Ranked by Home Value vs. GDP Gap

Most Undervalued Housing Markets

Counties where home prices are lowest relative to local economic output (GDP per capita). A low ratio means the local economy produces more per dollar of housing cost.

Most Undervalued Housing Markets

Energy Boomtowns Dominate the Top

The top of our Undervalued Housing Markets list is heavily influenced by energy-rich counties in New Mexico and Texas. Lea and Eddy Counties, NM, along with Midland County, TX, showcase robust GDP growth, yet their home prices, while appreciating, haven't fully reflected this economic surge. This suggests a lag in housing market response to significant local economic output, making them prime examples of undervalued markets.

Louisiana's Industrial Enigma

St. Charles Parish, LA, at #4, presents a fascinating case. Despite strong GDP growth driven by its industrial base, the county shows a projected 1-year home value *decline*. This divergence is surprising, indicating that local economic strength isn't translating into immediate housing appreciation, potentially due to other factors like population shifts or specific market dynamics keeping prices low relative to output.

The Tale of Two Jeffersons

While Jefferson County, TX, appears on this list due to its strong GDP growth, its negative 1-year home value forecast suggests a deeper look is needed. The "undervalued" label here might mask underlying challenges, such as population decline or industrial transitions, that are preventing home prices from catching up with economic output. It's a reminder that economic strength alone doesn't always guarantee immediate housing market uplift.

# County BTI Score HV Ratio GDP Growth 1yr Forecast Home Price
01 Lea County NM 37 1.0x +19.2% +1.2% +1.0%
02 Eddy County NM 74 1.2x +12.7% +5.1% -1.9%
03 Midland County TX 62 1.3x +5.9% +1.8% +2.7%
04 St. Charles Parish LA 67 1.4x +9.8% -2.3% +0.8%
05 Potter County TX 82 1.6x +2.0% +2.4% +1.8%
06 St. Louis city MO 32 1.6x +0.5% +0.1% +0.8%
07 Marion County IN 69 1.6x +3.1% +0.6% +0.5%
08 Christian County KY 36 1.7x -1.1% +1.2% +1.7%
09 Allen County OH 100 1.7x +7.5% +6.0% +6.9%
10 Macon County IL 97 1.8x +0.5% +5.4% +8.3%
11 Apache County AZ 61 1.8x -0.9% +0.9% -0.0%
12 Jefferson County TX 72 1.8x +12.4% -0.6% +2.4%
13 Bradford County PA 71 1.9x +10.1% +2.4% +2.6%
14 Wyandotte County KS 88 1.9x +2.7% +1.2% +1.1%
15 Lenoir County NC 98 2.0x +2.0% +3.3% +2.4%
16 Cuyahoga County OH 66 2.0x +1.5% +1.9% +4.8%
17 Hamilton County OH 62 2.0x +0.1% +0.8% +2.0%
18 Harrison County WV 75 2.0x +0.1% +0.5% -2.0%
19 Roanoke city VA 24 2.0x +2.5% +1.1% +2.2%
20 Jefferson County OH 76 2.0x -8.4% +0.4% +2.3%
21 Rock Island County IL 95 2.0x +0.1% +3.7% +6.4%
22 Peoria County IL 95 2.1x +1.9% +5.5% +8.2%
23 Kanawha County WV 55 2.1x +2.0% +1.0% -0.8%
24 Dougherty County GA 75 2.1x +2.2% +0.3% -5.5%
25 Ector County TX 88 2.1x +3.0% +5.8% +5.0%
26 Vermilion County IL 98 2.1x -0.3% +1.1% -0.2%
27 Fulton County GA 24 2.1x +2.4% -0.8% -3.1%
28 Dallas County TX 14 2.1x +1.3% -0.9% -4.1%
29 Elkhart County IN 100 2.1x +0.0% +3.0% +5.0%
30 Washington County OK 58 2.1x +18.4% +3.6% +4.4%
31 Oswego County NY 97 2.2x +3.9% +5.3% +3.2%
32 McCracken County KY 36 2.2x +2.5% +1.3% +3.5%
33 Montgomery County AL 41 2.2x +2.7% +0.2% +0.5%
34 Richmond County GA 26 2.2x +1.6% +0.3% -0.3%
35 New York County NY 52 2.2x +2.9% +1.2% +0.9%
36 Douglas County NE 58 2.2x +0.9% +1.1% +1.0%
37 Midland County MI 94 2.2x +2.5% +5.9% +5.7%
38 Albany County NY 19 2.3x +1.5% +1.5% +3.7%
39 Polk County IA 74 2.3x +3.2% +0.5% +1.4%
40 McKinley County NM 42 2.3x -3.7% +0.9% +1.0%
41 Bartholomew County IN 66 2.3x +3.9% +1.5% +3.4%
42 Baltimore city MD 17 2.3x +2.6% -1.0% -1.2%
43 Durham County NC 5 2.3x +5.9% -1.5% -2.4%
44 Pulaski County AR 62 2.3x +2.2% +1.0% +2.2%
45 Allegheny County PA 16 2.3x +1.6% -0.5% +0.7%
46 Lauderdale County MS 62 2.3x +4.6% +0.5% -1.4%
47 Clayton County GA 23 2.3x -0.3% -1.2% -6.1%
48 Kosciusko County IN 92 2.4x +0.9% +1.8% +2.7%
49 Salem County NJ 84 2.4x +4.5% +1.8% +1.6%
50 Lucas County OH 90 2.4x +1.8% +3.3% +5.0%