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Nevada County, CA

Grass Valley

RANK #886 / 996 NAT  ·  #32 / 43 CA  ·  POP 102,322

1YR FORECAST: -1.0%

5YR OUTLOOK: +12%

#19 Best Climate & Terrain #21 Most Overvalued
Our model projects Nevada County's housing market at -1.0% over the next year, underperforming most U.S. counties.

[01] Why Nevada County?

Nevada County, California, distinguishes itself with its Gold Rush history and natural beauty, particularly in towns like Nevada City, a national historic landmark known for its Victorian architecture. Located in the Sierra Nevada foothills, approximately 60 miles northeast of Sacramento and 80 miles west of Reno, the county offers a blend of small-town charm and outdoor access. Residents and visitors enjoy four distinct seasons, with warm summers and cool, snowy winters. The county boasts extensive outdoor recreation, including hiking and biking trails, kayaking and fishing on the South Yuba River and Scotts Flat Lake, and winter sports near Donner Summit.

Life in Nevada County often appeals to those seeking a connection to nature and a strong sense of community. The public school system includes several districts, with schools like Deer Creek Elementary and Grass Valley School District serving local families. Commute options within Western Nevada County include fixed-route bus services provided by Nevada County Connects, with regional connections to Auburn. The economy, historically rooted in gold mining, has diversified to include professional business services, healthcare, and a growing manufacturing sector with companies like Aja Video. Tourism also plays a significant role, driven by the county's historic towns and outdoor attractions.

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
11.9x

Overvalued relative to economy

GDP Growth
+3.8%

Above national median

Home Prices
-1.6%

Prices declining

Climate & Terrain
7.3

Favorable climate & terrain

Price/Rent
19x

Above national median (13x)

Housing looks overvalued at 11.9x — home prices are high relative to local economic output. Climate and geography support a structural premium. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    Sierra Nevada Memorial Hospital Healthcare
    1,000+
  2. 2
    County of Nevada Government
    500+
  3. 3
    Tahoe Forest Hospital Healthcare
  4. 4
    Boreal Mountain Resort Hospitality
  5. 5
    Clear Capital Finance
    250+
  6. 6
    Interfaith Food Ministry Other
  7. 7
    Lodge At Tahoe Donner Hospitality
  8. 8
    AJA Video Systems Technology
    100+
  9. 9
    Nevada Joint Union High School District Education
  10. 10
    Nevada Irrigation District Government

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Nevada County U.S. National

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
102,322
+0.23% YoY
Median Household Income
$79,395
Median Home Value
$559,700
-1.62% 12mo
Median Rent
$1,487
Average Annual Pay
$62,734
+4.9% YoY
Employment
35,000
+4.0% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.1419
Less affordable than average
Migration Inflow
2.92%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
38.8%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$622,500
Days on Market
96
Slower market
Months of Supply
3.1
Balanced market
Sale-to-List Ratio
97.3%
Negotiation room for buyers
Sold Above List
24.0%
Listings w/ Price Drops
16.0%
Building Permits (2024)
215
Single-Family Permits
215

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

B
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
3.1
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
11.9
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
94.1
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Well below national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Air Quality

B-
AIR QUALITY
GRADE
Median AQI (3yr)
47.3
Good
Good Air Days
59%
650 of 1,093 days
Unhealthy+ Days (3yr)
72
Includes 11 Very Unhealthy
Primary Pollutant
Ozone
Ground-level ozone
Yearly Trend
2021
50
2022
50
2023
42
Median AQI · lower is better

Source: EPA Air Quality System (2021–2023). Grade based on 3-year average median AQI. Learn about AQI →

[07] Score Breakdown

GDP Growth +3.8% 70 percentile
Population Growth +0.2% 40 percentile
Income Growth +6.4% 11 percentile
Vacancy Rate 0.9% 69 percentile
Home Price Change -1.6% 17 percentile
Rent Growth +1.6% 27 percentile
Price/Rent 19x 10 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 996 counties.

[08] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Nevada County, CA a good place to move to?

The data is not encouraging — Nevada County scores just 10/100 on the Boom Town Index, ranking #886 of 996 counties. Job growth at +4.0% and median household income of $79,395 reflect an economy that has been contracting or stagnating relative to the rest of the country.

Is Nevada County affordable?

Affordability is a real challenge in Nevada County. The median home is valued at $559,700 — with an income-to-home-value ratio of just 0.14, that's significantly harder to afford than in most U.S. counties. Median rent runs $1,487/month.

Is Nevada County growing or shrinking?

Employers in Nevada County are hiring — job growth of +4.0% — but the population is close to flat (+0.2% YoY). Home values moved -1.6% over the past year. Labor demand is outpacing local population growth, which tends to tighten wages and housing.

Are people moving to Nevada County?

There's a moderate stream of newcomers. About 2.92% of residents moved from another state, which is above average and suggests Nevada County has appeal as a relocation destination — though it's not among the highest-inflow counties nationally.

[09] Similar Counties by Size & Score

Stanislaus County, CA 10 San Luis Obispo County, CA 11 Sonoma County, CA 9 Monterey County, CA 12 Mendocino County, CA 8 San Francisco County, CA 13 Lincoln County, NC 10 Fayette County, GA 10