Ranked by Home Value vs. GDP Gap · Data updated April 2026

Most Undervalued Housing Markets

Counties where home prices are lowest relative to local economic output (GDP per capita). A low ratio means the local economy produces more per dollar of housing cost.

Most Undervalued Housing Markets

Midwestern Cities Lead the Undervalued Pack

Illinois counties dominate this list, with six entries, including Sangamon, Peoria, and Macon. These areas, often characterized by steady but unspectacular economic activity, show home prices that haven't fully appreciated their local output. This suggests a consistent, underlying economic base that hasn't translated into rapid housing cost increases, offering a compelling case for long-term value.

Manhattan's Hidden Value

New York County (Manhattan) at #5 is a stark surprise. Despite its notoriously high home prices, the sheer scale of its economic output means housing costs are relatively low compared to the local economy. This isn't about affordability in the traditional sense, but rather a testament to Manhattan's unparalleled economic engine, where even million-dollar homes are undervalued against the vast wealth generated.

The Complex Case of St. Louis City

St. Louis City tops the list, presenting a nuanced picture of undervaluation. While its economic output is significant, a declining population and high homicide rate likely suppress housing demand and price growth. This creates a scenario where the underlying economic strength isn't fully reflected in home values, making it an intriguing market for those looking beyond surface-level challenges.

# County BTI Score HV Ratio GDP Growth 1yr Forecast Home Price
01 St. Louis city MO 39 3.1x -0.6% +0.3%
02 Potter County TX 79 3.5x +0.6% +2.5%
03 Sangamon County IL 64 3.6x +3.0% +9.0%
04 Peoria County IL 53 3.6x +2.2% +7.6%
05 New York County NY 33 4.0x +0.2% +2.0%
06 Macon County IL 78 4.2x +3.5% +8.8%
07 Kanawha County WV 66 4.2x +0.1% -0.2%
08 Lenoir County NC 98 4.2x +2.7% +5.5%
09 Apache County AZ 56 4.3x -0.9% +0.4%
10 Rock Island County IL 13 4.3x +1.7% +5.3%
11 Baltimore city MD 12 4.3x -1.7% -1.3%
12 Marion County IN 36 4.3x -0.2% +0.2%
13 Roanoke city VA 14 4.4x +0.0% +1.8%
14 Dougherty County GA 74 4.4x -1.5% -4.0%
15 Harrison County WV 78 4.4x +0.7% -0.6%
16 Wyandotte County KS 97 4.5x +0.2% +1.4%
17 Cuyahoga County OH 52 4.5x +2.0% +4.5%
18 Albany County NY 44 4.6x +2.1% +4.4%
19 Montgomery County AL 72 4.6x -0.1% +1.8%
20 Dallas County TX 22 4.7x -1.9% -3.5%
21 Jefferson County TX 79 4.7x -0.4% +2.5%
22 Midland County TX 9 4.7x -0.5% +2.4%
23 Eddy County NM 97 4.7x +1.4% -0.3%
24 Jackson County IL 93 4.8x +2.2% +11.0%
25 Steuben County NY 15 4.8x +1.4% +3.5%
26 Buchanan County MO 98 4.8x +2.5% +7.3%
27 Anderson County TN 92 4.9x +1.6% +4.3%
28 Hamilton County OH 51 5.0x +1.3% +2.0%
29 Shawnee County KS 46 5.0x +0.2% -0.4%
30 Cabell County WV 71 5.0x +1.9% +4.6%
31 Pulaski County AR 31 5.0x +0.5% +3.5%
32 Vermilion County IL 73 5.0x -0.7% +0.4%
33 Fulton County GA 26 5.0x -1.7% -2.8%
34 Franklin County KY 44 5.1x +0.0% -1.7%
35 Ingham County MI 71 5.1x +1.9% +3.5%
36 Onondaga County NY 58 5.1x +3.8% +6.6%
37 Dauphin County PA 43 5.2x +1.4% +3.5%
38 Allegheny County PA 28 5.2x -0.5% +0.7%
39 Hinds County MS 85 5.2x +1.7% +0.9%
40 Vanderburgh County IN 93 5.2x +2.5% +3.8%
41 Elkhart County IN 96 5.2x +2.3% +5.4%
42 McCracken County KY 78 5.2x +1.5% +0.5%
43 Bartholomew County IN 42 5.2x +2.1% +3.7%
44 District of Columbia DC 0 5.3x -3.2% -3.0%
45 Oklahoma County OK 55 5.3x -1.1% +0.0%
46 Durham County NC 3 5.3x -1.8% -2.8%
47 Hancock County OH 77 5.4x +1.9% +2.4%
48 Ector County TX 26 5.4x +1.4% +5.8%
49 Chemung County NY 94 5.4x +3.0% +4.1%
50 Jefferson County KY 23 5.4x +0.1% +2.2%