35 / 100

Ascension Parish, LA

RANK #646 / 1001 NAT  ·  #17 / 21 LA  ·  POP 130,314

1YR FORECAST: +0.3%

5YR OUTLOOK: +26%

Ascension Parish's housing market is projected to grow +0.3% over the next year, below the national average.

[01] Why Ascension Parish?

Gonzales, known as the "Jambalaya Capital of the World," hosts an annual festival celebrating the iconic Cajun dish, drawing many visitors. Ascension Parish is located in southeast Louisiana, positioned along the Mississippi River between Baton Rouge and New Orleans. Commuting is common, with many residents traveling to Baton Rouge for work, though traffic on I-10 and Highway 30 can be heavy. The community offers a blend of suburban living with a Southern feel. Outdoor recreation includes parks like Jambalaya Park and Duplessis Park, offering walking trails and playgrounds. The Houmas House Estate and Gardens, a historic sugar plantation, provides a glimpse into the region's past with its architecture and extensive gardens.

Life in Ascension Parish often involves families drawn by the highly rated public school system. The parish has experienced consistent population growth, fueled by job creation and industrial expansion. The economy is driven by heavy industry and manufacturing, particularly chemical and petrochemical production, with facilities located along the Mississippi River. This industrial base creates opportunities for a range of supporting businesses and contributes significantly to the local economy. The parish also has a strong agricultural heritage, notably in sugarcane production.

MARKET PROFILE

Idiosyncratic Markets

Ascension Parish's data profile doesn't fit any single market profile cleanly — its housing, labor, and demographic signals pull in different directions (home prices +1.5% YoY, population +1.3%, wages +1.4%). About 414 U.S. counties show this kind of mixed-signal pattern.

See all 414 Idiosyncratic Markets counties →

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
9.9x

Overvalued relative to economy

Home Prices
+1.5%

Below national median

Climate & Terrain
-1.2

Below-average climate & terrain

Price/Rent
13x

Below national median (15x)

Housing looks overvalued at 9.9x — home prices are high relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    Ascension Parish School Board Education
    2,500+
  2. 2
    BASF Corporation Manufacturing
    1,000+
  3. 3
    Walmart Retail
    500+
  4. 4
    Ascension Parish Government Government
  5. 5
    Shell Chemical Manufacturing
  6. 6
    CF Industries Manufacturing
  7. 7
    Huntsman Chemicals Manufacturing
    250+
  8. 8
    Smith Tank and Steel Manufacturing
  9. 9
    Our Lady of the Lake Ascension Healthcare
  10. 10
    Rev Business (formerly Eatel) Technology

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Ascension Parish U.S. National

Bars show trailing 12-month growth. The dashed Forecast bars are the model's next-12-month projection; the whisker marks the ±1% range (cooling–accelerating).

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
130,314
+1.34% YoY
Median Household Income
$91,549
Median Home Value
$279,600
+1.47% 12mo
Median Rent
$1,318
Average Annual Pay
$72,827
+1.4% YoY
Employment
50,394
-0.4% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.3274
More affordable than average
Migration Inflow
3.27%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
29.1%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$306,281
Days on Market
56
Moderate pace
Months of Supply
2.6
Seller's market
Sale-to-List Ratio
98.1%
Near asking price
Sold Above List
8.3%
Listings w/ Price Drops
36.9%
Building Permits (2025)
639
Single-Family Permits
327

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

C
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
7.6
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
16.4
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
96.4
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Above national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Air Quality

B+
AIR QUALITY
GRADE
Median AQI (3yr)
32.3
Good
Good Air Days
91%
984 of 1,082 days
Unhealthy+ Days (3yr)
5
Sensitive groups affected
Primary Pollutant
Ozone
Ground-level ozone
Yearly Trend
2021
31
2022
32
2023
34
Median AQI · lower is better

Source: EPA Air Quality System (2021–2023). Grade based on 3-year average median AQI. Learn about AQI →

[07] Capital Investment

$22,975M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
Ascension Clean Energy (ACE) Hydrogen-Ammonia Production Facility
Clean Hydrogen Works (in partnership with Denbury Carbon Solutions and Hafnia)
$7,500M Proposed
Hyundai Steel Plant
Hyundai Steel Company
$5,800M Planned
Air Products Blue Hydrogen Manufacturing Complex
Air Products
$4,500M Under Construction
CF Industries Low-Carbon Ammonia Facility
CF Industries
$4,000M Under Construction
Renewable Energy Group (REG) Biorefinery Expansion
Renewable Energy Group Inc.
$825M Completed
Capchem USA Lithium-ion Battery Materials Plant
Capchem USA
$350M Planned

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[08] Score Breakdown

Population Growth +1.3% 76 percentile
Income Growth -0.8% 4 percentile
Vacancy Rate 1.2% 34 percentile
Home Price Change +1.5% 46 percentile
Rent Growth +3.5% 60 percentile
Price/Rent 13x 75 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 1001 counties.

[09] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Ascension Parish, LA a good place to move to?

At 35/100, Ascension Parish faces headwinds that place it in the lower third of the 1001 counties we track. Median income of $91,549 combined with job growth of -0.4% suggests the local economy is struggling to keep pace with national trends.

Is Ascension Parish affordable?

Housing in Ascension Parish is roughly in line with national affordability norms. The median home costs $279,600 and the income-to-home-value ratio sits at 0.33, with rents averaging $1,318/month. Not a bargain, but not a stretch for most local earners either.

Is Ascension Parish growing or shrinking?

Ascension Parish's population is growing — up +1.3% YoY — while the job market is roughly flat (employment change of -0.4%). Home values shifted +1.5% over the past year. In-migration is outpacing local hiring, which often points to remote workers or retirees driving the headcount.

Are people moving to Ascension Parish?

There's a moderate stream of newcomers. About 3.27% of residents moved from another state, which is above average and suggests Ascension Parish has appeal as a relocation destination — though it's not among the highest-inflow counties nationally.

[10] Similar Counties by Size & Score

Jefferson Parish, LA 41 St. Tammany Parish, LA 41 East Baton Rouge Parish, LA 27 Lafourche Parish, LA 45 Tangipahoa Parish, LA 53 Rapides Parish, LA 14 Linn County, OR 35 Eau Claire County, WI 35