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Lauderdale County, AL

RANK #694 / 1001 NAT  ·  #25 / 27 AL  ·  POP 95,830

1YR FORECAST: +0.7%

5YR OUTLOOK: +16%

Our model projects Lauderdale County's housing market at +0.7% over the next year, underperforming most U.S. counties.

[01] Why Lauderdale County?

Lauderdale County, in the northwestern corner of Alabama, is defined by the Tennessee River, which forms its southern and western boundaries. Florence, the county seat and largest city, sits on the river's north bank. The county is part of "The Shoals" region, which also includes nearby Muscle Shoals. Commuting within the area is generally done by car, with an average commute time of around 26 minutes. For those without personal vehicles, a "Dial-a-Ride" program offers demand-response public transit in Florence and surrounding areas. The landscape offers abundant outdoor recreation, including Joe Wheeler State Park, the North Alabama Birding Trail, and opportunities for boating and fishing on Wilson and Pickwick Lakes.

Life in Lauderdale County offers a blend of small-town atmosphere and access to amenities. The public school system is highly rated, and the University of North Alabama is located in Florence. The economy is diverse, with manufacturing, retail trade, and healthcare being significant employment sectors. Recent economic developments include a focus on attracting remote workers through programs like Remote Shoals, and ongoing investment in infrastructure and industrial parks. The county has also seen recent legislative action to establish a local economic development authority.

MARKET PROFILE

Idiosyncratic Markets

Lauderdale County's data profile doesn't fit any single market profile cleanly — its housing, labor, and demographic signals pull in different directions (home prices +2.8% YoY, population +0.8%, wages +3.6%). About 414 U.S. counties show this kind of mixed-signal pattern.

See all 414 Idiosyncratic Markets counties →

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
12.8x

Overvalued relative to economy

Home Prices
+2.8%

Above national median

Climate & Terrain
0.9

Moderate climate & terrain

Price/Rent
14x

Below national median (15x)

Housing looks overvalued at 12.8x — home prices are high relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    University of North Alabama Education
    1,000+
  2. 2
    North Alabama Medical Center Healthcare
  3. 3
    North American Lighting Manufacturing
  4. 4
    Constellium Manufacturing
    500+
  5. 5
    Essity Manufacturing
  6. 6
    Lauderdale County Government Government
    100+

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Lauderdale County U.S. National

Bars show trailing 12-month growth. The dashed Forecast bars are the model's next-12-month projection; the whisker marks the ±1% range (cooling–accelerating).

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
95,830
+0.83% YoY
Median Household Income
$62,649
Median Home Value
$200,300
+2.76% 12mo
Median Rent
$838
Average Annual Pay
$48,444
+3.6% YoY
Employment
30,996
+0.5% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.3128
More affordable than average
Migration Inflow
4.17%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
29.8%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$286,200
Days on Market
26
Active market
Months of Supply
2.9
Seller's market
Sale-to-List Ratio
97.8%
Negotiation room for buyers
Sold Above List
16.4%
Listings w/ Price Drops
32.5%
Building Permits (2025)
316
Single-Family Permits
113

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

C+
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
6.0
per 100K · nat avg 6.5
Firearm Fatalities
14.3
per 100K · nat avg 13.4
Injury Deaths
82.4
per 100K · nat avg 83.6
vs National Average
Near national avg
based on homicide rate
10-Year Trend
Stable since 2015
homicide rate, 2015 → 2025

Source: Homicide rates from CDC/NCHS vital-statistics mortality data — a multi-year average that stabilizes counts in smaller counties — compiled in the County Health Rankings 2025 release. Rates per 100,000 population; U.S. average ≈ 6.5. Grade reflects homicide rate relative to the national average. Learn more →

See where Lauderdale County stands nationally: safest large counties in America · highest homicide-rate counties.

[06] Capital Investment

$226M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
River Bend Solar Energy Center
River Bend Solar, LLC
$100M Operating
Lauderdale County Agricultural Event Center (Phase I & Future Phases)
Lauderdale County Agricultural Authority
$50M Under Construction
Shoals Economic Development Authority Speculative Buildings
Shoals Economic Development Authority (SEDA)
$50M Under Construction
Lauderdale County Workforce Development Center
State of Alabama, Lauderdale County Commission, K-12 Systems, TVA
$26M Under Construction
Browns Ferry Nuclear Plant License Extension & Upgrades
Tennessee Valley Authority (TVA)
— Operating

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[07] Score Breakdown

Population Growth +0.8% 60 percentile
Income Growth +6.0% 96 percentile
Vacancy Rate 1.3% 28 percentile
Home Price Change +2.8% 60 percentile
Rent Growth +2.6% 40 percentile
Price/Rent 14x 64 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 1001 counties.

[08] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Lauderdale County, AL a good place to move to?

At 30/100, Lauderdale County faces headwinds that place it in the lower third of the 1001 counties we track. Median income of $62,649 combined with job growth of +0.5% suggests the local economy is struggling to keep pace with national trends.

Is Lauderdale County affordable?

Housing in Lauderdale County is roughly in line with national affordability norms. The median home costs $200,300 and the income-to-home-value ratio sits at 0.31, with rents averaging $838/month. Not a bargain, but not a stretch for most local earners either.

Is Lauderdale County growing or shrinking?

Lauderdale County's population is growing — up +0.8% YoY — while the job market is roughly flat (employment change of +0.5%). Home values shifted +2.8% over the past year. In-migration is outpacing local hiring, which often points to remote workers or retirees driving the headcount.

Are people moving to Lauderdale County?

There's a moderate stream of newcomers. About 4.17% of residents moved from another state, which is above average and suggests Lauderdale County has appeal as a relocation destination — though it's not among the highest-inflow counties nationally.

[09] Similar Counties by Size & Score

Shelby County, AL 32 Jefferson County, AL 36 Montgomery County, AL 38 Tuscaloosa County, AL 45 Limestone County, AL 46 Autauga County, AL 49 Tompkins County, NY 30 Pottawatomie County, OK 30