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Rock Island County, IL

South Moline

RANK #49 / 996 NAT  ·  #8 / 28 IL  ·  POP 143,819

1YR FORECAST: +3.7%

5YR OUTLOOK: +39%

#21 Most Undervalued #27 Most Affordable #40 Best for Investment
Our model projects Rock Island County's housing market to grow +3.7% over the next year, significantly outpacing the national average.

[01] Why Rock Island County?

Rock Island County, Illinois, stands out for the historic Rock Island Arsenal, a significant government-owned weapons manufacturing facility located on an island in the Mississippi River. This area, part of the larger Quad Cities metropolitan area, sits approximately 140 miles west of Chicago, on the Illinois/Iowa border. The community offers a blend of urban and natural settings, with the Mississippi and Rock Rivers providing scenic views and opportunities for outdoor recreation like boating, fishing, and extensive bike trails. Commutes within the Quad Cities are generally short, often around ten minutes.

Life in Rock Island County offers a relaxed pace with a lower cost of living compared to national averages, making homeownership accessible. The area attracts families and young professionals, with public schools generally performing above average. Major institutions like the Rock Island Arsenal and Augustana College contribute to the local economy and provide employment. Recent economic development initiatives focus on revitalizing former industrial areas through incentives for redevelopment projects, particularly along the riverfront. The region is seeing investment in sectors like advanced manufacturing and logistics, leveraging its central location and river transportation access.

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
2.0x

Undervalued relative to economy

GDP Growth
+0.1%

Well below national median

Home Prices
+6.4%

Outpacing national median

Climate & Terrain
-1.9

Below-average climate & terrain

Price/Rent
11x

Strong rental yield

Housing looks undervalued at 2.0x — home prices are low relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    John Deere Manufacturing
    10,000+
  2. 2
    UnityPoint Health – Trinity Healthcare
    5,000+
  3. 3
    Rock Island Arsenal Military
  4. 4
    Rock Island/Milan School District #41 Education
    1,000+
  5. 5
    Modern Woodmen of America Finance
  6. 6
    Augustana College Education
    500+
  7. 7
    Jumer's Casino & Hotel Hospitality
  8. 8
    Royal Neighbors of America Finance
    100+
  9. 9
    MetroLINK Logistics
  10. 10
    MidAmerican Energy Energy

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Rock Island County U.S. National

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
143,819
-0.6% YoY
Median Household Income
$64,435
Median Home Value
$139,800
+6.36% 12mo
Median Rent
$846
Average Annual Pay
$72,332
+4.1% YoY
Employment
70,119
-2.4% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.4609
More affordable than average
Migration Inflow
2.39%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
24.1%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$139,900
Days on Market
46
Moderate pace
Months of Supply
2.5
Seller's market
Sale-to-List Ratio
96.3%
Negotiation room for buyers
Sold Above List
25.7%
Listings w/ Price Drops
24.2%
Building Permits (2024)
140
Single-Family Permits
51

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

D
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
12.4
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
11.3
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
89.1
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Well above national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Air Quality

B-
AIR QUALITY
GRADE
Median AQI (3yr)
49.0
Good
Good Air Days
54%
583 of 1,086 days
Unhealthy+ Days (3yr)
23
Includes 1 Very Unhealthy
Primary Pollutant
PM2.5
Fine particulate matter
Yearly Trend
2021
49
2022
47
2023
51
Median AQI · lower is better

Source: EPA Air Quality System (2021–2023). Grade based on 3-year average median AQI. Learn about AQI →

[07] Capital Investment

$356M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
Sandpiper Solar Project & Battery Energy Storage System
Sandpiper Solar Project, LLC (subsidiary of CleanGen, Inc.)
$256M Planned
Upper Rock Island County Landfill Renewable Natural Gas Facility
Ameresco & Republic Services, Inc.
$50M Operating
Rock Island Port District Master Plan Development
City of Rock Island
$50M Proposed

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[08] Score Breakdown

GDP Growth +0.1% 8 percentile
Population Growth -0.6% 9 percentile
Income Growth +9.3% 68 percentile
Vacancy Rate 1.3% 34 percentile
Home Price Change +6.4% 95 percentile
Rent Growth +4.5% 73 percentile
Price/Rent 11x 80 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 996 counties.

[09] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Rock Island County, IL a good place to move to?

Rock Island County ranks #49 out of 996 U.S. counties on the Boom Town Index with a score of 95/100. The composite score reflects long-term strength — housing, income, and migration patterns — but near-term hiring is soft (employment is down 2.4% year-over-year). Median household income here is $64,435.

Is Rock Island County affordable?

By national standards, Rock Island County is quite affordable. Homes here have a median value of $139,800, and the income-to-home-value ratio of 0.46 is well above the U.S. average — especially with median rent at just $846/month. Residents can generally buy a home without being cost-burdened.

Is Rock Island County growing or shrinking?

Both population (-0.6% YoY) and employment (-2.4%) are contracting in Rock Island County, though housing tells its own story with values moving +6.4% over the past 12 months. This is a county where the trend lines are pointing in the wrong direction.

Are people moving to Rock Island County?

There's a moderate stream of newcomers. About 2.39% of residents moved from another state, which is above average and suggests Rock Island County has appeal as a relocation destination — though it's not among the highest-inflow counties nationally.

How is the housing market in Rock Island County?

Home values climbed +6.4% year-over-year, which is a solid pace of appreciation. The median home in Rock Island County is now valued at $139,800. That kind of growth typically reflects sustained demand rather than speculative frenzy.

[10] Similar Counties by Size & Score

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