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St. Clair County, IL

RANK #779 / 1001 NAT  ·  #26 / 28 IL  ·  POP 253,694

1YR FORECAST: +0.8%

5YR OUTLOOK: +24%

#44 Most Affordable
Our model projects St. Clair County's housing market at +0.8% over the next year, underperforming most U.S. counties.

[01] Why St. Clair County?

Home to the Cahokia Mounds State Historic Site, a UNESCO World Heritage site, St. Clair County, Illinois, offers a blend of historical significance and modern living. Located directly east of St. Louis, Missouri, the county provides residents with various commute options, including the MetroLink light rail system and bus routes, connecting them to the wider St. Louis metropolitan area. The community offers numerous parks and recreational facilities, such as Belleville's Bicentennial Park and Shiloh's Engelmann Farm Park, providing walking trails and green spaces.

Life in the county is characterized by a mix of families and young professionals, with many residents owning their homes. Public schools in towns like O'Fallon and Mascoutah are noted for their quality. The economy is driven by sectors such as healthcare, manufacturing, and transportation, with Scott Air Force Base and MidAmerica St. Louis Airport serving as significant employers. Recent economic developments include investments in infrastructure and manufacturing, alongside efforts to support local businesses and community transitions.

MARKET PROFILE
LEANS TOWARD

Heartland Steady Growth

St. Clair County is one of 145 U.S. counties in this market profile — weaker than typical on the BoomTown Index. Within this cohort, its recent home-price change of +3.4% runs below the profile's typical +4.9%.

See all 145 Heartland Steady Growth counties →

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
8.6x

Overvalued relative to economy

Home Prices
+3.4%

Outpacing national median

Climate & Terrain
-1.8

Below-average climate & terrain

Price/Rent
11x

Strong rental yield

Housing looks overvalued at 8.6x — home prices are high relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    Scott Air Force Base Military
    10,000+
  2. 2
    Memorial Hospital Healthcare
    2,500+
  3. 3
    School Districts (Belleville, East St. Louis, Cahokia, O'Fallon) Education
    1,000+
  4. 4
    Southwestern Illinois College Education
  5. 5
    St. Elizabeth Hospital Healthcare
  6. 6
    St. Clair County Government Government
    500+
  7. 7
    Allsup Other
  8. 8
    Casino Queen Hospitality
  9. 9
    Jet Aviation (General Dynamics) Manufacturing
  10. 10
    City of Belleville Government
    250+

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

St. Clair County U.S. National

Bars show trailing 12-month growth. The dashed Forecast bars are the model's next-12-month projection; the whisker marks the ±1% range (cooling–accelerating).

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
253,694
-0.43% YoY
Median Household Income
$73,854
Median Home Value
$180,300
+3.44% 12mo
Median Rent
$1,090
Average Annual Pay
$59,265
+4.0% YoY
Employment
89,521
-0.5% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.4096
More affordable than average
Migration Inflow
1.8%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
31.8%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$221,833
Days on Market
40
Moderate pace
Months of Supply
2.5
Seller's market
Sale-to-List Ratio
99.7%
Near asking price
Sold Above List
41.0%
Listings w/ Price Drops
21.0%
Building Permits (2025)
463
Single-Family Permits
285

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

F
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
18.2
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
24.3
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
103.6
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Well above national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Capital Investment

$2,349M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
IDOT Highway and Multimodal Multi-Year Program (FY2025-2029)
Illinois Department of Transportation (IDOT)
$1,422M Planned
Cloverleaf Infrastructure Data Center Network (Metro East)
Cloverleaf Infrastructure
$500M Proposed
Bee Hollow Solar Project
Geronimo Power
$150M Under Construction
Herzog Battery Storage Project
Undisclosed (MISO interconnection queue)
$150M Planned
I-255 Resurfacing, Bridge and Ramp Repairs
Illinois Department of Transportation (IDOT)
$74M Planned
I-64 Widening, Resurfacing, Interchange Improvements and Bridge Repairs
Illinois Department of Transportation (IDOT)
$52M Planned

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[07] Score Breakdown

Population Growth -0.4% 8 percentile
Income Growth +5.2% 92 percentile
Vacancy Rate 1.0% 45 percentile
Home Price Change +3.4% 71 percentile
Rent Growth +2.0% 35 percentile
Price/Rent 11x 93 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 1001 counties.

[08] Frequently Asked Questions

Is St. Clair County, IL a good place to move to?

At 22/100, St. Clair County faces headwinds that place it in the lower third of the 1001 counties we track. Median income of $73,854 combined with job growth of -0.5% suggests the local economy is struggling to keep pace with national trends.

Is St. Clair County affordable?

By national standards, St. Clair County is quite affordable. Homes here have a median value of $180,300, and the income-to-home-value ratio of 0.41 is well above the U.S. average — especially with median rent at just $1,090/month. Residents can generally buy a home without being cost-burdened.

Is St. Clair County growing or shrinking?

Population and employment in St. Clair County are both close to flat — population -0.4% YoY and jobs -0.5%. Home values shifted +3.4% over the past 12 months. A steady-state county, neither expanding quickly nor shrinking.

Are many people relocating to St. Clair County?

Not particularly — 1.8% of St. Clair County's population moved in from another state, which is below the national average. Most residents are long-term locals rather than recent transplants.

[09] Similar Counties by Size & Score

Ogle County, IL 20 DuPage County, IL 25 Whiteside County, IL 26 Kane County, IL 28 McLean County, IL 29 Rock Island County, IL 13 Washington County, MN 22 Scott County, MN 22