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San Bernardino County, CA

RANK #429 / 996 NAT  ·  #4 / 43 CA  ·  POP 2,180,563

1YR FORECAST: +0.3%

5YR OUTLOOK: +25%

San Bernardino County's housing market is projected to grow +0.3% over the next year, tracking near the national average.

[01] Why San Bernardino County?

San Bernardino County, California, the largest county by area in the contiguous United States, is often recognized for its diverse landscapes, from the peaks of the San Bernardino Mountains to the vast Mojave Desert. A notable landmark, the historic Route 66, runs through the county, with sites like vintage motels and diners preserving its legacy. Located within the Inland Empire, the county is approximately 60 miles east of Los Angeles. Commute options include Metrolink rail services, which connect to Los Angeles and Ontario International Airport, and various rideshare and vanpool programs. The community offers extensive outdoor recreation, including hiking and camping in the San Bernardino National Forest, fishing and boating at Silverwood Lake and Lake Gregory, and exploring Joshua Tree National Park.

Life in San Bernardino County offers a blend of suburban and rural living. Towns like Rancho Cucamonga are known for their schools and recreational opportunities, while Redlands features historic architecture and community events. The county's economy is driven by sectors such as logistics, manufacturing, and healthcare. Recent developments include a new high-speed rail link to Las Vegas with a station in Rancho Cucamonga, and large-scale master-planned communities like Silverwood in Hesperia, which will include thousands of homes and significant open space. The county also supports small business development, including programs for minority entrepreneurs.

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
9.1x

Overvalued relative to economy

GDP Growth
+3.5%

Above national median

Home Prices
-1.9%

Prices declining

Climate & Terrain
3.6

Favorable climate & terrain

Price/Rent
15x

Above national median (13x)

Housing looks overvalued at 9.1x — home prices are high relative to local economic output. Climate and geography support a structural premium. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    San Bernardino County Government Government
    10,000+
  2. 2
    Stater Bros. Markets Retail
  3. 3
    Amazon Logistics
  4. 4
    Walmart Retail
  5. 5
    Arrowhead Regional Medical Center (ARMC) Healthcare
    2,500+
  6. 6
    San Bernardino County Superintendent of Schools Education
  7. 7
    California State University San Bernardino Education
  8. 8
    San Bernardino Valley College Education
  9. 9
    Omnitrans Government
  10. 10
    SAN BERNARDINO MEDICAL GROUP Healthcare

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

San Bernardino County U.S. National

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
2,180,563
+0.44% YoY
Median Household Income
$77,423
Median Home Value
$438,000
-1.87% 12mo
Median Rent
$1,584
Average Annual Pay
$62,368
+4.7% YoY
Employment
845,908
+0.8% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.1768
Less affordable than average
Migration Inflow
3.34%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
22.4%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$545,000
Days on Market
68
Slower market
Months of Supply
4.6
Balanced market
Sale-to-List Ratio
99.0%
Near asking price
Sold Above List
36.7%
Listings w/ Price Drops
19.1%
Building Permits (2024)
6,226
Single-Family Permits
3,617

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

C
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
7.5
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
11.5
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
68.2
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Above national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Air Quality

F
AIR QUALITY
GRADE
Median AQI (3yr)
78.3
Moderate
Good Air Days
8%
90 of 1,095 days
Unhealthy+ Days (3yr)
394
Includes 26 Very Unhealthy
Primary Pollutant
Ozone
Ground-level ozone
Yearly Trend
2021
87
2022
77
2023
71
Median AQI · lower is better

Source: EPA Air Quality System (2021–2023). Grade based on 3-year average median AQI. Learn about AQI →

[07] Score Breakdown

GDP Growth +3.5% 66 percentile
Population Growth +0.4% 49 percentile
Income Growth +10.2% 82 percentile
Vacancy Rate 1.0% 59 percentile
Home Price Change -1.9% 15 percentile
Rent Growth +1.8% 31 percentile
Price/Rent 15x 35 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 996 counties.

[08] Frequently Asked Questions

Is San Bernardino County, CA a good place to move to?

San Bernardino County scores 57/100 on the Boom Town Index, landing in the middle of the pack among 996 U.S. counties (#429). Median household income is $77,423 and job growth is running at +0.8%. The data points to a county with mixed signals — some positive indicators alongside areas that lag faster-growing peers.

Is San Bernardino County affordable?

San Bernardino County leans toward the expensive side. A median home value of $438,000 against an income-to-home-value ratio of 0.18 means housing eats a bigger share of local earnings than the national norm. Renters face $1,584/month on average.

Is San Bernardino County growing or shrinking?

Population and employment in San Bernardino County are both close to flat — population +0.4% YoY and jobs +0.8%. Home values shifted -1.9% over the past 12 months. A steady-state county, neither expanding quickly nor shrinking.

Are people moving to San Bernardino County?

There's a moderate stream of newcomers. About 3.34% of residents moved from another state, which is above average and suggests San Bernardino County has appeal as a relocation destination — though it's not among the highest-inflow counties nationally.

[09] Similar Counties by Size & Score

Tulare County, CA 55 Kings County, CA 63 Madera County, CA 51 Kern County, CA 49 Fresno County, CA 49 Imperial County, CA 67 Suffolk County, NY 57 Oakland County, MI 57