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Orleans Parish, LA

RANK #933 / 1001 NAT  ·  #20 / 21 LA  ·  POP 371,853

1YR FORECAST: -3.3%

5YR OUTLOOK: +16%

Our model projects Orleans Parish's housing market at -3.3% over the next year, underperforming most U.S. counties.

[01] Why Orleans Parish?

Orleans Parish, coterminous with the city of New Orleans, is known for its unique culture, music, and cuisine, deeply influenced by French, Spanish, African, and Caribbean heritages. The historic French Quarter, with its Creole architecture and lively Bourbon Street, is a central landmark. The parish is situated between the Mississippi River and Lake Pontchartrain, with much of its land at or below sea level, protected by levees. Outdoor recreation is available at City Park, one of the largest urban parks in the U.S., offering botanical gardens, sculpture gardens, and walking trails. Commuting within the parish is facilitated by the New Orleans Regional Transit Authority (RTA), which operates streetcar lines, bus routes, and ferry services, with an average commute time of 28 minutes.

Life in Orleans Parish blends historic charm with modern challenges. While many residents express satisfaction with the city's culture, concerns about crime and housing affordability persist. The public school system, NOLA Public Schools, includes a mix of direct-run and charter schools, with ongoing efforts to improve educational excellence. The economy is undergoing transformation, with a focus on entrepreneurship and recent investments in lower-carbon energy production. Regional collaboration with neighboring parishes also aims to strengthen the broader economic landscape through coordinated efforts in infrastructure and economic development.

MARKET PROFILE

Idiosyncratic Markets

Orleans Parish's data profile doesn't fit any single market profile cleanly — its housing, labor, and demographic signals pull in different directions (home prices -2.6% YoY, population -1.1%, wages +4.3%). About 414 U.S. counties show this kind of mixed-signal pattern.

See all 414 Idiosyncratic Markets counties →

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
8.9x

Overvalued relative to economy

Home Prices
-2.6%

Prices declining

Climate & Terrain
0.1

Moderate climate & terrain

Price/Rent
16x

Above national median (15x)

Housing looks overvalued at 8.9x — home prices are high relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    Ochsner Health System Healthcare
    5,000+
  2. 2
    LSU Health Sciences Center New Orleans Education
  3. 3
    Tulane University Education
    2,500+
  4. 4
    City of New Orleans Government
  5. 5
    United States Postal Service Government
  6. 6
    Harrah's New Orleans Casino Hospitality
    1,000+
  7. 7
    Capital One Finance
  8. 8
    Entergy Energy
  9. 9
    Al Copeland Investments Hospitality
  10. 10
    Boh Bros. Construction Co. Other

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Orleans Parish U.S. National

Bars show trailing 12-month growth. The dashed Forecast bars are the model's next-12-month projection; the whisker marks the ±1% range (cooling–accelerating).

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
371,853
-1.11% YoY
Median Household Income
$56,631
Median Home Value
$315,700
-2.63% 12mo
Median Rent
$1,251
Average Annual Pay
$70,543
+4.3% YoY
Employment
187,337
-0.4% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.1794
Less affordable than average
Migration Inflow
2.42%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
42.4%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$355,000
Days on Market
54
Moderate pace
Months of Supply
5.8
Buyer's market
Sale-to-List Ratio
95.5%
Negotiation room for buyers
Sold Above List
13.6%
Listings w/ Price Drops
26.6%
Building Permits (2025)
882
Single-Family Permits
210

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

F
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
40.6
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
46.4
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
160.2
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Well above national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Air Quality

B
AIR QUALITY
GRADE
Median AQI (3yr)
36.3
Good
Good Air Days
77%
842 of 1,087 days
Unhealthy+ Days (3yr)
2
Sensitive groups affected
Primary Pollutant
PM2.5
Fine particulate matter
Yearly Trend
2021
33
2022
35
2023
41
Median AQI · lower is better

Source: EPA Air Quality System (2021–2023). Grade based on 3-year average median AQI. Learn about AQI →

[07] Capital Investment

$2,150M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
Hospitality Sector Developments (multiple hotel projects)
Various
$1,000M Planned
New Orleans Power Station (Natural Gas Plant)
Entergy New Orleans, LLC
$650M Operating
River District Mixed-Use Development
Undisclosed (includes Shell office building)
$500M Under Construction

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[08] Score Breakdown

Income Growth +2.3% 38 percentile
Vacancy Rate 2.3% 4 percentile
Home Price Change -2.6% 8 percentile
Rent Growth -0.1% 10 percentile
Price/Rent 16x 46 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 1001 counties.

[09] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Orleans Parish, LA a good place to move to?

The data is not encouraging — Orleans Parish scores just 6/100 on the Boom Town Index, ranking #933 of 1001 counties. Job growth at -0.4% and median household income of $56,631 reflect an economy that has been contracting or stagnating relative to the rest of the country.

Is Orleans Parish affordable?

Orleans Parish leans toward the expensive side. A median home value of $315,700 against an income-to-home-value ratio of 0.18 means housing eats a bigger share of local earnings than the national norm. Renters face $1,251/month on average.

Is Orleans Parish growing or shrinking?

Orleans Parish is losing population (-1.1% YoY) while the job market is essentially flat (-0.4% employment change). Home values are -2.6% over the past 12 months. A slow-bleed pattern — not a collapse, but residents are leaving faster than employers are hiring.

Are people moving to Orleans Parish?

There's a moderate stream of newcomers. About 2.42% of residents moved from another state, which is above average and suggests Orleans Parish has appeal as a relocation destination — though it's not among the highest-inflow counties nationally.

[10] Similar Counties by Size & Score

St. Charles Parish, LA 3 Rapides Parish, LA 14 East Baton Rouge Parish, LA 27 Ascension Parish, LA 35 Jefferson Parish, LA 41 St. Tammany Parish, LA 41 Collier County, FL 7 Chatham County, GA 5