99 / 100

Hardin County, TX

RANK #15 / 1001 NAT  ·  #2 / 72 TX  ·  POP 57,642

1YR FORECAST: +0.1%

5YR OUTLOOK: +42%

#4 Best for Families #6 Best for Investment
Our model projects Hardin County's housing market to grow +0.1% over the next year, significantly outpacing the national average.

[01] Why Hardin County?

Hardin County, Texas, is defined by its location within the Big Thicket, a dense forest region in Southeast Texas. Kountze serves as the county seat, and Lumberton is the largest city. The county is situated about 23 miles northwest of Beaumont and 68 miles northeast of Houston, with commutes averaging around 30 minutes. This proximity allows for access to larger cities while maintaining a distinct, quieter community atmosphere. Outdoor recreation is a significant draw, with the Big Thicket National Preserve, Village Creek State Park, and Roy E. Larsen Sandyland Sanctuary offering opportunities for canoeing, bird watching, hiking, and wildlife viewing.

Life in Hardin County often appeals to families and those seeking a more conservative, small-community environment. The public schools in Hardin County are generally above average, with districts like Lumberton ISD and Hardin-Jefferson ISD serving local students. The local economy has historical ties to the timber industry and oil production, with these resources shaping its development. While many residents own their homes, the cost of living is lower than the national average. Rural transit services are available for residents, including those needing transportation for healthcare, shopping, and employment.

MARKET PROFILE

Idiosyncratic Markets

Hardin County's data profile doesn't fit any single market profile cleanly — its housing, labor, and demographic signals pull in different directions (home prices +1.1% YoY, population +0.9%, wages +4.3%). About 414 U.S. counties show this kind of mixed-signal pattern.

See all 414 Idiosyncratic Markets counties →

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
17.8x

Overvalued relative to economy

Home Prices
+1.1%

Below national median

Climate & Terrain
1.0

Moderate climate & terrain

Price/Rent
11x

Strong rental yield

Housing looks overvalued at 17.8x — home prices are high relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    Manufacturing Sector Manufacturing
    2,500+
  2. 2
    Health Care & Social Assistance Sector Healthcare
  3. 3
    Retail Trade Sector Retail
  4. 4
    Hardin County Government Government
    100+
  5. 5
    Hardin ISD Education
  6. 6
    City of Hardin Government
  7. 7
    Dollar General Retail
  8. 8
    Subway Hospitality

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Hardin County U.S. National

Bars show trailing 12-month growth. The dashed Forecast bars are the model's next-12-month projection; the whisker marks the ±1% range (cooling–accelerating).

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
57,642
+0.9% YoY
Median Household Income
$75,808
Median Home Value
$205,700
+1.14% 12mo
Median Rent
$1,049
Average Annual Pay
$54,626
+4.3% YoY
Employment
12,192
0.0% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.3685
More affordable than average
Migration Inflow
4.5%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
21.0%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$270,000
Days on Market
49
Moderate pace
Months of Supply
3.3
Balanced market
Sale-to-List Ratio
86.2%
Negotiation room for buyers
Listings w/ Price Drops
36.0%
Building Permits (2025)
374
Single-Family Permits
374

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

B-
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
4.7
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
17.7
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
86.5
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Below national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Score Breakdown

Population Growth +0.9% 63 percentile
Income Growth +4.5% 85 percentile
Vacancy Rate 1.0% 49 percentile
Home Price Change +1.1% 41 percentile
Rent Growth +9.6% 96 percentile
Price/Rent 11x 93 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 1001 counties.

[07] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Hardin County, TX a good place to move to?

Hardin County ranks #15 out of 1001 U.S. counties on the Boom Town Index with a score of 99/100, placing it in the top tier nationally. Median household income is $75,808 and the underlying growth metrics (housing, migration, income) hold up against peer counties.

Is Hardin County affordable?

By national standards, Hardin County is quite affordable. Homes here have a median value of $205,700, and the income-to-home-value ratio of 0.37 is well above the U.S. average — especially with median rent at just $1,049/month. Residents can generally buy a home without being cost-burdened.

Is Hardin County growing or shrinking?

Hardin County's population is growing — up +0.9% YoY — while the job market is roughly flat (employment change of 0.0%). Home values shifted +1.1% over the past year. In-migration is outpacing local hiring, which often points to remote workers or retirees driving the headcount.

Are people moving to Hardin County?

There's a moderate stream of newcomers. About 4.5% of residents moved from another state, which is above average and suggests Hardin County has appeal as a relocation destination — though it's not among the highest-inflow counties nationally.

[08] Similar Counties by Size & Score

Taylor County, TX 100 Nacogdoches County, TX 94 Anderson County, TX 93 Bowie County, TX 91 Lamar County, TX 83 Jefferson County, TX 79 Mercer County, WV 99 Grady County, OK 99