Ranked by Home Value vs. GDP Gap · Data updated July 2026

Most Undervalued Housing Markets

Counties where home prices are lowest relative to local economic output (GDP per capita). A low ratio means the local economy produces more per dollar of housing cost.

Most Undervalued Housing Markets

Midwestern Cities Lead the Undervalued Pack

Illinois counties dominate this list, with six entries, including Sangamon, Peoria, and Macon. These areas, often characterized by steady but unspectacular economic activity, show home prices that haven't fully appreciated their local output. This suggests a consistent, underlying economic base that hasn't translated into rapid housing cost increases, offering a compelling case for long-term value.

Manhattan's Hidden Value

New York County (Manhattan) at #5 is a stark surprise. Despite its notoriously high home prices, the sheer scale of its economic output means housing costs are relatively low compared to the local economy. This isn't about affordability in the traditional sense, but rather a testament to Manhattan's unparalleled economic engine, where even million-dollar homes are undervalued against the vast wealth generated.

The Complex Case of St. Louis City

St. Louis City tops the list, presenting a nuanced picture of undervaluation. While its economic output is significant, a declining population and high homicide rate likely suppress housing demand and price growth. This creates a scenario where the underlying economic strength isn't fully reflected in home values, making it an intriguing market for those looking beyond surface-level challenges.

# County BTI Score HV Ratio GDP Growth 1yr Forecast Home Price
01 St. Louis city MO 78 3.1x +3.0% -0.5%
02 Potter County TX 92 3.5x +5.6% +3.9%
03 Sangamon County IL 75 3.6x +6.0% +8.4%
04 Peoria County IL 98 3.6x +6.0% +6.5%
05 New York County NY 22 4.0x +2.2% +2.6%
06 Macon County IL 26 4.2x +3.5% +6.3%
07 Kanawha County WV 57 4.2x +4.9% +1.8%
08 Lenoir County NC 74 4.2x +6.4% +6.8%
09 Apache County AZ 61 4.3x +4.2% +0.6%
10 Rock Island County IL 82 4.3x +5.4% +5.2%
11 Baltimore city MD 8 4.3x -0.2% -3.0%
12 Marion County IN 13 4.3x +1.3% -0.8%
13 Roanoke city VA 47 4.4x +4.0% +0.6%
14 Dougherty County GA 68 4.4x +4.0% +0.6%
15 Harrison County WV 63 4.4x +5.4% +1.8%
16 Wyandotte County KS 100 4.5x +4.8% +1.9%
17 Cuyahoga County OH 82 4.5x +4.7% +3.5%
18 Albany County NY 66 4.6x +5.8% +4.6%
19 Montgomery County AL 29 4.6x +3.6% +2.2%
20 Dallas County TX 14 4.7x +0.3% -2.3%
21 Jefferson County TX 71 4.7x +4.5% +3.7%
22 Midland County TX 3 4.7x +3.3% +1.6%
23 Eddy County NM 59 4.7x +4.0% +1.6%
24 Jackson County IL 51 4.8x +5.6% +8.5%
25 Steuben County NY 53 4.8x +4.4% +5.1%
26 Buchanan County MO 39 4.8x +4.6% +6.2%
27 Anderson County TN 4 4.9x +2.7% +3.9%
28 Hamilton County OH 12 5.0x +2.4% +1.1%
29 Shawnee County KS 91 5.0x +6.0% +0.2%
30 Cabell County WV 88 5.0x +5.0% +4.0%
31 Pulaski County AR 22 5.0x +4.2% +4.2%
32 Vermilion County IL 30 5.0x +2.2% +2.1%
33 Fulton County GA 55 5.0x +2.3% -1.9%
34 Franklin County KY 19 5.1x +3.8% -0.8%
35 Ingham County MI 77 5.1x +5.5% +2.9%
36 Onondaga County NY 85 5.1x +6.1% +6.4%
37 Dauphin County PA 33 5.2x +5.5% +3.2%
38 Allegheny County PA 36 5.2x +3.8% +0.0%
39 Hinds County MS 43 5.2x +0.8% +2.3%
40 Vanderburgh County IN 96 5.2x +6.3% +4.1%
41 Elkhart County IN 98 5.2x +5.9% +5.6%
42 McCracken County KY 85 5.2x +3.0% -1.7%
43 Bartholomew County IN 29 5.2x +4.2% +2.6%
44 District of Columbia DC 2 5.3x +0.2% -1.7%
45 Oklahoma County OK 49 5.3x +3.3% +0.2%
46 Durham County NC 4 5.3x -0.5% -3.4%
47 Hancock County OH 92 5.4x +6.2% +3.1%
48 Ector County TX 4 5.4x +0.8% +4.9%
49 Chemung County NY 98 5.4x +5.8% +5.7%
50 Jefferson County KY 10 5.4x +3.4% +1.0%