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Shelby County, AL

RANK #572 / 1001 NAT  ·  #23 / 27 AL  ·  POP 230,211

1YR FORECAST: -0.5%

5YR OUTLOOK: +27%

Shelby County's housing market is projected to grow -0.5% over the next year, below the national average.

[01] Why Shelby County?

Oak Mountain State Park, Alabama's largest state park, is a significant landmark in Shelby County, offering nearly 12,000 acres of diverse terrain for outdoor activities. Located in central Alabama, just south of Birmingham, Shelby County provides a blend of suburban and rural environments. Commuting to Birmingham is common, with major roadways like I-65 and U.S. 31 connecting the county to the larger metropolitan area. The community maintains a balance between accessibility to city amenities and a more relaxed pace of life. Beyond Oak Mountain, residents and visitors can explore other natural attractions like Cahaba River Park, known for its hiking, biking, and water activities.

Shelby County is often recognized for its quality of life, attracting families and individuals. The public school system is highly rated, contributing to the county's appeal for families. The economy is diverse, with ongoing development in commercial and residential sectors. Infrastructure improvements, including road widening projects on I-65 and U.S. 31, are underway to accommodate growth and enhance connectivity. These developments reflect a focus on supporting a growing population and expanding economic opportunities within the county.

MARKET PROFILE

Educated Suburban Growth

Shelby County is one of 110 U.S. counties in this market profile — near the profile average on the BoomTown Index. Within this cohort, its recent home-price change of +2.0% matches the profile's typical +2.4%.

See all 110 Educated Suburban Growth counties →

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
12.8x

Overvalued relative to economy

Home Prices
+2.0%

Above national median

Climate & Terrain
1.1

Moderate climate & terrain

Price/Rent
16x

Above national median (15x)

Housing looks overvalued at 12.8x — home prices are high relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    Regions Bank Finance
    2,500+
  2. 2
    Shelby County Board of Education Education
  3. 3
    Southern Company / Alabama Power Energy
    1,000+
  4. 4
    Walmart Retail
  5. 5
    EBSCO Industries, Inc. Other
  6. 6
    Publix Supermarkets Retail
  7. 7
    Shelby Baptist Medical Center Healthcare
  8. 8
    Alabama Department of Public Health Government
  9. 9
    UPS Logistics
  10. 10
    Builders FirstSource Other

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Shelby County U.S. National

Bars show trailing 12-month growth. The dashed Forecast bars are the model's next-12-month projection; the whisker marks the ±1% range (cooling–accelerating).

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
230,211
+1.43% YoY
Median Household Income
$97,961
Median Home Value
$326,100
+2.05% 12mo
Median Rent
$1,401
Average Annual Pay
$69,318
+3.8% YoY
Employment
84,595
-0.7% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.3004
More affordable than average
Migration Inflow
4.23%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
46.8%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$387,450
Days on Market
52
Moderate pace
Months of Supply
3.4
Balanced market
Sale-to-List Ratio
99.5%
Near asking price
Sold Above List
23.5%
Listings w/ Price Drops
23.5%
Building Permits (2025)
1,308
Single-Family Permits
1,008

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

B
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
4.0
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
13.5
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
64.5
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Below national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Air Quality

B
AIR QUALITY
GRADE
Median AQI (3yr)
37.3
Good
Good Air Days
91%
663 of 730 days
Unhealthy+ Days (3yr)
2
Sensitive groups affected
Primary Pollutant
Ozone
Ground-level ozone
Yearly Trend
2021
35
2022
37
2023
40
Median AQI · lower is better

Source: EPA Air Quality System (2021–2023). Grade based on 3-year average median AQI. Learn about AQI →

[07] Capital Investment

$1,092M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
Plant Gaston Modernization & CO2 Storage (Project OASIS)
Alabama Power Co. / Southern States Energy Board
$500M Proposed
District 31 Mixed-Use Development
City of Alabaster
$242M Under Construction
DigiPower-X Data Center
DigiPower-X (formerly Digihost Technology)
$200M Planned
I-65 Widening & US 31/US 280 Interchange Upgrades
Alabama Department of Transportation
$100M Under Construction
The Canopy at Oak Mountain Mixed-Use Development
Unknown
$50M Operating

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[08] Score Breakdown

Population Growth +1.4% 78 percentile
Income Growth +4.7% 87 percentile
Vacancy Rate 0.6% 83 percentile
Home Price Change +2.0% 56 percentile
Rent Growth +2.1% 36 percentile
Price/Rent 16x 40 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 1001 counties.

[09] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Shelby County, AL a good place to move to?

Shelby County scores 42/100 on the Boom Town Index, landing in the middle of the pack among 1001 U.S. counties (#572). Median household income is $97,961 and job growth is running at -0.7%. The data points to a county with mixed signals — some positive indicators alongside areas that lag faster-growing peers.

Is Shelby County affordable?

Housing in Shelby County is roughly in line with national affordability norms. The median home costs $326,100 and the income-to-home-value ratio sits at 0.30, with rents averaging $1,401/month. Not a bargain, but not a stretch for most local earners either.

Is Shelby County growing or shrinking?

Shelby County's population is growing — up +1.4% YoY — while the job market is roughly flat (employment change of -0.7%). Home values shifted +2.0% over the past year. In-migration is outpacing local hiring, which often points to remote workers or retirees driving the headcount.

Are people moving to Shelby County?

There's a moderate stream of newcomers. About 4.23% of residents moved from another state, which is above average and suggests Shelby County has appeal as a relocation destination — though it's not among the highest-inflow counties nationally.

[10] Similar Counties by Size & Score

Limestone County, AL 42 Madison County, AL 44 Tuscaloosa County, AL 45 Walker County, AL 37 Jackson County, AL 36 Jefferson County, AL 33 Hendricks County, IN 42 Wright County, MN 42