94 / 100

Winnebago County, IL

RANK #58 / 1001 NAT  ·  #1 / 28 IL  ·  POP 283,292

1YR FORECAST: +4.7%

5YR OUTLOOK: +38%

#24 Best for Investment
Our model projects Winnebago County's housing market to grow +4.7% over the next year, significantly outpacing the national average.

[01] Why Winnebago County?

Winnebago County, Illinois, is distinguished by its natural scenery and recreational opportunities, particularly Rock Cut State Park in Loves Park. The park spans over 3,254 acres, featuring Pierce Lake and Olson Lake, and offers year-round activities like hiking, fishing, swimming, and cross-country skiing. Located in north-central Illinois, Winnebago County is approximately an hour and a half from Chicago. Its county seat, Rockford, was historically known as "the Forest City" and now as the "City of Gardens," boasting attractions like the Anderson Japanese Gardens. The Rock River, a prominent natural feature, flows through the county, with bike and walking paths along its banks. Life in Winnebago County offers a blend of community and access to nature. The county has a higher rate of home ownership and public schools are rated above average. Public transportation, including the Rockford Mass Transit District and the Stateline Mass Transit District, serves various towns, with new rural services launching in July 2025. The economy is driven by manufacturing, healthcare, and logistics, with Rockford serving as a regional hub for industry and innovation. Recent economic developments include increased visitor spending and the ongoing construction of the Hard Rock Casino.

MARKET PROFILE

Heartland Steady Growth

Winnebago County is one of 145 U.S. counties in this market profile — stronger than typical on the BoomTown Index. Within this cohort, its recent home-price change of +9.5% runs above the profile's typical +4.9%.

See all 145 Heartland Steady Growth counties →

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
6.0x

Below national median (11.3x)

Home Prices
+9.5%

Outpacing national median

Climate & Terrain
-2.5

Below-average climate & terrain

Price/Rent
11x

Strong rental yield

Housing is fairly valued at 6.0x relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    OSF HealthCare Healthcare
    10,000+
  2. 2
    Walmart Retail
  3. 3
    McDonald's Hospitality
  4. 4
    Taco Bell Hospitality
  5. 5
    Family Dollar Retail
  6. 6
    Subway Hospitality
  7. 7
    U.S. Bank Finance
  8. 8
    ExxonMobil Energy
  9. 9
    Rockford Public School District 205 Education
    5,000+
  10. 10
    Winnebago County Government Government
    1,000+

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Winnebago County U.S. National

Bars show trailing 12-month growth. The dashed Forecast bars are the model's next-12-month projection; the whisker marks the ±1% range (cooling–accelerating).

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
283,292
0.0% YoY
Median Household Income
$65,837
Median Home Value
$164,500
+9.47% 12mo
Median Rent
$1,021
Average Annual Pay
$61,292
+3.2% YoY
Employment
125,694
-0.6% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.4002
More affordable than average
Migration Inflow
2.2%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
25.2%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$220,000
Days on Market
13
Very hot — homes selling fast
Months of Supply
1.0
Seller's market
Sale-to-List Ratio
101.0%
Homes selling above asking
Sold Above List
50.2%
Listings w/ Price Drops
25.6%
Building Permits (2025)
309
Single-Family Permits
309

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

D
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
9.8
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
15.5
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
110.1
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Well above national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Air Quality

B-
AIR QUALITY
GRADE
Median AQI (3yr)
48.0
Good
Good Air Days
55%
594 of 1,088 days
Unhealthy+ Days (3yr)
20
Includes 2 Very Unhealthy
Primary Pollutant
PM2.5
Fine particulate matter
Yearly Trend
2021
49
2022
43
2023
52
Median AQI · lower is better

Source: EPA Air Quality System (2021–2023). Grade based on 3-year average median AQI. Learn about AQI →

[07] Score Breakdown

Population Growth 0.0% 23 percentile
Income Growth +2.3% 37 percentile
Vacancy Rate 1.1% 42 percentile
Home Price Change +9.5% 100 percentile
Rent Growth +6.9% 91 percentile
Price/Rent 11x 95 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 1001 counties.

[08] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Winnebago County, IL a good place to move to?

Winnebago County ranks #58 out of 1001 U.S. counties on the Boom Town Index with a score of 94/100. The composite score reflects long-term strength — housing, income, and migration patterns — but near-term hiring is soft (employment is down 0.6% year-over-year). Median household income here is $65,837.

Is Winnebago County affordable?

By national standards, Winnebago County is quite affordable. Homes here have a median value of $164,500, and the income-to-home-value ratio of 0.40 is well above the U.S. average — especially with median rent at just $1,021/month. Residents can generally buy a home without being cost-burdened.

Is Winnebago County growing or shrinking?

Population and employment in Winnebago County are both close to flat — population 0.0% YoY and jobs -0.6%. Home values shifted +9.5% over the past 12 months. A steady-state county, neither expanding quickly nor shrinking.

Are people moving to Winnebago County?

There's a moderate stream of newcomers. About 2.2% of residents moved from another state, which is above average and suggests Winnebago County has appeal as a relocation destination — though it's not among the highest-inflow counties nationally.

How is the housing market in Winnebago County?

Home values climbed +9.5% year-over-year, which is a solid pace of appreciation. The median home in Winnebago County is now valued at $164,500. That kind of growth typically reflects sustained demand rather than speculative frenzy.

[09] Similar Counties by Size & Score

Jackson County, IL 93 Kankakee County, IL 92 DeKalb County, IL 89 Adams County, IL 89 Cook County, IL 88 Williamson County, IL 80 Bay County, FL 94 Trumbull County, OH 95