Illinois economy faces headwinds, housing market shows resilience
Driving growth and investment
Illinois saw a record $13 billion in incentivized investments in 2025, with companies committing to nearly 4,000 new jobs and $2.5 billion in investments in the first quarter of 2026. Key growth industries include life sciences, quantum technology, clean energy, and advanced manufacturing. Damera Corporation, an electric bus company, is establishing its first U.S. assembly plant in the Greater Peoria region, expecting to create 90 jobs.
Housing market right now
Illinois home prices increased by 4.6% year-over-year in March 2026, with the median price for all properties continuing to grow in 2025. The Chicago metro area is forecast to see closed sales grow by 5.1% and median prices rise by nearly 5% year-over-year in 2026. Inventory remains tight, with the Chicago metro having 60% fewer homes on the market compared to pre-pandemic levels.
Migration patterns
Illinois continues to experience outbound migration, ranking among the top outbound states in 2025 according to North American Van Lines and Allied Van Lines. However, Atlas Van Lines reported a smaller gap between moves into and out of Illinois in 2025, the narrowest in 16 years. High living and housing costs are cited as primary reasons for relocation from states like Illinois.
Headwinds
Illinois' economy is projected to underperform the Midwest and national averages in 2025-2026, with payroll employment expected to be largely unchanged. Manufacturing-dependent regions are particularly affected by trade policy changes. Persistent out-migration and deep-rooted fiscal issues, such as pension obligations, continue to weigh on economic performance.
Key facts
- Illinois' GDP increased by more than 4% from Q2 2024 to Q2 2025. (U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis, 2025)
- Governor Pritzker announced a $50.6 billion multi-year infrastructure program in October 2025, the largest in state history. (Illinois Department of Transportation, October 2025)
- In March 2026, home prices in Illinois were up 4.6% year-over-year. (Redfin, March 2026)
- New laws taking effect in Illinois in January 2026 include regulations on artificial intelligence in employment decisions and the elimination of the state's 1% grocery tax. (CHAMBANA TODAY, December 2025)
- Chicago's minimum wage increased to $16.60 per hour effective July 1, 2025. (Saul Ewing LLP, January 2026)