20 / 100

Montgomery County, TX

Southeast Montgomery

RANK #787 / 996 NAT  ·  #40 / 69 TX  ·  POP 629,989

1YR FORECAST: -0.1%

5YR OUTLOOK: +16%

#21 Fastest Growing
Our model projects Montgomery County's housing market at -0.1% over the next year, underperforming most U.S. counties.

[01] Why Montgomery County?

Montgomery County, Texas, is recognized as the "Birthplace of the Lone Star Flag," a point of local pride. Located approximately 40 miles north of downtown Houston, the county offers a blend of suburban and rural living. Commute times to Houston vary, with options like The Woodlands Express and METRO Park and Ride services available in some areas. The community maintains a relaxed pace, with a strong sense of local connection. Natural amenities are a significant draw, including Lake Conroe for water sports and fishing, and the Sam Houston National Forest and W. Goodrich Jones State Forest for hiking and bird watching.

Life in Montgomery County appeals to families seeking highly-rated public schools, such as those in Conroe, Montgomery, and Magnolia ISDs. The county has experienced substantial population growth, attracting residents who may commute to Houston or work remotely. The economy is expanding with new commercial and residential developments. Key sectors seeing investment include business services, often supporting energy operations, along with retail, healthcare, distribution, and manufacturing.

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
4.7x

Below national median (4.7x)

GDP Growth
+4.5%

Well above national median

Home Prices
-0.6%

Prices declining

Climate & Terrain
1.6

Moderate climate & terrain

Price/Rent
15x

Above national median (13x)

Housing is fairly valued at 4.7x relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    Conroe Independent School District (CISD) Education
    10,000+
  2. 2
    ExxonMobil Energy
  3. 3
    Memorial Hermann The Woodlands Medical Center Healthcare
    1,000+
  4. 4
    Lone Star College Education
  5. 5
    Walmart Distribution Center Logistics
    500+
  6. 6
    Walmart Retail
  7. 7
    Splendora ISD Education
  8. 8
    Kroger Retail
    250+
  9. 9
    Houston Methodist The Woodlands Hospital Healthcare
  10. 10
    St. Luke's Health - The Woodlands Hospital Healthcare

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Montgomery County U.S. National

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
629,989
+3.62% YoY
Median Household Income
$95,946
Median Home Value
$293,500
-0.59% 12mo
Median Rent
$1,416
Average Annual Pay
$70,262
+0.8% YoY
Employment
227,434
+2.1% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.3269
More affordable than average
Migration Inflow
4.52%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
37.7%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$330,000
Days on Market
98
Slower market
Months of Supply
5.1
Buyer's market
Sale-to-List Ratio
95.6%
Negotiation room for buyers
Sold Above List
9.6%
Listings w/ Price Drops
37.3%
Building Permits (2024)
13,246
Single-Family Permits
11,586

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

B
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
4.0
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
14.1
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
65.5
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Below national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Air Quality

C+
AIR QUALITY
GRADE
Median AQI (3yr)
50.3
Moderate
Good Air Days
49%
530 of 1,087 days
Unhealthy+ Days (3yr)
18
Sensitive groups affected
Primary Pollutant
PM2.5
Fine particulate matter
Yearly Trend
2021
47
2022
51
2023
53
Median AQI · lower is better

Source: EPA Air Quality System (2021–2023). Grade based on 3-year average median AQI. Learn about AQI →

[07] Capital Investment

$2,625M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
Montgomery County Power Station
Entergy Texas Inc.
$1,000M Operating
Montgomery County 2025 Capital Improvement Bond
Montgomery County
$825M Proposed
Data Journey Bunker Campus
Data Journey
$500M Planned
400-acre Residential Development near Lake Conroe
J. Alan Kent Development
$200M Planned
Amazon Delivery Station (Porter)
Amazon
$50M Under Construction
Blackfin Pipeline
Undisclosed
$50M Under Construction

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[08] Score Breakdown

GDP Growth +4.5% 79 percentile
Population Growth +3.6% 98 percentile
Income Growth +8.3% 43 percentile
Vacancy Rate 1.3% 32 percentile
Home Price Change -0.6% 24 percentile
Rent Growth +0.3% 13 percentile
Price/Rent 15x 37 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 996 counties.

[09] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Montgomery County, TX a good place to move to?

At 20/100, Montgomery County faces headwinds that place it in the lower third of the 996 counties we track. Median income of $95,946 combined with job growth of +2.1% suggests the local economy is struggling to keep pace with national trends.

Is Montgomery County affordable?

Housing in Montgomery County is roughly in line with national affordability norms. The median home costs $293,500 and the income-to-home-value ratio sits at 0.33, with rents averaging $1,416/month. Not a bargain, but not a stretch for most local earners either.

Is Montgomery County growing or shrinking?

Montgomery County is growing on multiple fronts. Population is up +3.6% year-over-year while employers added jobs at a +2.1% clip. Home values shifted -0.6% in the past year.

Are people moving to Montgomery County?

There's a moderate stream of newcomers. About 4.52% of residents moved from another state, which is above average and suggests Montgomery County has appeal as a relocation destination — though it's not among the highest-inflow counties nationally.

[10] Similar Counties by Size & Score

Brazoria County, TX 20 Maverick County, TX 19 Polk County, TX 18 Ellis County, TX 18 Parker County, TX 23 Starr County, TX 16 Pinal County, AZ 20 Jefferson County, AL 19