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Orange County, TX

RANK #316 / 1001 NAT  ·  #15 / 72 TX  ·  POP 85,307

1YR FORECAST: -0.1%

5YR OUTLOOK: +31%

#37 Most Affordable
Our model projects above-average housing market growth for Orange County at -0.1% over the next year.

[01] Why Orange County?

Orange County, Texas, distinguishes itself with its unique position at the convergence of the Sabine and Neches Rivers, bordering Louisiana and serving as a deep-water port to the Gulf of Mexico. The city of Orange, the county seat, is about 30 miles east of Beaumont. The area offers natural beauty with wetlands, bald cypress, and tupelo trees, providing opportunities for birdwatching and spotting alligators. Notable outdoor amenities include the Blue Elbow Swamp Boardwalk and Claiborne West Park, which is part of the Great Texas Coastal Birding Trail.

Life in Orange County offers a community-focused atmosphere, with many residents owning their homes. Public schools in the county are generally above average. While some residents commute to nearby cities like Beaumont or Port Arthur for work, public transportation options are available for local trips and to these larger cities. The economy is experiencing growth, with recent developments in housing and new businesses. Major investments are flowing into sectors such as energy, infrastructure, and manufacturing, contributing to job creation and economic momentum.

MARKET PROFILE

Idiosyncratic Markets

Orange County's data profile doesn't fit any single market profile cleanly — its housing, labor, and demographic signals pull in different directions (home prices +2.2% YoY, population +0.4%, wages +5.2%). About 414 U.S. counties show this kind of mixed-signal pattern.

See all 414 Idiosyncratic Markets counties →

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
8.6x

Overvalued relative to economy

Home Prices
+2.2%

Above national median

Climate & Terrain
0.4

Moderate climate & terrain

Price/Rent
12x

Strong rental yield

Housing looks overvalued at 8.6x — home prices are high relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    Walmart Retail
    10,000+
  2. 2
    McDonald's Hospitality
  3. 3
    Dow Sabine River Operations Manufacturing
  4. 4
    Golden Triangle Polymers Manufacturing
  5. 5
    Orange County Government Government
  6. 6
    Kellogg Brown & Root (KBR) Other
  7. 7
    School Districts of Orange County (Little Cypress-Mauriceville CISD, West Orange-Cove CISD, Orangefield ISD, Bridge City ISD, Vidor ISD) Education
  8. 8
    Arlanxeo Manufacturing
  9. 9
    Lamar State College Orange Education
  10. 10
    Cloeren Incorporated Manufacturing

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Orange County U.S. National

Bars show trailing 12-month growth. The dashed Forecast bars are the model's next-12-month projection; the whisker marks the ±1% range (cooling–accelerating).

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
85,307
+0.37% YoY
Median Household Income
$72,104
Median Home Value
$173,400
+2.24% 12mo
Median Rent
$1,100
Average Annual Pay
$67,820
+5.2% YoY
Employment
25,397
+4.3% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.4158
More affordable than average
Migration Inflow
3.25%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
17.7%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$251,560
Days on Market
42
Moderate pace
Months of Supply
4.2
Balanced market
Sale-to-List Ratio
100.2%
Homes selling above asking
Sold Above List
5.9%
Listings w/ Price Drops
29.0%
Building Permits (2025)
245
Single-Family Permits
180

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

C
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
7.1
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
18.1
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
103.9
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Near national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Air Quality

B
AIR QUALITY
GRADE
Median AQI (3yr)
43.3
Good
Good Air Days
66%
722 of 1,094 days
Unhealthy+ Days (3yr)
3
Sensitive groups affected
Primary Pollutant
PM2.5
Fine particulate matter
Yearly Trend
2021
41
2022
43
2023
46
Median AQI · lower is better

Source: EPA Air Quality System (2021–2023). Grade based on 3-year average median AQI. Learn about AQI →

[07] Capital Investment

$18,990M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
Chevron Phillips Chemical USGC2 Ethylene Plant
Chevron Phillips Chemical Company LLC & QatarEnergy
$8,500M Under Construction
Enterprise Products Ethylene Plant (Proposed)
Enterprise Products
$6,200M Proposed
Orange County Coastal Storm Protection System
U.S. Army Corps of Engineers
$2,400M Under Construction
Orange County Advanced Power Station (OCAPS)
Entergy Texas
$1,800M Under Construction
Gisela Houseman Medical Campus
Gisela Houseman Medical Campus
$50M Under Construction
Optimus Steel Expansion
Optimus Steel
$40M Under Construction

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[08] Score Breakdown

Population Growth +0.4% 38 percentile
Income Growth -1.7% 1 percentile
Vacancy Rate 2.7% 1 percentile
Home Price Change +2.2% 59 percentile
Rent Growth +5.0% 77 percentile
Price/Rent 12x 90 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 1001 counties.

[09] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Orange County, TX a good place to move to?

With a Boom Town Index score of 68/100, Orange County sits in the upper half of all 1001 ranked counties. Employment is expanding at +4.3%, and median household income stands at $72,104 — indicators that suggest solid fundamentals even if it's not among the fastest-growing counties in TX.

Is Orange County affordable?

By national standards, Orange County is quite affordable. Homes here have a median value of $173,400, and the income-to-home-value ratio of 0.42 is well above the U.S. average — especially with median rent at just $1,100/month. Residents can generally buy a home without being cost-burdened.

Is Orange County growing or shrinking?

Employers in Orange County are hiring — job growth of +4.3% — but the population is close to flat (+0.4% YoY). Home values moved +2.2% over the past year. Labor demand is outpacing local population growth, which tends to tighten wages and housing.

Are people moving to Orange County?

There's a moderate stream of newcomers. About 3.25% of residents moved from another state, which is above average and suggests Orange County has appeal as a relocation destination — though it's not among the highest-inflow counties nationally.

[10] Similar Counties by Size & Score

Coryell County, TX 68 Gregg County, TX 69 Harrison County, TX 67 Navarro County, TX 70 Victoria County, TX 70 Rusk County, TX 66 Riley County, KS 68 Warrick County, IN 68