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Bowie County, TX

RANK #94 / 1001 NAT  ·  #5 / 72 TX  ·  POP 92,115

1YR FORECAST: -0.8%

5YR OUTLOOK: +36%

Our model projects Bowie County's housing market to grow -0.8% over the next year, significantly outpacing the national average.

[01] Why Bowie County?

Bowie County, Texas, stands out for Texarkana, its largest city, which uniquely straddles the Texas-Arkansas state line. This dual-state identity is symbolized by the historic Federal Building and Post Office, the only U.S. post office shared by two states. Located in the far northeastern corner of Texas, the county borders Oklahoma and Arkansas, offering a blend of Southern charm and natural beauty with forests, lakes, and rolling hills. Commutes within the county are generally manageable, and residents have access to outdoor recreation at places like Wright Patman Lake and the nearby Caddo-LBJ National Grasslands, which offer opportunities for fishing, boating, hiking, and camping.

Life in Bowie County offers a small-town feel, with many residents owning their homes. The public schools in Bowie County are generally well-regarded. The economy, historically rooted in agriculture and livestock, has diversified. Major employers contribute to sectors like manufacturing, healthcare, retail, and transportation. The presence of institutions like Texas A&M University-Texarkana also contributes to the local economy and community.

MARKET PROFILE

Idiosyncratic Markets

Bowie County's data profile doesn't fit any single market profile cleanly — its housing, labor, and demographic signals pull in different directions (home prices -0.2% YoY, population -0.2%, wages +3.5%). About 414 U.S. counties show this kind of mixed-signal pattern.

See all 414 Idiosyncratic Markets counties →

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
6.8x

Below national median (11.3x)

Home Prices
-0.2%

Prices declining

Climate & Terrain
0.8

Moderate climate & terrain

Price/Rent
13x

Below national median (15x)

Housing is fairly valued at 6.8x relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    Christus St. Michael Health System Healthcare
    1,000+
  2. 2
    Red River Army Depot (RRAD) Military
  3. 3
    Cooper Tire & Rubber Company Manufacturing
  4. 4
    Texarkana Texas ISD Education
  5. 5
    Bowie ISD Education
    250+
  6. 6
    Walmart Retail
  7. 7
    Ranger Energy Service Company Energy
  8. 8
    Advanced Rehabilitation and Healthcare of Bowie Healthcare
    100+
  9. 9
    American Hat Company Manufacturing
  10. 10
    WL Plastics Manufacturing
    90

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Bowie County U.S. National

Bars show trailing 12-month growth. The dashed Forecast bars are the model's next-12-month projection; the whisker marks the ±1% range (cooling–accelerating).

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
92,115
-0.22% YoY
Median Household Income
$59,803
Median Home Value
$173,000
-0.25% 12mo
Median Rent
$988
Average Annual Pay
$54,917
+3.5% YoY
Employment
42,336
+0.3% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.3457
More affordable than average
Migration Inflow
2.91%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
23.6%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$277,000
Days on Market
35
Active market
Months of Supply
5.6
Buyer's market
Sale-to-List Ratio
97.9%
Negotiation room for buyers
Sold Above List
2.9%
Listings w/ Price Drops
24.2%
Building Permits (2025)
257
Single-Family Permits
127

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

D
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
10.3
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
23.2
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
86.1
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Well above national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Air Quality

C+
AIR QUALITY
GRADE
Median AQI (3yr)
52.3
Moderate
Good Air Days
43%
437 of 1,027 days
Unhealthy+ Days (3yr)
2
Sensitive groups affected
Primary Pollutant
PM2.5
Fine particulate matter
Yearly Trend
2021
52
2022
52
2023
53
Median AQI · lower is better

Source: EPA Air Quality System (2021–2023). Grade based on 3-year average median AQI. Learn about AQI →

[07] Capital Investment

$1,300M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
Red Barn Solar
TotalEnergies
$700M Proposed
Rabbit's Foot Solar Farm
RWE
$298M Under Construction
Bowie Solar (150 MW)
Undisclosed
$150M Planned
Bowie County Solar (52 MW)
Undisclosed
$52M Planned
East Texas Logistics Center
AR-TX REDI
$50M Planned
TexAmericas Center Industrial Park Development
TexAmericas Center
$50M Operating

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[08] Score Breakdown

Population Growth -0.2% 12 percentile
Income Growth +0.9% 14 percentile
Vacancy Rate 1.0% 52 percentile
Home Price Change -0.2% 24 percentile
Rent Growth +2.5% 42 percentile
Price/Rent 13x 79 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 1001 counties.

[09] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Bowie County, TX a good place to move to?

Bowie County ranks #94 out of 1001 U.S. counties on the Boom Town Index with a score of 91/100, placing it in the top tier nationally. Median household income is $59,803 and the underlying growth metrics (housing, migration, income) hold up against peer counties.

Is Bowie County affordable?

Housing in Bowie County is roughly in line with national affordability norms. The median home costs $173,000 and the income-to-home-value ratio sits at 0.35, with rents averaging $988/month. Not a bargain, but not a stretch for most local earners either.

Is Bowie County growing or shrinking?

Population and employment in Bowie County are both close to flat — population -0.2% YoY and jobs +0.3%. Home values shifted -0.2% over the past 12 months. A steady-state county, neither expanding quickly nor shrinking.

Are people moving to Bowie County?

There's a moderate stream of newcomers. About 2.91% of residents moved from another state, which is above average and suggests Bowie County has appeal as a relocation destination — though it's not among the highest-inflow counties nationally.

[10] Similar Counties by Size & Score

Anderson County, TX 93 Nacogdoches County, TX 94 Hardin County, TX 99 Lamar County, TX 83 Taylor County, TX 100 Jefferson County, TX 79 Putnam County, FL 91 Pulaski County, KY 91