38 / 100

Hardin County, TX

RANK #614 / 1001 NAT  ·  #15 / 72 TX  ·  POP 57,642

1YR FORECAST: -0.0%

5YR OUTLOOK: +17%

#37 Best Rental Yield
Hardin County's housing market is projected to grow -0.0% over the next year, below the national average.

[01] Why Hardin County?

Hardin County, Texas, is defined by its location within the Big Thicket, a dense forest region in Southeast Texas. Kountze serves as the county seat, and Lumberton is the largest city. The county is situated about 23 miles northwest of Beaumont and 68 miles northeast of Houston, with commutes averaging around 30 minutes. This proximity allows for access to larger cities while maintaining a distinct, quieter community atmosphere. Outdoor recreation is a significant draw, with the Big Thicket National Preserve, Village Creek State Park, and Roy E. Larsen Sandyland Sanctuary offering opportunities for canoeing, bird watching, hiking, and wildlife viewing.

Life in Hardin County often appeals to families and those seeking a more conservative, small-community environment. The public schools in Hardin County are generally above average, with districts like Lumberton ISD and Hardin-Jefferson ISD serving local students. The local economy has historical ties to the timber industry and oil production, with these resources shaping its development. While many residents own their homes, the cost of living is lower than the national average. Rural transit services are available for residents, including those needing transportation for healthcare, shopping, and employment.

MARKET PROFILE

Idiosyncratic Markets

Hardin County's data profile doesn't fit any single market profile cleanly — its housing, labor, and demographic signals pull in different directions (home prices +1.9% YoY, population +0.9%, wages +4.3%). About 414 U.S. counties show this kind of mixed-signal pattern.

See all 414 Idiosyncratic Markets counties →

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
17.8x

Overvalued relative to economy

Home Prices
+1.9%

Below national median

Climate & Terrain
1.0

Moderate climate & terrain

Price/Rent
10x

Strong rental yield

Housing looks overvalued at 17.8x — home prices are high relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    Manufacturing Sector Manufacturing
    2,500+
  2. 2
    Health Care & Social Assistance Sector Healthcare
  3. 3
    Retail Trade Sector Retail
  4. 4
    Hardin County Government Government
    100+
  5. 5
    Hardin ISD Education
  6. 6
    City of Hardin Government
  7. 7
    Dollar General Retail
  8. 8
    Subway Hospitality

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Hardin County U.S. National

Bars show trailing 12-month growth. The dashed Forecast bars are the model's next-12-month projection; the whisker marks the ±1% range (cooling–accelerating).

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
57,642
+0.9% YoY
Median Household Income
$75,808
Median Home Value
$205,700
+1.85% 12mo
Median Rent
$1,049
Average Annual Pay
$54,626
+4.3% YoY
Employment
12,194
0.0% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.3685
More affordable than average
Migration Inflow
4.5%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
21.0%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$270,000
Days on Market
49
Moderate pace
Months of Supply
3.3
Balanced market
Sale-to-List Ratio
86.2%
Negotiation room for buyers
Listings w/ Price Drops
36.0%
Building Permits (2025)
374
Single-Family Permits
374

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

B-
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
4.7
per 100K · nat avg 6.5
Firearm Fatalities
17.7
per 100K · nat avg 13.4
Injury Deaths
86.5
per 100K · nat avg 83.6
vs National Average
Below national avg
based on homicide rate
10-Year Trend
Stable since 2015
homicide rate, 2015 → 2025

Source: Homicide rates from CDC/NCHS vital-statistics mortality data — a multi-year average that stabilizes counts in smaller counties — compiled in the County Health Rankings 2025 release. Rates per 100,000 population; U.S. average ≈ 6.5. Grade reflects homicide rate relative to the national average. Learn more →

See where Hardin County stands nationally: safest large counties in America · highest homicide-rate counties.

[06] Score Breakdown

Population Growth +0.9% 63 percentile
Income Growth +4.5% 85 percentile
Vacancy Rate 1.0% 49 percentile
Home Price Change +1.9% 46 percentile
Rent Growth +3.4% 55 percentile
Price/Rent 10x 96 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 1001 counties.

[07] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Hardin County, TX a good place to move to?

At 38/100, Hardin County faces headwinds that place it in the lower third of the 1001 counties we track. Median income of $75,808 suggests the local economy is struggling to keep pace with national trends.

Is Hardin County affordable?

By national standards, Hardin County is quite affordable. Homes here have a median value of $205,700, and the income-to-home-value ratio of 0.37 is well above the U.S. average — especially with median rent at just $1,049/month. Residents can generally buy a home without being cost-burdened.

Is Hardin County growing or shrinking?

Hardin County's population is growing — up +0.9% YoY — while the job market is roughly flat (employment change of 0.0%). Home values shifted +1.9% over the past year. In-migration is outpacing local hiring, which often points to remote workers or retirees driving the headcount.

Are people moving to Hardin County?

There's a moderate stream of newcomers. About 4.5% of residents moved from another state, which is above average and suggests Hardin County has appeal as a relocation destination — though it's not among the highest-inflow counties nationally.

[08] Similar Counties by Size & Score

Angelina County, TX 39 McLennan County, TX 41 Johnson County, TX 33 Medina County, TX 33 Cherokee County, TX 32 Coryell County, TX 31 Campbell County, VA 38 Sullivan County, NY 38