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Baldwin County, AL

RANK #477 / 1001 NAT  ·  #19 / 27 AL  ·  POP 246,989

1YR FORECAST: -1.1%

5YR OUTLOOK: +28%

Baldwin County's housing market is projected to grow -1.1% over the next year, tracking near the national average.

[01] Why Baldwin County?

Fairhope, a notable town on the eastern shore of Mobile Bay, offers a distinctive blend of arts, boutique shops, and scenic bay sunsets, including its iconic Municipal Pier. Baldwin County, Alabama's largest county by area, stretches from the Gulf of Mexico to the Mobile-Tensaw Delta, approximately 30-45 minutes from Mobile. The community offers a mix of coastal living and small-town charm, with 32 miles of white sand beaches and numerous rivers for paddling. Outdoor recreation is a significant draw, with Gulf State Park providing over 6,000 acres of beaches, trails, and wildlife viewing. Other natural attractions include Bon Secour National Wildlife Refuge and Graham Creek Nature Preserve, offering opportunities for hiking, kayaking, and birdwatching in diverse ecosystems.

Life in Baldwin County attracts families, retirees, and remote workers, contributing to its status as Alabama's fastest-growing county. The public school system is considered above average for Alabama, with top-ranked elementary and middle schools. Commute options include the Baldwin Regional Area Transit System (BRATS) which offers door-to-door public transit and a vanpooling program in partnership with Commute with Enterprise, aimed at reducing commuter expenses. The economy is driven by tourism, aerospace and defense, manufacturing, and healthcare. Recent economic developments include investments in industrial and logistics sectors, with new facilities and expansions contributing to job growth.

MARKET PROFILE
LEANS TOWARD

Sun Belt Post-Surge Correction

Baldwin County is one of 76 U.S. counties in this market profile — stronger than typical on the BoomTown Index. Within this cohort, its recent home-price change of -1.0% runs above the profile's typical -3.7%.

See all 76 Sun Belt Post-Surge Correction counties →

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
16.7x

Overvalued relative to economy

Home Prices
-1.0%

Prices declining

Climate & Terrain
1.8

Moderate climate & terrain

Price/Rent
16x

Above national median (15x)

Housing looks overvalued at 16.7x — home prices are high relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    Baldwin County Public Schools Education
    2,500+
  2. 2
    Collins Aerospace Manufacturing
    1,000+
  3. 3
    Novelis Manufacturing
    250+
  4. 4
    Ace Hardware Support Center Logistics
  5. 5
    Vulcan Inc. Manufacturing
  6. 6
    Quincy Compressor Manufacturing
    100+
  7. 7
    Bon Secour Fisheries Other
  8. 8
    Segers Aerospace Manufacturing
  9. 9
    International Paper Manufacturing
  10. 10
    Quality Filters Manufacturing

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Baldwin County U.S. National

Bars show trailing 12-month growth. The dashed Forecast bars are the model's next-12-month projection; the whisker marks the ±1% range (cooling–accelerating).

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
246,989
+2.94% YoY
Median Household Income
$78,775
Median Home Value
$316,900
-1.03% 12mo
Median Rent
$1,277
Average Annual Pay
$53,406
+4.4% YoY
Employment
87,950
+3.3% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.2486
Near national average
Migration Inflow
2.02%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
33.7%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$398,000
Days on Market
64
Slower market
Months of Supply
4.4
Balanced market
Sale-to-List Ratio
97.1%
Negotiation room for buyers
Sold Above List
8.4%
Listings w/ Price Drops
23.6%
Building Permits (2025)
2,665
Single-Family Permits
2,517

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

B
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
3.9
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
15.0
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
82.4
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Below national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Air Quality

B
AIR QUALITY
GRADE
Median AQI (3yr)
39.7
Good
Good Air Days
79%
721 of 908 days
Unhealthy+ Days (3yr)
0
Sensitive groups affected
Primary Pollutant
Ozone
Ground-level ozone
Yearly Trend
2021
37
2022
39
2023
43
Median AQI · lower is better

Source: EPA Air Quality System (2021–2023). Grade based on 3-year average median AQI. Learn about AQI →

[07] Capital Investment

$4,956M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
Novelis Aluminum Recycling and Rolling Plant
Novelis
$4,100M Under Construction
South Baldwin Regional Medical Center Expansion
South Baldwin Regional Medical Center
$300M Under Construction
Meta-linked Solar Farms (Stockton I & II)
Silicon Ranch (for Meta Platforms)
$260M Planned
Aldi Regional Headquarters and Distribution Center
Aldi Inc.
$100M Completed
Baldwin Preparatory Academy
Baldwin County Public School System
$100M Under Construction
Baldwin County Justice System Expansion
Baldwin County Commission
$96M Under Construction

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[08] Score Breakdown

Population Growth +2.9% 94 percentile
Income Growth +5.0% 90 percentile
Home Price Change -1.0% 18 percentile
Rent Growth +3.3% 57 percentile
Price/Rent 16x 46 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 1001 counties.

[09] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Baldwin County, AL a good place to move to?

Baldwin County scores 52/100 on the Boom Town Index, landing in the middle of the pack among 1001 U.S. counties (#477). Median household income is $78,775 and job growth is running at +3.3%. The data points to a county with mixed signals — some positive indicators alongside areas that lag faster-growing peers.

Is Baldwin County affordable?

Baldwin County leans toward the expensive side. A median home value of $316,900 against an income-to-home-value ratio of 0.25 means housing eats a bigger share of local earnings than the national norm. Renters face $1,277/month on average.

Is Baldwin County growing or shrinking?

Baldwin County is growing on multiple fronts. Population is up +2.9% year-over-year while employers added jobs at a +3.3% clip. Home values shifted -1.0% in the past year.

Are people moving to Baldwin County?

There's a moderate stream of newcomers. About 2.02% of residents moved from another state, which is above average and suggests Baldwin County has appeal as a relocation destination — though it's not among the highest-inflow counties nationally.

[10] Similar Counties by Size & Score

Blount County, AL 54 Tuscaloosa County, AL 45 Madison County, AL 44 Limestone County, AL 42 Shelby County, AL 42 Morgan County, AL 63 Gaston County, NC 52 Hall County, GA 51