AQI · lower is better

Source: EPA Air Quality System (2021–2023). Grade based on 3-year average median AQI. Learn about AQI →

[07] Capital Investment

$50,314M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
California Forever (New City, Manufacturing & Shipyard)
Flannery Associates
$49,000M Proposed
Highway 37 Widening (Sears Point-Mare Island)
Caltrans
$500M Planned
Corby Energy Storage Project
NextEra Energy Resources, LLC
$385M Proposed
I-80 Cordelia Truck Scales
Caltrans
$250M Planned
Solano 5 Wind Repower Project
SMUD
$94M Proposed
Solano 4 Wind Project
SMUD
$85M Under Construction

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[08] Score Breakdown

Population Growth +0.2% 32 percentile
Income Growth +0.4% 10 percentile
Vacancy Rate 0.8% 69 percentile
Home Price Change -2.8% 7 percentile
Rent Growth +0.3% 12 percentile
Price/Rent 22x 11 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 1001 counties.

[09] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Solano County, CA a good place to move to?

The data is not encouraging — Solano County scores just 19/100 on the Boom Town Index, ranking #805 of 1001 counties. Job growth at +0.4% and median household income of $100,401 reflect an economy that has been contracting or stagnating relative to the rest of the country.

Is Solano County affordable?

Solano County leans toward the expensive side. A median home value of $617,700 against an income-to-home-value ratio of 0.16 means housing eats a bigger share of local earnings than the national norm. Renters face $2,163/month on average.

Is Solano County growing or shrinking?

Population and employment in Solano County are both close to flat — population +0.2% YoY and jobs +0.4%. Home values shifted -2.8% over the past 12 months. A steady-state county, neither expanding quickly nor shrinking.

Are people moving to Solano County?

There's a moderate stream of newcomers. About 3.99% of residents moved from another state, which is above average and suggests Solano County has appeal as a relocation destination — though it's not among the highest-inflow counties nationally.

[10] Similar Counties by Size & Score

San Joaquin County, CA 17 San Francisco County, CA 16 Sacramento County, CA 16 Yuba County, CA 24 Tuolumne County, CA 24 Placer County, CA 14 Frederick County, MD 19 Delaware County, OH 19