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Brazoria County, TX

RANK #545 / 1001 NAT  ·  #28 / 72 TX  ·  POP 391,255

1YR FORECAST: -1.7%

5YR OUTLOOK: +28%

Brazoria County's housing market is projected to grow -1.7% over the next year, below the national average.

[01] Why Brazoria County?

Brazoria County, Texas, offers a blend of coastal living and historical significance, notably as the site of the first Anglo-American settlement in Texas and an early capital of the Republic of Texas. Located south of Houston, the county provides access to urban amenities while maintaining a more relaxed atmosphere. Commutes to Houston are manageable, with major highways like State Highways 6, 35, 36, and 288 serving the area. The community offers diverse natural scenery, from 23 miles of Gulf Coast beaches to bottomland hardwood forests and coastal prairies. Outdoor recreation includes fishing, birdwatching, camping, and hiking in areas like Quintana Beach County Park and the Brazoria National Wildlife Refuge.

Life in Brazoria County appeals to families and individuals seeking a balance of suburban and rural environments. The county has seen consistent population growth, with a median age of 37. Educational opportunities include several independent school districts, such as Pearland, Alvin, and Brazosport ISDs, which offer various programs. The economy is driven by sectors including petrochemical production, manufacturing, healthcare, and agriculture. Recent economic developments include ongoing investments in industrial growth and the expansion of Port Freeport, which handles significant foreign waterborne tonnage.

MARKET PROFILE

Idiosyncratic Markets

Brazoria County's data profile doesn't fit any single market profile cleanly — its housing, labor, and demographic signals pull in different directions (home prices -0.8% YoY, population +2.5%, wages +3.3%). About 414 U.S. counties show this kind of mixed-signal pattern.

See all 414 Idiosyncratic Markets counties →

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
13.4x

Overvalued relative to economy

Home Prices
-0.8%

Prices declining

Climate & Terrain
1.3

Moderate climate & terrain

Price/Rent
15x

Below national median (15x)

Housing looks overvalued at 13.4x — home prices are high relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    Alvin ISD Education
    2,500+
  2. 2
    The Dow Chemical Company Manufacturing
  3. 3
    Pearland ISD Education
  4. 4
    Texas Department of Criminal Justice Government
    1,000+
  5. 5
    Brazosport ISD Education
  6. 6
    INEOS Olefins & Polymers USA (Chocolate Bayou) Manufacturing
    500+
  7. 7
    Kelsey-Seybold Clinic Healthcare
  8. 8
    Brazoria County Government
  9. 9
    Zachry Group Other
  10. 10
    Turner Industries Other

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Brazoria County U.S. National

Bars show trailing 12-month growth. The dashed Forecast bars are the model's next-12-month projection; the whisker marks the ±1% range (cooling–accelerating).

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
391,255
+2.52% YoY
Median Household Income
$97,993
Median Home Value
$301,600
-0.76% 12mo
Median Rent
$1,454
Average Annual Pay
$70,502
+3.3% YoY
Employment
124,706
+1.6% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.3249
More affordable than average
Migration Inflow
4.44%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
33.1%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$345,000
Days on Market
59
Moderate pace
Months of Supply
4.5
Balanced market
Sale-to-List Ratio
96.4%
Negotiation room for buyers
Sold Above List
13.2%
Listings w/ Price Drops
41.9%
Building Permits (2025)
2,800
Single-Family Permits
2,789

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

B-
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
4.9
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
13.1
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
61.7
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Below national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Air Quality

B+
AIR QUALITY
GRADE
Median AQI (3yr)
35.0
Good
Good Air Days
86%
943 of 1,095 days
Unhealthy+ Days (3yr)
37
Sensitive groups affected
Primary Pollutant
Ozone
Ground-level ozone
Yearly Trend
2021
34
2022
35
2023
36
Median AQI · lower is better

Source: EPA Air Quality System (2021–2023). Grade based on 3-year average median AQI. Learn about AQI →

[07] Capital Investment

$5,731M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
Old Ocean Data Center & Bulldog Power Plant
Nightpeak Energy
$3,000M Proposed
Hecate Energy Orem Wind
Hecate Energy
$1,542M Planned
CleanSpark Data Center Campus
CleanSpark, Inc.
$600M Planned
Brazoria County Solar PV Park (Golden Buckle Solar Project)
Plenitude (Eni New Energy US, Inc. and Renantis North America, Inc.)
$263M Completed
Second Division Solar Farm
Lightsource bp
$176M Operating
Bocanova Power (Battery Storage)
Nightpeak Energy
$150M Operating

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[08] Score Breakdown

Population Growth +2.5% 92 percentile
Income Growth +3.0% 56 percentile
Vacancy Rate 1.9% 7 percentile
Home Price Change -0.8% 20 percentile
Rent Growth +0.9% 19 percentile
Price/Rent 15x 58 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 1001 counties.

[09] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Brazoria County, TX a good place to move to?

Brazoria County scores 45/100 on the Boom Town Index, landing in the middle of the pack among 1001 U.S. counties (#545). Median household income is $97,993 and job growth is running at +1.6%. The data points to a county with mixed signals — some positive indicators alongside areas that lag faster-growing peers.

Is Brazoria County affordable?

Housing in Brazoria County is roughly in line with national affordability norms. The median home costs $301,600 and the income-to-home-value ratio sits at 0.32, with rents averaging $1,454/month. Not a bargain, but not a stretch for most local earners either.

Is Brazoria County growing or shrinking?

Brazoria County is growing on multiple fronts. Population is up +2.5% year-over-year while employers added jobs at a +1.6% clip. Home values shifted -0.8% in the past year.

Are people moving to Brazoria County?

There's a moderate stream of newcomers. About 4.44% of residents moved from another state, which is above average and suggests Brazoria County has appeal as a relocation destination — though it's not among the highest-inflow counties nationally.

[10] Similar Counties by Size & Score

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