Ranked by Home Value vs. GDP Gap · Data updated August 2026

Most Undervalued Housing Markets

Counties where home prices are lowest relative to local economic output (GDP per capita). A low ratio means the local economy produces more per dollar of housing cost.

Most Undervalued Housing Markets

Midwest Cities Lead the Undervalued Pack

Illinois emerges as a clear leader in undervalued housing, with six counties making the list, including Sangamon, Peoria, and Macon. These areas, often characterized by strong agricultural or manufacturing bases, show home prices that haven't fully reflected their underlying economic output. This suggests a potential for future appreciation as the market catches up to the local economic fundamentals.

Manhattan's Unexpected Value Play

New York County (Manhattan) at #5 is a significant surprise. Despite its reputation for sky-high prices, the data suggests that even here, home values haven't fully kept pace with the sheer economic output of the borough. While affordability remains a challenge, its inclusion highlights how robust local economies can still outpace even the most expensive housing markets, creating relative undervaluation.

Rust Belt Resilience in West Virginia

Kanawha and Harrison Counties in West Virginia, both appearing in the top 15, represent a compelling story of undervalued markets. These regions, historically tied to resource industries, are demonstrating local economic output that is not yet fully reflected in their housing prices. This indicates a potential for growth as these economies diversify and housing values adjust to their underlying economic strength.

# County BTI Score HV Ratio GDP Growth 1yr Forecast Home Price
01 St. Louis city MO 35 3.1x — -0.3% -0.2%
02 Potter County TX 97 3.5x — +1.6% +4.2%
03 Sangamon County IL 92 3.6x — +3.1% +7.9%
04 Peoria County IL 96 3.6x — +3.6% +6.2%
05 New York County NY 52 4.0x — +1.3% +3.0%
06 Macon County IL 27 4.2x — +1.5% +5.4%
07 Kanawha County WV 28 4.2x — +1.7% +1.9%
08 Lenoir County NC 85 4.2x — +1.9% +6.3%
09 Apache County AZ 85 4.3x — -0.1% +0.8%
10 Rock Island County IL 78 4.3x — +2.4% +4.7%
11 Marion County IN 9 4.3x — +0.4% -0.8%
12 Baltimore city MD 5 4.3x — -1.8% -3.5%
13 Roanoke city VA 17 4.4x — +1.8% +0.7%
14 Dougherty County GA 89 4.4x — -0.2% +1.7%
15 Harrison County WV 28 4.4x — +1.7% +1.7%
16 Wyandotte County KS 99 4.5x — +2.1% +2.3%
17 Cuyahoga County OH 67 4.5x — +3.0% +3.5%
18 Montgomery County AL 38 4.6x — +0.1% +2.1%
19 Albany County NY 56 4.6x — +2.3% +4.3%
20 Jefferson County TX 59 4.7x — +0.1% +4.0%
21 Dallas County TX 19 4.7x — -1.9% -1.9%
22 Midland County TX 3 4.7x — +0.1% +1.7%
23 Eddy County NM 10 4.7x — +1.0% +2.3%
24 Jackson County IL 87 4.8x — +2.2% +7.5%
25 Steuben County NY 38 4.8x — +0.6% +4.7%
26 Buchanan County MO 36 4.8x — +0.8% +5.2%
27 Anderson County TN 12 4.9x — +0.8% +3.5%
28 Hamilton County OH 7 5.0x — +1.0% +1.0%
29 Shawnee County KS 77 5.0x — +3.0% +0.1%
30 Cabell County WV 95 5.0x — +2.4% +3.3%
31 Pulaski County AR 29 5.0x — +0.9% +4.2%
32 Vermilion County IL 10 5.0x — -0.1% +2.5%
33 Fulton County GA 36 5.0x — -0.7% -1.6%
34 Franklin County KY 18 5.1x — +1.5% -0.3%
35 Ingham County MI 79 5.1x — +3.2% +2.8%
36 Onondaga County NY 89 5.1x — +4.2% +6.5%
37 Dauphin County PA 23 5.2x — +1.9% +3.1%
38 Allegheny County PA 38 5.2x — +0.7% -0.0%
39 Vanderburgh County IN 56 5.2x — +2.8% +4.4%
40 Hinds County MS 9 5.2x — -0.7% +2.1%
41 Elkhart County IN 100 5.2x — +1.9% +5.7%
42 McCracken County KY 83 5.2x — +2.0% -1.4%
43 Bartholomew County IN 36 5.2x — +1.6% +2.5%
44 District of Columbia DC 10 5.3x — -1.2% -1.1%
45 Oklahoma County OK 65 5.3x — -0.1% +0.5%
46 Durham County NC 3 5.3x — -1.2% -3.4%
47 Hancock County OH 74 5.4x — +3.5% +3.5%
48 Ector County TX 0 5.4x — -1.2% +4.4%
49 Chemung County NY 100 5.4x — +2.8% +6.2%
50 Jefferson County KY 18 5.4x — +1.3% +1.2%
50
Counties ranked
Cite this ranking

BoomTownIndex, “Most Undervalued Housing Markets.” Data: August 2026. https://boomtownindex.com/rankings/most-undervalued-housing/

Free to reference with a link. See methodology →