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Rock Island County, IL

RANK #862 / 1001 NAT  ·  #28 / 28 IL  ·  POP 142,757

1YR FORECAST: +1.7%

5YR OUTLOOK: +21%

#10 Most Undervalued #22 Most Affordable
Our model projects Rock Island County's housing market at +1.7% over the next year, underperforming most U.S. counties.

[01] Why Rock Island County?

Rock Island County, Illinois, stands out for the historic Rock Island Arsenal, a significant government-owned weapons manufacturing facility located on an island in the Mississippi River. This area, part of the larger Quad Cities metropolitan area, sits approximately 140 miles west of Chicago, on the Illinois/Iowa border. The community offers a blend of urban and natural settings, with the Mississippi and Rock Rivers providing scenic views and opportunities for outdoor recreation like boating, fishing, and extensive bike trails. Commutes within the Quad Cities are generally short, often around ten minutes.

Life in Rock Island County offers a relaxed pace with a lower cost of living compared to national averages, making homeownership accessible. The area attracts families and young professionals, with public schools generally performing above average. Major institutions like the Rock Island Arsenal and Augustana College contribute to the local economy and provide employment. Recent economic development initiatives focus on revitalizing former industrial areas through incentives for redevelopment projects, particularly along the riverfront. The region is seeing investment in sectors like advanced manufacturing and logistics, leveraging its central location and river transportation access.

MARKET PROFILE

Heartland Steady Growth

Rock Island County is one of 145 U.S. counties in this market profile — weaker than typical on the BoomTown Index. Within this cohort, its recent home-price change of +5.3% matches the profile's typical +4.9%.

See all 145 Heartland Steady Growth counties →

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
4.3x

Below national median (11.3x)

Home Prices
+5.3%

Outpacing national median

Climate & Terrain
-1.9

Below-average climate & terrain

Price/Rent
12x

Below national median (15x)

Housing is fairly valued at 4.3x relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    John Deere Manufacturing
    10,000+
  2. 2
    UnityPoint Health – Trinity Healthcare
    5,000+
  3. 3
    Rock Island Arsenal Military
  4. 4
    Rock Island/Milan School District #41 Education
    1,000+
  5. 5
    Modern Woodmen of America Finance
  6. 6
    Augustana College Education
    500+
  7. 7
    Jumer's Casino & Hotel Hospitality
  8. 8
    Royal Neighbors of America Finance
    100+
  9. 9
    MetroLINK Logistics
  10. 10
    MidAmerican Energy Energy

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Rock Island County U.S. National

Bars show trailing 12-month growth. The dashed Forecast bars are the model's next-12-month projection; the whisker marks the ±1% range (cooling–accelerating).

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
142,757
-0.17% YoY
Median Household Income
$67,159
Median Home Value
$150,400
+5.34% 12mo
Median Rent
$889
Average Annual Pay
$72,605
+0.4% YoY
Employment
69,095
-1.5% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.4465
More affordable than average
Migration Inflow
2.6%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
24.7%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$165,900
Days on Market
14
Very hot — homes selling fast
Months of Supply
1.7
Seller's market
Sale-to-List Ratio
98.6%
Near asking price
Sold Above List
34.4%
Listings w/ Price Drops
41.3%
Building Permits (2025)
187
Single-Family Permits
73

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

D
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
12.4
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
11.3
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
89.1
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Well above national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Air Quality

B-
AIR QUALITY
GRADE
Median AQI (3yr)
49.0
Good
Good Air Days
54%
583 of 1,086 days
Unhealthy+ Days (3yr)
23
Includes 1 Very Unhealthy
Primary Pollutant
PM2.5
Fine particulate matter
Yearly Trend
2021
49
2022
47
2023
51
Median AQI · lower is better

Source: EPA Air Quality System (2021–2023). Grade based on 3-year average median AQI. Learn about AQI →

[07] Capital Investment

$356M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
Sandpiper Solar Project & Battery Energy Storage System
Sandpiper Solar Project, LLC (subsidiary of CleanGen, Inc.)
$256M Planned
Upper Rock Island County Landfill Renewable Natural Gas Facility
Ameresco & Republic Services, Inc.
$50M Operating
Rock Island Port District Master Plan Development
City of Rock Island
$50M Proposed

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[08] Score Breakdown

Population Growth -0.2% 15 percentile
Income Growth +0.6% 11 percentile
Vacancy Rate 1.2% 33 percentile
Home Price Change +5.3% 88 percentile
Rent Growth +2.3% 40 percentile
Price/Rent 12x 87 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 1001 counties.

[09] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Rock Island County, IL a good place to move to?

The data is not encouraging — Rock Island County scores just 13/100 on the Boom Town Index, ranking #862 of 1001 counties. Job growth at -1.5% and median household income of $67,159 reflect an economy that has been contracting or stagnating relative to the rest of the country.

Is Rock Island County affordable?

By national standards, Rock Island County is quite affordable. Homes here have a median value of $150,400, and the income-to-home-value ratio of 0.45 is well above the U.S. average — especially with median rent at just $889/month. Residents can generally buy a home without being cost-burdened.

Is Rock Island County growing or shrinking?

Rock Island County's job market is contracting (-1.5% YoY) while population is roughly stable (-0.2% change). Home values are +5.3% over the past 12 months. Hiring headwinds without an offsetting exodus — residents are staying, but local employers are shedding payroll.

Are people moving to Rock Island County?

There's a moderate stream of newcomers. About 2.6% of residents moved from another state, which is above average and suggests Rock Island County has appeal as a relocation destination — though it's not among the highest-inflow counties nationally.

How is the housing market in Rock Island County?

Home values climbed +5.3% year-over-year, which is a solid pace of appreciation. The median home in Rock Island County is now valued at $150,400. That kind of growth typically reflects sustained demand rather than speculative frenzy.

[10] Similar Counties by Size & Score

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