26 / 100

Ector County, TX

RANK #734 / 1001 NAT  ·  #42 / 72 TX  ·  POP 164,654

1YR FORECAST: +1.4%

5YR OUTLOOK: +25%

#38 Best Rental Yield #48 Most Undervalued
Our model projects Ector County's housing market at +1.4% over the next year, underperforming most U.S. counties.

[01] Why Ector County?

Ector County, in West Texas, is perhaps best known as home to Odessa, its largest city and county seat. The county is located approximately thirty miles southwest of Midland. Commuting within the Odessa area is primarily done by car, though public transit options like EZ-Rider offer fixed routes and commuter services connecting Odessa and Midland. Despite its semiarid climate, the area provides outdoor recreation, including parks with walking trails, playgrounds, and fishing ponds. Notable spots include Memorial Gardens Park and Comanche Trail Park, which offer trails and disc golf. The county also features the Odessa Mountain Bike Park with over 18 miles of trails.

Life in Ector County often revolves around its established communities, with many residents owning their homes. The Ector County Independent School District serves Odessa and surrounding communities like Gardendale and Goldsmith, offering various educational programs including high schools like Odessa High School and Permian High School. The local economy has historically been driven by petroleum production, with the county being a significant oil producer in Texas. More recently, economic development has seen investments in diverse sectors, including large-scale industrial projects, energy initiatives like wind and solar, and the development of data centers. The county is also undertaking significant civic projects, including a downtown overhaul with a new courthouse and library.

MARKET PROFILE

Affordable Slow Markets

Ector County is one of 75 U.S. counties in this market profile — weaker than typical on the BoomTown Index. Within this cohort, its recent home-price change of +5.8% runs above the profile's typical +0.8%.

See all 75 Affordable Slow Markets counties →

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
5.4x

Below national median (11.3x)

Home Prices
+5.8%

Outpacing national median

Climate & Terrain
2.5

Moderate climate & terrain

Price/Rent
10x

Strong rental yield

Housing is fairly valued at 5.4x relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    Ector County Independent School District Education
    2,500+
  2. 2
    Halliburton Energy
  3. 3
    Saulsbury Company Other
    1,000+
  4. 4
    Medical Center Hospital Healthcare
  5. 5
    Keane Group Energy
  6. 6
    City of Odessa Government
    500+
  7. 7
    Odessa Regional Medical Center Healthcare
  8. 8
    Ector County Government
  9. 9
    University of Texas Permian Basin Education
  10. 10
    Weatherford Energy

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Ector County U.S. National

Bars show trailing 12-month growth. The dashed Forecast bars are the model's next-12-month projection; the whisker marks the ±1% range (cooling–accelerating).

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
164,654
+0.89% YoY
Median Household Income
$71,536
Median Home Value
$200,200
+5.8% 12mo
Median Rent
$1,259
Average Annual Pay
$75,685
+0.9% YoY
Employment
80,368
+0.8% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.3573
More affordable than average
Migration Inflow
5.09%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
17.6%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$189,000
Days on Market
67
Slower market
Months of Supply
156.7
Buyer's market
Sale-to-List Ratio
97.7%
Negotiation room for buyers
Listings w/ Price Drops
30.6%
Building Permits (2025)
921
Single-Family Permits
921

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

C
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
7.4
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
15.9
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
90.6
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Above national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Air Quality

B+
AIR QUALITY
GRADE
Median AQI (3yr)
35.0
Good
Good Air Days
77%
820 of 1,064 days
Unhealthy+ Days (3yr)
0
Sensitive groups affected
Primary Pollutant
PM2.5
Fine particulate matter
Yearly Trend
2021
35
2022
37
2023
33
Median AQI · lower is better

Source: EPA Air Quality System (2021–2023). Grade based on 3-year average median AQI. Learn about AQI →

[07] Capital Investment

$12,908M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
Texas Critical Data Centers (TCDC) Campus
New Era Energy & Digital, Stream Data Centers
$12,000M Under Construction
Solar Farm Portfolio (Oberon, Swift Air I, II, III, Ophelia, M-Bar Solar I)
174 Power Global, Origis Energy USA, Inc., TotalEnergies
$635M Operating/Planned
Ector County Courthouse and Juvenile Detention Center Overhaul
Ector County
$273M Under Construction

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[08] Score Breakdown

Population Growth +0.9% 62 percentile
Income Growth +0.7% 12 percentile
Vacancy Rate 1.0% 49 percentile
Home Price Change +5.8% 92 percentile
Rent Growth -0.5% 8 percentile
Price/Rent 10x 96 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 1001 counties.

[09] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Ector County, TX a good place to move to?

At 26/100, Ector County faces headwinds that place it in the lower third of the 1001 counties we track. Median income of $71,536 combined with job growth of +0.8% suggests the local economy is struggling to keep pace with national trends.

Is Ector County affordable?

By national standards, Ector County is quite affordable. Homes here have a median value of $200,200, and the income-to-home-value ratio of 0.36 is well above the U.S. average — especially with median rent at just $1,259/month. Residents can generally buy a home without being cost-burdened.

Is Ector County growing or shrinking?

Ector County's population is growing — up +0.9% YoY — while the job market is roughly flat (employment change of +0.8%). Home values shifted +5.8% over the past year. In-migration is outpacing local hiring, which often points to remote workers or retirees driving the headcount.

Are people moving to Ector County?

In significant numbers — 5.09% of Ector County's current population relocated from another state, well above the national norm. That level of in-migration usually signals a county where jobs, affordability, or quality of life are pulling people in from elsewhere.

How is the housing market in Ector County?

Home values climbed +5.8% year-over-year, which is a solid pace of appreciation. The median home in Ector County is now valued at $200,200. That kind of growth typically reflects sustained demand rather than speculative frenzy.

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