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Nevada County, CA

RANK #930 / 1001 NAT  ·  #34 / 43 CA  ·  POP 102,481

1YR FORECAST: -0.5%

5YR OUTLOOK: +16%

#19 Best Climate & Terrain #32 Most Overvalued
Our model projects Nevada County's housing market at -0.5% over the next year, underperforming most U.S. counties.

[01] Why Nevada County?

Nevada County, California, distinguishes itself with its Gold Rush history and natural beauty, particularly in towns like Nevada City, a national historic landmark known for its Victorian architecture. Located in the Sierra Nevada foothills, approximately 60 miles northeast of Sacramento and 80 miles west of Reno, the county offers a blend of small-town charm and outdoor access. Residents and visitors enjoy four distinct seasons, with warm summers and cool, snowy winters. The county boasts extensive outdoor recreation, including hiking and biking trails, kayaking and fishing on the South Yuba River and Scotts Flat Lake, and winter sports near Donner Summit.

Life in Nevada County often appeals to those seeking a connection to nature and a strong sense of community. The public school system includes several districts, with schools like Deer Creek Elementary and Grass Valley School District serving local families. Commute options within Western Nevada County include fixed-route bus services provided by Nevada County Connects, with regional connections to Auburn. The economy, historically rooted in gold mining, has diversified to include professional business services, healthcare, and a growing manufacturing sector with companies like Aja Video. Tourism also plays a significant role, driven by the county's historic towns and outdoor attractions.

MARKET PROFILE

Idiosyncratic Markets

Nevada County's data profile doesn't fit any single market profile cleanly — its housing, labor, and demographic signals pull in different directions (home prices -1.3% YoY, population +0.0%, wages +4.9%). About 414 U.S. counties show this kind of mixed-signal pattern.

See all 414 Idiosyncratic Markets counties →

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
28.0x

Overvalued relative to economy

Home Prices
-1.3%

Prices declining

Climate & Terrain
7.3

Favorable climate & terrain

Price/Rent
20x

Prices detached from rents

Housing looks overvalued at 28.0x — home prices are high relative to local economic output. Climate and geography support a structural premium. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    Sierra Nevada Memorial Hospital Healthcare
    1,000+
  2. 2
    County of Nevada Government
    500+
  3. 3
    Tahoe Forest Hospital Healthcare
  4. 4
    Boreal Mountain Resort Hospitality
  5. 5
    Clear Capital Finance
    250+
  6. 6
    Interfaith Food Ministry Other
  7. 7
    Lodge At Tahoe Donner Hospitality
  8. 8
    AJA Video Systems Technology
    100+
  9. 9
    Nevada Joint Union High School District Education
  10. 10
    Nevada Irrigation District Government

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Nevada County U.S. National

Bars show trailing 12-month growth. The dashed Forecast bars are the model's next-12-month projection; the whisker marks the ±1% range (cooling–accelerating).

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
102,481
+0.03% YoY
Median Household Income
$89,882
Median Home Value
$621,800
-1.27% 12mo
Median Rent
$1,677
Average Annual Pay
$65,810
+4.9% YoY
Employment
34,594
-1.2% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.1446
Less affordable than average
Migration Inflow
3.7%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
41.5%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$685,000
Days on Market
19
Very hot — homes selling fast
Months of Supply
4.2
Balanced market
Sale-to-List Ratio
100.0%
Near asking price
Sold Above List
36.6%
Listings w/ Price Drops
24.7%
Building Permits (2025)
198
Single-Family Permits
194

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

B
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
3.1
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
11.9
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
94.1
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Well below national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Air Quality

B-
AIR QUALITY
GRADE
Median AQI (3yr)
47.3
Good
Good Air Days
59%
650 of 1,093 days
Unhealthy+ Days (3yr)
72
Includes 11 Very Unhealthy
Primary Pollutant
Ozone
Ground-level ozone
Yearly Trend
2021
50
2022
50
2023
42
Median AQI · lower is better

Source: EPA Air Quality System (2021–2023). Grade based on 3-year average median AQI. Learn about AQI →

[07] Score Breakdown

Population Growth +0.0% 24 percentile
Income Growth +5.9% 95 percentile
Vacancy Rate 0.7% 80 percentile
Home Price Change -1.3% 16 percentile
Rent Growth +3.4% 59 percentile
Price/Rent 20x 15 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 1001 counties.

[08] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Nevada County, CA a good place to move to?

The data is not encouraging — Nevada County scores just 6/100 on the Boom Town Index, ranking #930 of 1001 counties. Job growth at -1.2% and median household income of $89,882 reflect an economy that has been contracting or stagnating relative to the rest of the country.

Is Nevada County affordable?

Affordability is a real challenge in Nevada County. The median home is valued at $621,800 — with an income-to-home-value ratio of just 0.14, that's significantly harder to afford than in most U.S. counties. Median rent runs $1,677/month.

Is Nevada County growing or shrinking?

Nevada County's job market is contracting (-1.2% YoY) while population is roughly stable (+0.0% change). Home values are -1.3% over the past 12 months. Hiring headwinds without an offsetting exodus — residents are staying, but local employers are shedding payroll.

Are people moving to Nevada County?

There's a moderate stream of newcomers. About 3.7% of residents moved from another state, which is above average and suggests Nevada County has appeal as a relocation destination — though it's not among the highest-inflow counties nationally.

[09] Similar Counties by Size & Score

San Diego County, CA 7 Yolo County, CA 5 Sonoma County, CA 4 Los Angeles County, CA 4 Mendocino County, CA 4 Stanislaus County, CA 9 Grant County, WA 6 Maury County, TN 6