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Baldwin County, AL

Foley

RANK #742 / 996 NAT  ·  #23 / 27 AL  ·  POP 233,420

1YR FORECAST: -0.7%

5YR OUTLOOK: +17%

Our model projects Baldwin County's housing market at -0.7% over the next year, underperforming most U.S. counties.

[01] Why Baldwin County?

Fairhope, a notable town on the eastern shore of Mobile Bay, offers a distinctive blend of arts, boutique shops, and scenic bay sunsets, including its iconic Municipal Pier. Baldwin County, Alabama's largest county by area, stretches from the Gulf of Mexico to the Mobile-Tensaw Delta, approximately 30-45 minutes from Mobile. The community offers a mix of coastal living and small-town charm, with 32 miles of white sand beaches and numerous rivers for paddling. Outdoor recreation is a significant draw, with Gulf State Park providing over 6,000 acres of beaches, trails, and wildlife viewing. Other natural attractions include Bon Secour National Wildlife Refuge and Graham Creek Nature Preserve, offering opportunities for hiking, kayaking, and birdwatching in diverse ecosystems.

Life in Baldwin County attracts families, retirees, and remote workers, contributing to its status as Alabama's fastest-growing county. The public school system is considered above average for Alabama, with top-ranked elementary and middle schools. Commute options include the Baldwin Regional Area Transit System (BRATS) which offers door-to-door public transit and a vanpooling program in partnership with Commute with Enterprise, aimed at reducing commuter expenses. The economy is driven by tourism, aerospace and defense, manufacturing, and healthcare. Recent economic developments include investments in industrial and logistics sectors, with new facilities and expansions contributing to job growth.

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
6.1x

Above national median (4.7x)

GDP Growth
+2.8%

Above national median

Home Prices
-1.0%

Prices declining

Climate & Terrain
1.8

Moderate climate & terrain

Price/Rent
13x

Below national median (13x)

Housing is fairly valued at 6.1x relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    Baldwin County Public Schools Education
    2,500+
  2. 2
    Collins Aerospace Manufacturing
    1,000+
  3. 3
    Novelis Manufacturing
    250+
  4. 4
    Ace Hardware Support Center Logistics
  5. 5
    Vulcan Inc. Manufacturing
  6. 6
    Quincy Compressor Manufacturing
    100+
  7. 7
    Bon Secour Fisheries Other
  8. 8
    Segers Aerospace Manufacturing
  9. 9
    International Paper Manufacturing
  10. 10
    Quality Filters Manufacturing

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Baldwin County U.S. National

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
233,420
+2.77% YoY
Median Household Income
$71,039
Median Home Value
$266,000
-1.04% 12mo
Median Rent
$1,160
Average Annual Pay
$51,157
+4.8% YoY
Employment
85,118
+2.8% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.2671
More affordable than average
Migration Inflow
2.05%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
32.6%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$379,332
Days on Market
89
Slower market
Months of Supply
5.8
Buyer's market
Sale-to-List Ratio
97.5%
Negotiation room for buyers
Sold Above List
10.4%
Listings w/ Price Drops
17.7%
Building Permits (2024)
3,883
Single-Family Permits
3,394

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

B
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
3.9
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
15.0
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
82.4
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Below national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Air Quality

B
AIR QUALITY
GRADE
Median AQI (3yr)
39.7
Good
Good Air Days
79%
721 of 908 days
Unhealthy+ Days (3yr)
0
Sensitive groups affected
Primary Pollutant
Ozone
Ground-level ozone
Yearly Trend
2021
37
2022
39
2023
43
Median AQI · lower is better

Source: EPA Air Quality System (2021–2023). Grade based on 3-year average median AQI. Learn about AQI →

[07] Capital Investment

$4,956M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
Novelis Aluminum Recycling and Rolling Plant
Novelis
$4,100M Under Construction
South Baldwin Regional Medical Center Expansion
South Baldwin Regional Medical Center
$300M Under Construction
Meta-linked Solar Farms (Stockton I & II)
Silicon Ranch (for Meta Platforms)
$260M Planned
Aldi Regional Headquarters and Distribution Center
Aldi Inc.
$100M Completed
Baldwin Preparatory Academy
Baldwin County Public School System
$100M Under Construction
Baldwin County Justice System Expansion
Baldwin County Commission
$96M Under Construction

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[08] Score Breakdown

GDP Growth +2.8% 53 percentile
Population Growth +2.8% 94 percentile
Income Growth +10.4% 84 percentile
Home Price Change -1.0% 21 percentile
Rent Growth +3.4% 58 percentile
Price/Rent 13x 54 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 996 counties.

[09] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Baldwin County, AL a good place to move to?

At 25/100, Baldwin County faces headwinds that place it in the lower third of the 996 counties we track. Median income of $71,039 combined with job growth of +2.8% suggests the local economy is struggling to keep pace with national trends.

Is Baldwin County affordable?

Housing in Baldwin County is roughly in line with national affordability norms. The median home costs $266,000 and the income-to-home-value ratio sits at 0.27, with rents averaging $1,160/month. Not a bargain, but not a stretch for most local earners either.

Is Baldwin County growing or shrinking?

Baldwin County is growing on multiple fronts. Population is up +2.8% year-over-year while employers added jobs at a +2.8% clip. Home values shifted -1.0% in the past year.

Are people moving to Baldwin County?

There's a moderate stream of newcomers. About 2.05% of residents moved from another state, which is above average and suggests Baldwin County has appeal as a relocation destination — though it's not among the highest-inflow counties nationally.

[10] Similar Counties by Size & Score

Limestone County, AL 28 Shelby County, AL 29 Blount County, AL 31 Jefferson County, AL 19 Tuscaloosa County, AL 17 Coffee County, AL 34 Brazos County, TX 25 Yolo County, CA 25