96 / 100

Hardin County, TX

Silsbee

RANK #38 / 996 NAT  ·  #3 / 69 TX  ·  POP 56,576

1YR FORECAST: +1.9%

5YR OUTLOOK: +40%

#15 Best for Investment #17 Best for Families
Our model projects Hardin County's housing market to grow +1.9% over the next year, significantly outpacing the national average.

[01] Why Hardin County?

Hardin County, Texas, is defined by its location within the Big Thicket, a dense forest region in Southeast Texas. Kountze serves as the county seat, and Lumberton is the largest city. The county is situated about 23 miles northwest of Beaumont and 68 miles northeast of Houston, with commutes averaging around 30 minutes. This proximity allows for access to larger cities while maintaining a distinct, quieter community atmosphere. Outdoor recreation is a significant draw, with the Big Thicket National Preserve, Village Creek State Park, and Roy E. Larsen Sandyland Sanctuary offering opportunities for canoeing, bird watching, hiking, and wildlife viewing.

Life in Hardin County often appeals to families and those seeking a more conservative, small-community environment. The public schools in Hardin County are generally above average, with districts like Lumberton ISD and Hardin-Jefferson ISD serving local students. The local economy has historical ties to the timber industry and oil production, with these resources shaping its development. While many residents own their homes, the cost of living is lower than the national average. Rural transit services are available for residents, including those needing transportation for healthcare, shopping, and employment.

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
6.9x

Above national median (4.7x)

GDP Growth
+4.9%

Well above national median

Home Prices
+0.2%

Well below national median

Climate & Terrain
1.0

Moderate climate & terrain

Price/Rent
10x

Strong rental yield

Housing is fairly valued at 6.9x relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    Manufacturing Sector Manufacturing
    2,500+
  2. 2
    Health Care & Social Assistance Sector Healthcare
  3. 3
    Retail Trade Sector Retail
  4. 4
    Hardin County Government Government
    100+
  5. 5
    Hardin ISD Education
  6. 6
    City of Hardin Government
  7. 7
    Dollar General Retail
  8. 8
    Subway Hospitality

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Hardin County U.S. National

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
56,576
+0.81% YoY
Median Household Income
$70,164
Median Home Value
$175,800
+0.23% 12mo
Median Rent
$955
Average Annual Pay
$52,391
+4.1% YoY
Employment
12,197
+0.2% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.3991
More affordable than average
Migration Inflow
5.26%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
18.5%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$277,450
Days on Market
69
Slower market
Months of Supply
5.2
Buyer's market
Sale-to-List Ratio
95.5%
Negotiation room for buyers
Sold Above List
5.6%
Listings w/ Price Drops
20.4%
Building Permits (2024)
315
Single-Family Permits
315

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

B-
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
4.7
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
17.7
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
86.5
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Below national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Score Breakdown

GDP Growth +4.9% 83 percentile
Population Growth +0.8% 65 percentile
Income Growth +7.4% 24 percentile
Vacancy Rate 1.3% 34 percentile
Home Price Change +0.2% 33 percentile
Rent Growth +7.0% 91 percentile
Price/Rent 10x 93 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 996 counties.

[07] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Hardin County, TX a good place to move to?

Hardin County ranks #38 out of 996 U.S. counties on the Boom Town Index with a score of 96/100, placing it in the top tier nationally. Median household income is $70,164 and the underlying growth metrics (housing, migration, income) hold up against peer counties.

Is Hardin County affordable?

By national standards, Hardin County is quite affordable. Homes here have a median value of $175,800, and the income-to-home-value ratio of 0.40 is well above the U.S. average — especially with median rent at just $955/month. Residents can generally buy a home without being cost-burdened.

Is Hardin County growing or shrinking?

Hardin County's population is growing — up +0.8% YoY — while the job market is roughly flat (employment change of +0.2%). Home values shifted +0.2% over the past year. In-migration is outpacing local hiring, which often points to remote workers or retirees driving the headcount.

Are people moving to Hardin County?

In significant numbers — 5.26% of Hardin County's current population relocated from another state, well above the national norm. That level of in-migration usually signals a county where jobs, affordability, or quality of life are pulling people in from elsewhere.

[08] Similar Counties by Size & Score

Lamar County, TX 95 Nacogdoches County, TX 98 Orange County, TX 100 Bowie County, TX 92 Taylor County, TX 90 Anderson County, TX 89 Waupaca County, WI 96 Darke County, OH 96